Rewarding-Nonconformist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

99.6%

Resolved

Trades

4,806

lifetime

Volume

$29.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$874

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-09 13:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

64% — —

Politics

20% 50% $-17

Other

16% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 440 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	-1,237	$-599	50¢	$-612	$-13	06-05 14:37
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	+309	$158	50¢	$156	$-2	06-06 12:05
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+62	$58	93¢	$58	+$0	05-28 20:29
Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	+94	$48	50¢	$47	$-0	06-09 13:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	4,275	$5.9K	5,598	5,489	+109	Yes	+$8	05-08 14:28
will the san francisco 49ers win super bowl 2026	34	$4.7K	2,554	2,432	+122	open	—	01-18 03:30
will the buffalo bills win super bowl 2026	90	$4.6K	2,755	2,397	+358	open	—	01-18 00:41
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	11	$2.6K	1,500	1,250	+250	open	—	01-21 15:55
will the chicago bears win super bowl 2026	46	$2.0K	1,250	838	+412	open	—	01-11 04:14
will the baltimore ravens win super bowl 2026	15	$2.0K	1,035	1,034	+1	open	—	01-05 04:34
will the philadelphia eagles win super bowl 2026	29	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	01-12 01:02
will the houston texans win super bowl 2026	20	$1.5K	750	826	-76	open	—	01-18 22:50
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	15	$1.2K	750	500	+250	open	—	01-21 15:35
will the green bay packers win super bowl 2026	13	$777	500	300	+200	open	—	01-11 04:24
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	13	$710	500	345	+155	open	—	02-09 02:20
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	211	$599	0	1,237	-1,237	open	—	06-05 14:37
will the jacksonville jaguars win super bowl 2026	2	$474	250	250	+0	open	—	01-11 20:52
will the los angeles chargers win super bowl 2026	10	$295	250	53	+197	open	—	01-12 04:01
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	1	$158	309	0	+309	open	—	06-06 12:05
will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	4	$137	94	93	+0	open	—	03-09 15:58
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	1	$58	62	0	+62	open	—	05-28 20:29
Trump out as President before GTA VI?	5	$48	94	0	+94	open	—	06-09 13:09
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	1	$35	38	0	+38	open	—	04-16 06:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$26	28	0	+28	Yes	$-26	04-09 11:17
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?	2	$9	12	6	+6	open	—	02-27 19:18
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	1	$9	14	0	+14	open	—	03-25 09:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$9	17	5	+12	open	—	04-24 07:51
US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?	1	$9	18	0	+18	open	—	02-27 20:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	1	$7	18	0	+18	open	—	05-28 09:13
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	1	$7	16	0	+16	open	—	02-27 21:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 13:09:04	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xb592c0…
06-07 15:18:58	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0xcbd913…
06-06 14:39:39	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x93b532…
06-06 13:52:58	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x711ce3…
06-06 12:05:18	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	309	51¢	$158	0x3be0cd…
06-05 14:37:12	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	289	49¢	$142	0x1ffdb1…
06-05 14:35:31	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	289	49¢	$142	0xd05f3c…
06-03 23:09:54	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x54d882…
06-03 22:52:57	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x9d6745…
06-03 22:46:33	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x460ef3…
06-03 22:22:12	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x0df2a8…
06-03 21:36:33	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xd29f1d…
06-03 20:26:00	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x536c98…
06-03 20:19:49	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x6d1893…
06-03 19:42:27	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x039fa7…
06-03 19:21:27	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	26	48¢	$13	0x20c677…
06-03 19:18:37	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x29ecde…
06-03 18:54:18	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$3	0xc8d601…
06-03 17:36:28	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	99	48¢	$48	0x43b330…
06-03 16:36:46	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x4e2ff6…
06-03 15:57:04	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x2d8ad1…
06-03 15:50:25	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x402deb…
06-03 15:30:55	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	46	48¢	$22	0xfdf5a9…
06-03 14:49:15	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xe2de63…
06-03 14:27:36	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0xa27f64…
06-03 14:01:49	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0xdc2120…
06-03 14:01:11	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x3daef1…
06-03 13:57:36	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0x1809f1…
06-03 11:04:40	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0xf037c4…
06-03 07:49:57	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xe9244c…
06-03 07:00:32	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$9	0x2faaab…
06-03 06:00:52	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x102641…
06-03 05:59:51	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x27866a…
06-03 03:44:50	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x6fcc00…
06-03 03:17:49	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x5ead45…
06-03 02:44:27	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x870ecd…
06-03 02:43:14	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x6ee13a…
06-03 00:03:05	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0xc6bb96…
06-03 00:01:25	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x3623ee…
06-02 23:35:24	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	22	48¢	$11	0xdb7c90…
06-02 22:18:05	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x25f31e…
06-02 22:13:23	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0xd23ea4…
06-02 22:06:23	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x267ca0…
06-02 22:04:43	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0xaed204…
06-02 21:54:43	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x3f4202…
06-02 21:50:43	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x385861…
06-02 21:50:01	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x61d5da…
06-02 21:42:28	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x9e6550…
06-02 21:42:02	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x74938f…
06-02 21:39:01	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x12e157…
06-02 21:37:23	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0xe9cdf6…
06-02 21:19:08	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x3fed77…
06-02 21:06:21	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0xa04203…
06-02 20:55:01	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x1e941d…
06-02 20:54:22	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x0b1f61…
06-02 20:49:21	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x1f6070…
06-02 20:38:14	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x66f75f…
06-02 20:02:13	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0xdc043c…
06-02 19:28:58	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x09954c…
06-02 19:16:52	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0xda84d7…
06-02 18:50:14	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x071de7…
06-02 18:28:20	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x82f550…
06-02 17:06:10	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0xbc15a8…
06-02 17:05:30	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	38	48¢	$18	0xdeeba1…
06-02 16:32:50	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x2d1a0e…
06-02 16:28:50	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x675c64…
06-02 15:52:28	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x7b13ad…
06-02 15:51:28	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	19	48¢	$9	0xf1d802…
06-02 15:33:15	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0xd6b6fa…
06-02 15:32:48	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x79be86…
06-02 15:16:07	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0xbd3999…
06-02 13:49:21	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x8079e4…
06-02 13:07:21	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x3d9108…
06-02 13:07:21	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x154ad1…
06-02 12:54:21	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xd68b2e…
06-02 12:52:29	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x690dd6…
06-02 12:23:57	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x154916…
06-02 11:44:17	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0xd6fa12…
06-02 11:28:57	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x466303…
06-02 11:28:23	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x743b4f…
06-02 11:27:57	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x52254e…
06-02 11:24:57	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0xceb41f…
06-02 10:54:37	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x8c9fb0…
06-02 10:13:15	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x63b706…
06-02 10:12:37	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	12	48¢	$6	0xc4c46b…
06-02 10:10:36	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x57d9f2…
06-02 09:10:15	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x1e8190…
06-02 09:08:55	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$3	0xb56f92…
06-02 08:35:42	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0xa7a9ac…
06-02 08:17:35	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0xf64729…
06-02 08:01:53	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0xc4f980…
06-02 08:00:15	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0xcfaee3…
06-02 08:00:14	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x4ae157…
06-02 07:51:53	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0xf667a5…
06-02 07:33:13	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0x32d943…
06-02 07:31:33	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0xd7061a…
06-02 07:14:33	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0xe65d58…
06-02 07:10:53	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x2a89d4…
06-02 06:50:38	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0xd50f80…
06-02 06:22:12	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0xf14410…