Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.24K

Unrealized P&L

+$12

Hit rate

77.7%

Resolved

752

Trades

1,908

lifetime

Volume

$33.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$4.30K

9 positions

First seen

2026-05-14

last 10-28 16:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 112 days

Categories

Other

99% 90% -$1,238

Politics

0% 75% -$1

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Crypto

0% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	-1,869	-$1,757	96¢	$-1787	-$30	09-10 04:30
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+830	$793	97¢	$804	+$10	10-28 16:34
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+733	$703	98¢	$718	+$15	10-01 08:16
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	-542	-$500	90¢	$-490	+$9	10-15 07:18
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	-361	-$334	94¢	$-339	-$6	09-08 06:54
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+88	$79	100¢	$88	+$8	08-10 09:00
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	+68	$53	84¢	$57	+$4	10-16 10:50
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	+10	$8	82¢	$8	+$1	10-08 02:26
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	+5	$5	100¢	$5	$0	09-13 10:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C or below on July 8?	2	$2.5K	1,274	1,274	+0	No	-$10	07-07 04:41
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	22	$2.2K	956	1,498	-542	open	—	10-15 07:18
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	3	$1.9K	100	1,969	-1,869	open	—	09-10 04:30
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	13	$1.4K	1,532	150	+1,382	Yes	-$1,225	07-20 13:52
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 5?	1	$918	919	0	+919	No	+$1	07-05 01:23
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	7	$897	833	100	+733	open	—	10-01 08:16
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	15	$793	830	0	+830	open	—	10-28 16:34
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	6	$514	100	461	-361	open	—	09-08 06:54
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 17?	24	$419	417	10	+407	Yes	+$4	07-17 07:58
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 1?	27	$378	232	184	+48	Yes	+$1	08-01 10:31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C or higher on July 8?	6	$369	370	0	+370	No	+$1	07-08 05:53
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	2	$296	244	180	+63	Yes	-$41	07-06 02:41
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	8	$243	174	74	+100	Yes	+$5	09-22 14:44
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 16?	11	$233	238	0	+238	Yes	+$5	07-16 06:22
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 24?	4	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	07-24 15:25
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or below on July 16?	4	$199	200	0	+200	No	+$1	07-15 04:21
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 40°C on July 17?	14	$187	190	0	+190	No	+$3	07-17 06:37
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	2	$179	92	92	+0	Yes	+$5	07-03 04:56
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C or higher on July 6?	2	$148	101	51	+50	No	-$1	07-06 07:54
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 11?	10	$147	138	10	+128	No	+$1	08-11 13:25
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 40°C on July 15?	9	$144	145	0	+145	No	+$1	07-15 08:28
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 14?	15	$143	144	0	+144	Yes	+$1	07-14 08:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?	13	$141	88	60	+28	Yes	-$7	07-09 10:14
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 30?	7	$137	138	0	+138	Yes	+$1	08-30 08:47
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 27?	16	$134	118	40	+78	No	+$2	08-26 21:59
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 4?	7	$134	76	68	+8	No	-$2	09-04 16:19
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	3	$133	68	68	+0	Yes	+$3	09-21 07:35
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 5?	2	$124	66	58	+8	No	+$0	10-05 15:33
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 9?	6	$124	106	18	+88	No	+$0	08-09 06:58
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on September 10?	3	$114	58	58	+0	No	+$1	09-10 04:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 16:34:44	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x336a4c…
10-26 21:48:14	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x4ee81a…
10-26 21:27:12	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0x5a536c…
10-26 14:11:47	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x164b2e…
10-26 14:10:29	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xc4843b…
10-26 14:09:41	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 10°C or below on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2644d8…
10-26 14:09:02	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x72d51a…
10-26 14:07:35	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb698c5…
10-26 14:06:26	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	70	96¢	$67	0x12d4cc…
10-26 14:06:14	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x3d3294…
10-19 14:05:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x308dcb…
10-19 14:05:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc73b79…
10-19 14:01:41	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 20?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x6bb187…
10-18 13:37:33	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x961e78…
10-18 07:40:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on October 18?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xec9559…
10-18 07:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xe6c041…
10-17 11:53:14	lowest temperature in shanghai on october 18 2026 27corhigher	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x9aac1d…
10-17 11:51:56	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 17?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xafbd19…
10-17 11:49:47	highest temperature in shanghai on october 18 2026 33c	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x1fe7e3…
10-17 11:49:17	highest temperature in shanghai on october 18 2026 34c	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x7fe198…
10-16 12:44:06	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 17?	No	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0xc060fc…
10-16 12:08:07	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 17?	No	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0xc50ff8…
10-16 12:07:45	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 17?	No	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0x9dddd2…
10-16 10:55:36	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7efb90…
10-16 10:50:36	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xade9fc…
10-16 10:50:07	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xad41d4…
10-16 10:49:34	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	28	77¢	$22	0xfd7e76…
10-16 10:39:30	Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	86¢	$15	0x4980da…
10-15 22:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 16?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x67aefc…
10-15 22:58:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C or higher on October 16?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x658e0c…
10-15 13:19:13	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 16?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x07b964…
10-15 11:08:03	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf274a6…
10-15 11:07:55	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3caf09…
10-15 10:44:16	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 16?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2ce86e…
10-15 10:42:59	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 16?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x705ab2…
