Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on November 11?
No won
Total volume
$614
Trades
63
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-11-11
First seen
2026-11-09
last 11-11 00:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.2¢
(top1%: 2% YES on $59
vs crowd: 4% YES on $487)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $2 | $114 | $112 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $1 | $159 | $158 |
| 🐟 Fish | 14 | $18 | $78 | $59 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | — | $115 | $115 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $1 | $57 | $56 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 15 | $11 | $242 | $231 |
| Median | 2 | — | $103 | $103 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $12 | $12 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $52 | $52 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x1f07…7573 | Yes | +105 | -$1 | $3 | 16 | 11-10 16:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xc5c6…409a | No | +100 | $98 | $98 | 2 | 11-10 15:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb72…1ac1 | No | +86 | $86 | $86 | 1 | 11-11 00:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c28…9844 | Yes | +68 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 11-10 16:00 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-10 16:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc14…fb55 | No | +38 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 11-10 15:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xf73b…10bf | Yes | +29 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 11-09 08:42 |
| Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | No | +25 | $23 | $23 | 5 | 11-10 14:19 |
| Better-Suburb 0x9acd…a3fe | No | +21 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 11-10 13:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 11-10 12:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-10 12:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x25d6…dbd7 | Yes | +16 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-10 13:22 |
| Masculine-Brake 0x6cd2…8eaa | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 11-10 04:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4c0…af15 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 11-10 15:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x53b9…4b3d | No | +11 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 11-09 08:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x4ead…f30c | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 11-10 14:29 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-10 16:00 |
| Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 11-10 16:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x193a…8a58 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-10 14:29 |
| Made-Up-Upstairs 0x5c9e…3a21 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-09 19:29 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-10 16:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xc22b…deab | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-10 14:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x8682…fe8d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-11 00:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-10 14:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x193a…8a58 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-10 14:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x84e8…5d3a | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-10 14:29 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-11 00:34:39 | (anonymous) 0x8682…fe8d | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xa2ad74… |
| 11-11 00:34:39 | Popular-Vacation 0xa2ea…8ed1 | No | SELL | 105 | 100¢ | $105 | 0xa2ad74… |
| 11-11 00:34:39 | (anonymous) 0xfb72…1ac1 | No | BUY | 86 | 100¢ | $86 | 0xa2ad74… |
| 11-11 00:34:39 | (anonymous) 0xde87…001e | Yes | SELL | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa2ad74… |
| 11-10 16:00:04 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x71f069… |
| 11-10 16:00:04 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x71f069… |
| 11-10 16:00:04 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x71f069… |
| 11-10 16:00:04 | (anonymous) 0x1f07…7573 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x71f069… |
| 11-10 16:00:04 | Shallow-Brewer 0x5368…2d62 | No | SELL | 35 | 100¢ | $35 | 0x71f069… |
| 11-10 16:00:04 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x71f069… |
| 11-10 16:00:04 | (anonymous) 0xde87…001e | Yes | SELL | 234 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x71f069… |
| 11-10 16:00:04 | (anonymous) 0x0c28…9844 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x71f069… |
| 11-10 15:54:09 | (anonymous) 0xde87…001e | Yes | BUY | 120 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x1ebb00… |
| 11-10 15:54:09 | (anonymous) 0x1f07…7573 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1ebb00… |
