Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
0
341 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$0
$60.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$178
Open exposure
$8.15K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-02 09:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Other
61% 86% +$1,313
Politics
39% 67% +$1,294
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -1,300 -$1,225 98¢ $-1280 -$55 07-03 06:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +900 $809 88¢ $796 -$12 10-15 19:58
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +800 $764 99¢ $789 +$25 07-09 20:41
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +800 $760 94¢ $756 -$4 11-02 09:53
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +800 $694 94¢ $756 +$62 10-15 20:44
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026? No +650 $603 96¢ $622 +$19 10-12 19:59
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +620 $564 94¢ $586 +$22 07-24 07:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +600 $570 96¢ $578 +$8 10-19 10:53
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +500 $475 94¢ $472 -$2 08-29 15:21
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? No +473 $454 95¢ $451 -$3 10-12 20:00
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +400 $329 97¢ $388 +$59 09-16 08:42
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? No +400 $364 94¢ $378 +$14 10-15 20:45
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? No +600 $227 26¢ $159 -$68 10-15 20:55
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +650 $214 20¢ $133 -$81 10-18 09:48
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes -349 -$30 3¢ $-9 +$21 05-19 08:01