on-cinema 0xb7de57…30b802
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.60K
Unrealized P&L
+$420
Hit rate
70.8%
Resolved
151
Trades
3,518
lifetime
Volume
$186.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$53
Open exposure
$110.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-27 11:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 35 days
Categories
Politics
67% 88% -$531
Other
31% 72% -$1,412
Sports
2% 94% +$366
Tech
0% — —
Crypto
0% 0% -$25
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +14,980 $14,212 96¢ $14.4K +$161 10-27 09:12
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +15,404 $13,617 90¢ $13.9K +$286 10-18 08:43
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +14,413 $11,600 82¢ $11.8K +$175 10-12 08:24
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +13,318 $11,354 88¢ $11.7K +$373 10-25 08:28
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +11,111 $10,257 87¢ $9.7K -$591 10-26 06:38
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +9,900 $9,282 91¢ $9.0K -$307 10-18 06:34
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +7,420 $7,210 97¢ $7.2K -$9 07-26 02:28
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +5,090 $4,930 99¢ $5.0K +$95 06-06 14:41
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +3,500 $3,425 97¢ $3.4K -$14 06-10 03:04
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +3,101 $3,044 99¢ $3.1K +$18 10-15 05:20
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,990 $2,913 99¢ $2.9K +$33 06-05 11:15
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,925 $2,848 98¢ $2.9K +$4 05-16 15:58
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,221 $2,194 99¢ $2.2K +$15 05-13 21:10
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,212 $2,178 98¢ $2.2K -$7 10-10 16:16
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +1,522 $1,362 93¢ $1.4K +$50 10-26 23:13
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +1,209 $934 92¢ $1.1K +$185 10-26 21:46
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,200 $1,116 92¢ $1.1K -$6 10-24 21:12
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -7,366 -$541 13¢ $-958 -$416 10-24 21:15
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +753 $741 98¢ $740 -$1 10-10 21:12
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -7,676 -$311 9¢ $-718 -$407 06-01 01:45
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +1,736 $448 39¢ $677 +$229 10-27 11:53
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -5,158 -$736 12¢ $-616 +$120 10-19 00:23
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +600 $591 99¢ $595 +$4 05-14 01:37
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -3,054 -$580 18¢ $-559 +$21 10-25 11:50
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +600 $438 92¢ $549 +$111 10-24 21:46
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +487 $476 99¢ $483 +$7 05-20 19:07
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No -1,101 -$681 40¢ $-446 +$235 10-16 17:05
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +500 $367 83¢ $417 +$50 05-29 15:29
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +400 $396 100¢ $399 +$4 05-27 20:39
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +400 $396 100¢ $399 +$3 05-21 01:59