Vapid-Zen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$43

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$11.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$256

Open exposure

$169

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-21 03:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

52% — —

Politics

30% — —

Crypto

12% — —

Sports

6% 50% $-43

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+1,000	$100	10¢	$95	$-5	07-21 03:54
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		-2,020	$-77	4¢	$-74	+$3	06-16 01:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	1	$1.0K	0	1,030	-1,030	open	—	01-31 17:23
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$1000	1,043	0	+1,043	open	—	01-04 06:24
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 15 million 268	1	$1000	1,075	0	+1,075	open	—	01-04 17:12
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	2	$997	726	726	+0	open	—	03-19 03:57
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$994	610	610	+0	open	—	01-01 22:08
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?	3	$700	782	0	+782	open	—	03-01 21:29
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	1	$685	0	687	-687	open	—	01-01 17:23
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$500	556	0	+556	open	—	01-01 18:33
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?	1	$500	527	0	+527	open	—	01-06 02:07
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$470	270	270	+0	open	—	04-04 13:41
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	1	$377	0	381	-381	open	—	01-01 04:51
nuclear weapon detonation by march 31	1	$250	262	0	+262	open	—	01-06 02:06
will a minecraft movie be the top grossing movie of 2025	1	$203	0	204	-204	open	—	01-01 21:09
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$200	238	0	+238	open	—	02-10 02:52
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	1	$200	235	0	+235	open	—	02-07 15:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	1	$200	247	0	+247	open	—	05-25 23:57
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$200	240	0	+240	open	—	03-07 16:57
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$163	0	741	-741	open	—	01-11 14:43
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	1	$100	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-15 03:43
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$100	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	07-21 03:54
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	1	$100	442	0	+442	open	—	03-15 03:43
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	1	$100	123	0	+123	open	—	04-16 00:43
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	1	$100	137	0	+137	open	—	04-05 16:24
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$100	238	0	+238	open	—	01-10 12:39
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	1	$100	142	0	+142	open	—	04-16 00:45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	05-05 23:20
will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	1	$100	119	0	+119	open	—	06-16 02:03
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$100	107	0	+107	Thunder	+$7	05-05 23:22
will coinbase run an ad during super bowl lx	1	$100	181	0	+181	open	—	02-07 15:35
will xai or x run an ad during super bowl lx	1	$100	106	0	+106	open	—	02-07 15:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 03:54:04	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x3fdc3c…
06-16 02:04:09	will wti reach 95 in june 2026 from june 10	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0xf5afee…
06-16 02:03:18	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x4b2be6…
06-16 02:03:01	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x6e16b1…
06-16 01:59:54	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,020	4¢	$77	0x6866e9…
05-25 23:57:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	247	81¢	$200	0x3efd46…
05-21 01:51:54	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x975763…
05-05 23:22:50	Wild vs. Avalanche	Wild	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0xaeb756…
05-05 23:22:20	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x406441…
05-05 23:21:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x8c00c1…
05-05 23:20:54	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x3904c2…
04-16 00:45:26	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	142	70¢	$100	0xf0e4df…
04-16 00:43:08	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x2ecdfe…
04-06 03:23:05	Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	153	65¢	$100	0x39fa72…
04-05 16:24:33	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x8ebbe8…
04-04 13:41:27	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	270	100¢	$270	0xa3d142…
03-19 03:57:19	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	SELL	726	45¢	$328	0x06aec0…
03-19 03:52:35	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	270	74¢	$200	0x96e71c…
03-15 03:43:43	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	442	23¢	$100	0x591eb8…
03-15 03:43:31	Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0xe275ad…
03-07 16:57:05	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	240	83¢	$200	0x0edde8…
03-01 21:29:31	Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xfcc6a1…
02-10 02:52:01	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	238	84¢	$200	0x2068d1…
02-07 15:39:27	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0x5e5ce0…
02-07 15:36:09	will cryptocom run an ad during super bowl lx	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xbc8c0b…
02-07 15:35:43	will xai or x run an ad during super bowl lx	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x9ed15e…
02-07 15:35:27	will coinbase run an ad during super bowl lx	No	BUY	181	55¢	$100	0xdd1c98…
01-31 17:23:10	Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1,030	100¢	$1,029	0x33b064…
01-14 05:42:34	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	BUY	726	92¢	$668	0xceef30…
01-11 14:43:38	will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	SELL	741	22¢	$163	0x360689…
01-11 04:22:40	Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x069d1b…
01-10 12:39:22	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x58ff65…
01-07 02:06:07	will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 1m 791 144 948	No	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x02d5b0…
01-06 02:07:17	Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?	No	BUY	544	92¢	$500	0x3af644…
01-06 02:07:01	Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?	No	BUY	527	95¢	$500	0xfe0cb1…
01-06 02:06:33	nuclear weapon detonation by march 31	No	BUY	262	96¢	$250	0x1d3756…
01-04 17:12:43	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 15 million 268	No	BUY	1,075	93¢	$1,000	0x8862cc…
01-04 06:24:01	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1,043	96¢	$1,000	0x2bb7c2…
01-01 22:26:01	us bank failure by january 31	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xc1e6f7…
01-01 22:08:35	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	610	81¢	$494	0xcb588f…
01-01 22:05:39	will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x1a2c15…
01-01 21:12:15	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	610	82¢	$500	0x12d27a…
01-01 21:09:25	will a minecraft movie be the top grossing movie of 2025	Yes	SELL	204	100¢	$203	0x039c58…
01-01 18:33:29	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	556	90¢	$500	0x29f434…
01-01 17:23:11	us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	No	SELL	687	100¢	$685	0xe64e71…
01-01 04:51:45	will eleven die in stranger things season 5	No	SELL	381	99¢	$377	0x16289b…