Elliptical-Handholding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$101

Unrealized P&L

+$497

Hit rate

67.5%

Resolved

Trades

241

lifetime

Volume

$23.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$99

Open exposure

$1.55K

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 10-26 05:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

72% 64% -$420

Politics

28% 100% +$319

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+44,952	$1,054	3¢	$1.2K	+$182	10-26 05:41
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		-90,000	-$630	0¢	$-315	+$315	05-28 15:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	10	$3.9K	1,791	2,191	-400	No	+$77	04-18 17:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	57	$3.2K	5,098	5,098	+0	No	-$523	05-07 17:57
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	3	$1.8K	604	90,604	-90,000	open	—	05-29 16:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	12	$1.8K	1,983	1,983	+0	No	+$158	04-13 22:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	27	$1.4K	10,705	14,780	-4,074	No	-$1,274	07-01 15:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	8	$1.1K	799	799	+0	open	—	07-29 00:25
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	42	$1.1K	44,952	0	+44,952	open	—	10-26 05:41
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?	9	$959	498	541	-42	No	+$30	06-21 18:33
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	12	$902	700	700	+0	No	+$64	05-23 21:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$775	400	400	+0	No	+$7	05-10 17:05
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	6	$731	668	668	+0	open	—	10-26 05:38
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$681	400	400	+0	Yes	+$113	04-14 01:12
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$613	0	624	-624	No	-$11	06-13 00:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	2	$600	612	0	+612	No	+$12	04-18 11:48
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	16	$583	1,923	55	+1,868	Yes	+$1,379	04-03 18:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	2	$579	300	300	+0	No	+$15	06-10 22:17
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	3	$574	300	300	+0	No	+$4	04-16 21:37
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$496	300	300	+0	No	-$8	04-07 23:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	6	$403	800	800	+0	No	-$377	07-20 12:29
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	7	$378	200	200	+0	No	+$13	04-08 06:47
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	3	$364	365	365	+0	No	+$67	04-08 00:15
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$339	347	0	+347	No	+$8	03-21 03:25
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	3	$231	259	259	+0	open	—	08-05 17:30
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	2	$116	0	174	-174	Yes	+$116	08-11 18:23
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	1	$102	120	0	+120	Yes	+$18	03-11 22:45
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	1	$89	100	0	+100	No	+$11	03-09 22:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 05:41:05	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	6,545	3¢	$170	0x50a8e9…
10-26 05:38:36	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	258	65¢	$168	0x37ae48…
10-09 04:31:55	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	88	63¢	$55	0xe0eed5…
09-30 00:48:39	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	2,000	3¢	$56	0x357ad8…
09-18 11:03:42	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	170	60¢	$102	0x5342f7…
09-15 17:08:28	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	205	55¢	$113	0xc89d6e…
08-30 20:47:21	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	205	49¢	$100	0x2950b9…
08-22 15:46:46	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	410	47¢	$193	0xeea68e…
08-15 21:59:24	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	10,000	2¢	$250	0xc62b9b…
08-11 18:26:27	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	4,000	2¢	$100	0x7ea9fd…
08-11 18:23:55	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	SELL	135	68¢	$92	0x101d1b…
08-05 17:30:20	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	259	44¢	$114	0x06587f…
07-30 22:42:09	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0xd933fc…
07-29 00:25:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	400	54¢	$216	0x20a9f3…
07-29 00:24:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	400	54¢	$216	0x6fe189…
07-20 12:29:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	800	2¢	$13	0x9ac41d…
07-17 10:43:43	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0x3d0dcb…
07-14 18:17:17	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1,488	2¢	$31	0x4efd62…
07-11 07:45:49	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	SELL	38	65¢	$25	0x8fa277…
07-02 17:20:11	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	660	2¢	$14	0x2b718c…
07-02 17:18:37	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1,023	2¢	$21	0xfb8086…
07-02 17:16:40	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1,023	2¢	$21	0x238494…
07-02 17:15:28	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1,023	2¢	$21	0xeaf571…
07-02 17:13:56	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1,023	2¢	$21	0xcc4a94…
07-02 17:11:10	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	247	2¢	$5	0xbcae0d…
07-02 17:07:50	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	547	2¢	$11	0x61c635…
07-02 17:05:16	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1,022	2¢	$21	0xcc275a…
07-02 17:02:52	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	765	2¢	$16	0xc9041c…
07-01 15:56:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	14,780	0¢	$44	0x639ca3…
06-30 07:05:55	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	207	2¢	$4	0xf269ae…
06-30 07:05:55	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	370	2¢	$8	0x1305e1…
