on-cinema 0xb7de57…30b802
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.60K
Unrealized P&L
+$32
Hit rate
70.8%
Resolved
151
Trades
3,516
lifetime
Volume
$185.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$53
Open exposure
$110.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-27 03:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 35 days
Categories
Politics
67% 88% -$531
Other
31% 72% -$1,412
Sports
2% 94% +$366
Tech
0% — —
Crypto
0% 0% -$25
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +14,980 $14,212 96¢ $14.4K +$153 10-27 09:12
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +15,404 $13,617 90¢ $13.9K +$270 10-18 08:43
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +13,318 $11,354 88¢ $11.7K +$386 10-25 08:28
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +14,413 $11,600 81¢ $11.7K +$53 10-12 08:24
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +11,111 $10,257 87¢ $9.7K -$597 10-26 06:38
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +9,900 $9,282 91¢ $9.0K -$307 10-18 06:34
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +7,420 $7,210 97¢ $7.2K -$9 07-26 02:28
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +5,090 $4,930 99¢ $5.0K +$92 06-06 14:41
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +3,500 $3,425 97¢ $3.4K -$14 06-10 03:04
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +3,101 $3,044 98¢ $3.1K +$9 10-15 05:20
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,990 $2,913 98¢ $2.9K +$29 06-05 11:15
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,925 $2,848 97¢ $2.8K -$11 05-16 15:58
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,221 $2,194 99¢ $2.2K +$15 05-13 21:10
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,212 $2,178 98¢ $2.2K -$11 10-10 16:16
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +1,522 $1,362 91¢ $1.4K +$30 10-26 23:13
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,200 $1,116 92¢ $1.1K -$6 10-24 21:12
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +1,209 $934 82¢ $986 +$52 10-26 21:46
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -7,366 -$541 13¢ $-961 -$420 10-24 21:15
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +753 $741 98¢ $740 -$1 10-10 21:12
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -7,676 -$311 9¢ $-718 -$407 06-01 01:45
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +1,776 $465 39¢ $692 +$228 10-25 17:46
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -5,158 -$736 12¢ $-611 +$125 10-19 00:23
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +600 $591 99¢ $595 +$4 05-14 01:37
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -3,054 -$580 19¢ $-585 -$4 10-25 11:50
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +600 $438 91¢ $546 +$108 10-24 21:46
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +487 $476 99¢ $483 +$7 05-20 19:07
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No -1,101 -$681 44¢ $-479 +$202 10-16 17:05
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +500 $367 83¢ $417 +$50 05-29 15:29
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +400 $396 100¢ $399 +$4 05-27 20:39
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +400 $396 100¢ $399 +$3 05-21 01:59