Realized P&L
+$8
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
50.3%
Resolved
8
Trades
237
lifetime
Volume
$38.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$162
Open exposure
$3.13K
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 07-13 02:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
71% 12% +$8
Other
20%
Crypto
7%
Pop-Culture
2%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +1,136 $1,000 90¢ $1.0K +$28 06-16 01:33
NATO article 5 before 2027? No +992 $900 92¢ $918 +$18 06-14 14:54
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No -423 $-391 93¢ $-395 $-5 06-16 13:23
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No -454 $-391 86¢ $-391 +$0 07-13 02:47
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +238 $200 88¢ $211 +$11 06-14 14:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +270 $200 52¢ $142 $-58 06-04 13:03
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -370 $-41 14¢ $-50 $-9 07-13 02:51