06-30 07:00:05	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	3,591	2¢	$75	0x60b463…
06-30 06:59:59	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	167	2¢	$4	0xeb62a7…
06-30 06:55:52	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	665	2¢	$14	0x1ea9ca…
06-30 06:54:38	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	665	2¢	$14	0x3d3691…
06-29 05:57:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	228	1¢	$3	0xd77558…
06-29 05:56:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$13	0xccc0cd…
06-27 22:14:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,600	2¢	$27	0xdc78db…
06-27 22:01:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	495	2¢	$8	0x93ea7b…
06-27 15:58:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,600	3¢	$50	0x27c60c…
06-26 03:48:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$46	0x0929a5…
06-26 02:22:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,107	5¢	$53	0xcde85d…
06-25 01:53:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	131	5¢	$6	0x45c21d…
06-25 01:52:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x931542…
06-25 01:51:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x90b164…
06-25 01:50:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	858	4¢	$39	0xd6badb…
06-21 18:33:55	Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?	No	SELL	270	96¢	$260	0xf2eb43…
06-20 15:48:59	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$12	0xbf0d5a…
06-15 04:55:46	Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?	No	SELL	270	95¢	$256	0x16d0e1…
06-14 13:43:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	500	17¢	$85	0xdcefb7…
06-13 17:12:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x998656…
06-13 16:04:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	43	85¢	$36	0x545f41…
06-13 16:04:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	56	85¢	$48	0x05caa5…
06-13 15:52:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd4bded…
06-13 15:21:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0xa364ad…
06-13 00:11:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	475	84¢	$400	0x72cb30…
06-13 00:11:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	468	99¢	$465	0xe528b0…
06-11 22:21:52	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xfbad04…
06-11 19:56:48	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0xfabe51…
06-11 19:42:40	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	2,000	2¢	$46	0xc1f8ba…
06-11 16:38:27	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0x777b16…
06-11 16:38:21	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	214	2¢	$5	0xb2d083…
06-11 14:54:36	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xa087c1…
06-11 13:51:06	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x968a94…
06-11 13:14:31	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x514347…
06-11 12:47:18	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x947fb4…
06-11 12:46:10	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0xc314e6…
06-11 12:40:39	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0x719dac…
06-11 11:43:09	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0x4ed5f8…
06-11 11:25:15	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	39	2¢	$1	0xf87b17…
06-11 09:19:03	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x902c1d…
06-11 09:13:54	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x7c0178…
06-11 09:06:33	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x5b3d3f…
06-11 06:08:13	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x6990e1…
06-11 05:24:37	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	319	2¢	$7	0x316798…
06-10 22:17:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	300	99¢	$297	0xe37c6e…
05-31 02:55:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	87	48¢	$42	0x4b88c3…
05-31 02:54:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x67b2b9…
05-31 02:51:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x30562a…
05-31 02:50:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	600	49¢	$294	0xd2c73b…
05-31 02:49:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	103	48¢	$50	0x8d3384…
05-30 01:09:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	300	36¢	$108	0x35c6b6…
05-29 17:12:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x3b9880…
05-29 16:43:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	68	43¢	$29	0x1f2516…
05-29 16:14:16	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	604	99¢	$599	0xdef22c…
05-28 15:51:41	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	604	99¢	$600	0x6118ca…
05-28 15:49:12	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	90,000	1¢	$630	0x4bb421…
05-27 15:50:26	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	59	49¢	$29	0x128d9a…
05-27 15:16:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	190	42¢	$80	0x7e95f4…
05-27 15:14:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xffd060…
05-26 00:25:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0xb91da8…
05-25 17:25:55	Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xda5346…
05-24 22:51:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0xa62e4a…
05-24 17:10:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x1f591b…
05-23 21:25:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	700	69¢	$483	0x119cf2…
05-12 20:14:55	Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?	No	BUY	33	87¢	$29	0xde5c52…
05-10 20:50:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	266	41¢	$109	0x16f861…
05-10 20:25:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	34	41¢	$14	0x8bd050…
05-10 17:08:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	300	94¢	$282	0x12c145…
05-10 17:05:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	400	98¢	$391	0xa8a5af…