10-15 10:42:13	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 16?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7b4c07…
10-15 07:18:20	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	160	91¢	$146	0x6bc95b…
10-14 22:28:15	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xe4f6e9…
10-14 22:27:28	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C or below on October 15?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xd161f7…
10-14 22:26:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 15?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x70748c…
10-14 14:33:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C or higher on October 15?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4fd1d7…
10-14 14:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C or higher on October 15?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x3ad3e7…
10-14 14:30:28	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C or below on October 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf796b5…
10-14 14:28:24	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 15?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x631841…
10-14 14:27:38	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 15?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x75b914…
10-13 23:48:31	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 14?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xde8a54…
10-13 23:45:46	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 14?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1a6736…
10-13 23:45:28	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on October 14?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf4ec95…
10-13 23:45:16	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on October 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0ff602…
10-13 23:45:00	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C or below on October 14?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe10397…
10-13 23:44:48	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C or below on October 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7a4b32…
10-13 23:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 14?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2662b9…
10-13 14:42:47	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 13?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb5c01f…
10-13 03:01:38	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 13?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9e7dd0…
10-12 16:18:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x023aa0…
10-12 13:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 13?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x164a41…
10-12 08:10:11	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 13?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x2df083…
10-12 04:40:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 12?	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xfb17d5…
10-12 01:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 12?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8c9f79…
10-11 23:38:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 12?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8af20b…
10-11 23:37:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 12?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbde991…
10-11 21:08:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 12?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbd7b38…
10-11 21:06:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 12?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7cee19…
10-11 21:03:40	Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa0a870…
10-11 00:31:34	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on October 11?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaf5531…
10-10 23:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C or higher on October 11?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x5c3a65…
10-10 23:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa2e251…
10-10 07:26:06	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x978cd7…
10-10 04:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 10?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x3726c1…
10-10 02:40:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 10?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1b1f00…
10-10 02:18:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 10?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x58387d…
10-10 02:16:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 10?	No	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0xe66dde…
10-10 01:08:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 10?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xfc8bda…
10-09 13:38:19	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or higher on October 10?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xd40f8a…
10-09 13:36:34	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 9?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x57b3c3…
10-09 08:59:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 10?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x7abb3b…
10-09 08:59:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe91071…
10-09 08:58:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 10?	No	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x696517…
10-08 02:26:26	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xdf1e75…
10-08 02:24:17	Will Mark Carney win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xd124d6…
10-07 13:29:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 8?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3c8616…
10-07 13:25:13	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 8?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb6ba2c…
10-07 13:23:26	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 10°C or below on October 8?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xb07539…
10-07 13:21:43	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or higher on October 8?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc772b8…
10-05 22:30:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x3a0f36…
10-05 22:27:22	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x94cd55…
10-05 22:26:56	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on October 6?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6ce9f5…
10-05 15:33:52	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 5?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x0e3770…
10-05 15:31:01	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 5?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x235ca4…
10-04 02:01:56	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xcfa4da…
10-03 23:28:35	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x0a6e30…
10-03 23:27:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 4?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb860d1…
10-02 13:01:51	Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x479f8f…
10-02 13:01:27	Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x97977d…
10-01 14:42:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 2?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xee7933…
10-01 14:39:59	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 2?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x7f6832…
10-01 14:39:14	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 1?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xa9fab8…
10-01 14:38:48	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x45e88e…
10-01 14:38:02	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x967662…
10-01 08:16:38	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x62314b…