| 11-10 15:38:15 | Popular-Vacation 0xa2ea…8ed1 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x0f0dae… |
| 11-10 15:38:15 | (anonymous) 0xd4c0…af15 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x0f0dae… |
| 11-10 15:38:15 | (anonymous) 0xde87…001e | Yes | BUY | 66 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0f0dae… |
| 11-10 15:38:15 | (anonymous) 0xc5c6…409a | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x0f0dae… |
| 11-10 15:26:15 | (anonymous) 0x1f07…7573 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x98692f… |
| 11-10 15:26:15 | (anonymous) 0xbc14…fb55 | No | BUY | 38 | 100¢ | $38 | 0x98692f… |
| 11-10 15:19:49 | (anonymous) 0x1f07…7573 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc31545… |
| 11-10 15:19:49 | Popular-Vacation 0xa2ea…8ed1 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xc31545… |
| 11-10 15:17:45 | Popular-Vacation 0xa2ea…8ed1 | No | BUY | 75 | 100¢ | $75 | 0x1b7a62… |
| 11-10 15:17:45 | (anonymous) 0x1f07…7573 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1b7a62… |
| 11-10 15:14:28 | Popular-Vacation 0xa2ea…8ed1 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xf7a804… |
| 11-10 15:14:28 | (anonymous) 0x1f07…7573 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf7a804… |
| 11-10 14:58:58 | (anonymous) 0x31b1…11d2 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8c2aba… |
| 11-10 14:58:58 | (anonymous) 0x1f07…7573 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8c2aba… |
| 11-10 14:46:40 | (anonymous) 0xde87…001e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9dc5bc… |
| 11-10 14:46:40 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x9dc5bc… |
| 11-10 14:29:22 | (anonymous) 0x84e8…5d3a | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x90c30a… |
| 11-10 14:29:22 | (anonymous) 0x31b1…11d2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x90c30a… |
| 11-10 14:29:18 | Popular-Vacation 0xa2ea…8ed1 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x6f92b9… |
| 11-10 14:29:18 | (anonymous) 0x193a…8a58 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x9fcecc… |
| 11-10 14:29:18 | (anonymous) 0xc22b…deab | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x6f92b9… |
| 11-10 14:29:18 | (anonymous) 0x31b1…11d2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x6f92b9… |
| 11-10 14:29:18 | (anonymous) 0x4ead…f30c | No | BUY | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0x9fcecc… |
| 11-10 14:29:18 | (anonymous) 0x31b1…11d2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x9fcecc… |
| 11-10 14:19:01 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x35b6ce… |
| 11-10 14:19:01 | (anonymous) 0x193a…8a58 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x35b6ce… |
| 11-10 14:19:01 | (anonymous) 0xde87…001e | Yes | BUY | 32 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x35b6ce… |
| 11-10 14:19:01 | Shallow-Brewer 0x5368…2d62 | No | BUY | 17 | 88¢ | $15 | 0x35b6ce… |
| 11-10 13:49:33 | Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xe0ce6f… |
| 11-10 13:49:33 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xe0ce6f… |
| 11-10 13:49:33 | (anonymous) 0xde87…001e | Yes | BUY | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xe0ce6f… |
| 11-10 13:22:52 | (anonymous) 0x25d6…dbd7 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x632912… |
| 11-10 13:22:52 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x632912… |
| 11-10 13:22:52 | Better-Suburb 0x9acd…a3fe | No | BUY | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0x632912… |
| 11-10 12:39:57 | (anonymous) 0x0c28…9844 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6948f3… |
| 11-10 12:39:57 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6948f3… |
| 11-10 12:39:57 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x6948f3… |
| 11-10 12:39:57 | (anonymous) 0xc5c6…409a | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $49 | 0x6948f3… |
| 11-10 12:38:03 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x016909… |
| 11-10 12:38:03 | (anonymous) 0xd4c0…af15 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x016909… |
| 11-10 04:15:25 | Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x4bb772… |
| 11-10 04:15:25 | Masculine-Brake 0x6cd2…8eaa | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x4bb772… |
| 11-09 19:29:39 | Masculine-Brake 0x6cd2…8eaa | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x310dea… |
| 11-09 19:29:39 | Made-Up-Upstairs 0x5c9e…3a21 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x310dea… |
| 11-09 19:29:39 | Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x310dea… |
| 11-09 08:42:58 | Shallow-Brewer 0x5368…2d62 | No | BUY | 18 | 82¢ | $15 | 0x045fef… |
| 11-09 08:42:58 | (anonymous) 0xf73b…10bf | Yes | BUY | 18 | 18¢ | $3 | 0x045fef… |
| 11-09 08:42:57 | (anonymous) 0x53b9…4b3d | No | BUY | 11 | 83¢ | $9 | 0x6ffc15… |
| 11-09 08:42:57 | (anonymous) 0xf73b…10bf | Yes | BUY | 11 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x6ffc15… |