Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$345

Unrealized P&L

-$520

Hit rate

64.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

$502

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 10-26 15:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Politics

65% 27% -$207

Other

33% 0% -$104

Crypto

2% 0% -$50

Sports

0% 100% +$8

Tech

0% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+8,782	$1,000	6¢	$483	-$517	07-05 16:15
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+59	$16	26¢	$15	-$1	10-26 15:58
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-476	-$11	1¢	$-3	+$8	04-29 03:11
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	Yes	+67	$10	1¢	$0	-$9	07-05 16:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$1.1K	4,850	2,628	+2,222	No	+$125	03-25 04:49
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	1	$1000	8,782	0	+8,782	open	—	07-05 16:15
iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	2	$551	10,310	0	+10,310	No	-$551	07-27 17:21
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$246	228	228	+0	Yes	+$204	04-07 23:41
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$98	88	88	+0	Yes	+$78	03-02 12:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$26	413	0	+413	No	-$26	05-06 06:42
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$20	192	0	+192	No	-$20	03-24 18:09
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$20	136	0	+136	No	-$20	03-06 11:31
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$18	2,474	0	+2,474	No	-$18	03-24 13:31
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$16	59	0	+59	open	—	10-26 15:58
will the us strike somalia next 656	1	$16	3,302	0	+3,302	Yes	-$16	01-24 20:05
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$15	62	0	+62	Yes	+$48	02-19 15:40
will bitcoin reach 74k march 30 april 5	1	$15	150	0	+150	No	-$15	04-01 13:43
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$11	0	476	-476	open	—	04-29 03:11
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	1	$10	20	0	+20	No	-$10	03-01 19:02
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	1	$10	428	0	+428	Yes	-$10	03-09 12:38
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	1	$10	400	0	+400	Yes	-$10	03-09 12:38
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$10	2,500	0	+2,500	Yes	-$10	04-06 11:48
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$10	03-24 13:34
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	1	$10	909	0	+909	No	-$10	04-08 09:41
will bitcoin reach 82k march 23 29	1	$10	729	0	+729	No	-$10	03-24 18:05
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	1	$10	125	0	+125	No	-$10	03-24 13:32
will the fed decide differently in the next three decisions decjanmar	1	$10	2,174	0	+2,174	No	-$10	03-07 15:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 11:25 UTC	1	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	-$10	02-28 11:29
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$10	79	0	+79	No	-$10	03-06 11:30
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	1	$10	56	0	+56	No	-$10	03-03 16:06
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	1	$10	67	0	+67	open	—	07-05 16:13
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$8	0	98	-98	No	+$8	04-29 03:12
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	1	$8	248	0	+248	No	-$8	04-13 12:59
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	1	$8	0	167	-167	No	+$8	04-29 03:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 15:58:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	59	27¢	$16	0x6dc118…
07-27 17:21:42	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	7,345	4¢	$271	0x8a48df…
07-24 04:45:07	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	2,965	9¢	$280	0x9a8cef…
07-05 16:15:08	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8,782	11¢	$1,000	0x938edf…
07-05 16:13:52	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x933a92…
05-06 06:42:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	413	6¢	$26	0xcf6b93…
04-29 03:13:18	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	Yes	SELL	167	5¢	$8	0xb87e64…
04-29 03:12:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	115	0¢	$0	0x62ff39…
04-29 03:12:22	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	98	9¢	$8	0xe0cbd0…
04-29 03:11:56	Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	476	2¢	$11	0x7af0dc…
04-13 12:59:51	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	248	3¢	$8	0xc2ef02…
04-08 09:41:27	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	909	1¢	$10	0x739e91…
04-08 00:01:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 10	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4f9b7a…
04-07 23:41:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	228	98¢	$225	0x0072ca…
04-06 11:48:07	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x702f4d…
04-01 13:43:31	will bitcoin reach 74k march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0xab68ee…
04-01 12:23:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	115	1¢	$1	0x557526…
04-01 12:17:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	138	8¢	$11	0x002d6c…
03-31 16:58:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xd6e46f…
03-25 04:49:55	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	591	17¢	$100	0xb246f2…
03-24 18:09:37	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xea385d…
03-24 18:05:37	will bitcoin reach 82k march 23 29	Yes	BUY	729	1¢	$10	0xc6cc90…
03-24 13:34:35	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x15bbed…
03-24 13:32:13	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xe245e0…
03-24 13:31:43	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	BUY	2,474	1¢	$18	0x9380d3…
03-23 11:24:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	2,037	25¢	$509	0x0d9489…
03-23 10:15:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	4,850	10¢	$485	0xeb5c15…
03-21 04:22:43	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xdd4bcb…
03-09 12:38:17	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0x65f0ac…
03-09 12:38:07	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	BUY	428	2¢	$10	0xce48c2…
03-07 15:36:41	will the fed decide differently in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	2,174	0¢	$10	0xbe61ab…
03-07 08:07:05	donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 0 19	Yes	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x2f1fa6…
03-06 11:31:07	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x647322…
03-06 11:30:21	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	79	13¢	$10	0x91cab5…
03-04 13:45:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	556	1¢	$5	0x7c93e6…
03-03 16:06:05	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xb622d4…
03-03 16:02:51	will bill clinton say massage during his epstein testimony	Yes	BUY	716	1¢	$5	0xcda239…
03-03 16:01:19	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xa1da4a…
03-02 12:29:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x57d1c8…
03-01 19:02:41	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x29407f…
02-28 11:40:07	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0xa0e78b…
02-28 11:31:43	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	88	11¢	$10	0xfa914c…
02-28 11:29:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x995ec6…
02-19 15:40:38	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0x888002…
01-24 20:05:38	will the us strike somalia next 656	No	BUY	3,302	0¢	$16	0x003579…