Realized P&L
+$1.61K
Unrealized P&L
+$112
Hit rate
62.9%
Resolved
626
Trades
2,725
lifetime
Volume
$52.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$579
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 11-04 21:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 119 days
Categories
Other
53% 32% +$100
Crypto
38% 54% +$893
Politics
6% 47% +$709
Sports
2% 10% +$64
Tech
1% 22% -$159
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -268 -$206 69¢ $-185 +$21 05-31 15:36
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -173 -$147 93¢ $-162 -$15 05-21 11:31
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -100 -$83 85¢ $-85 -$2 10-04 14:03
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +104 $45 54¢ $56 +$11 11-04 21:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +385 $50 8¢ $29 -$21 06-17 11:53
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +769 $100 3¢ $27 -$73 06-18 20:10
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -586 -$186 2¢ $-11 +$175 05-27 12:43
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +300 $30 3¢ $8 -$22 06-18 08:46
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +101 $21 6¢ $6 -$15 07-26 19:29
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -108 -$11 5¢ $-6 +$6 06-13 22:41
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 -$53 5¢ $-5 +$48 05-27 12:53