on-cinema 0xb7de57…30b802 Create alert
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$4.14K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.07K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
1
Trades (7d)
167
3,773 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$15.5K
$204.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$54
Open exposure
$122.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-11 18:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Politics
68% 85% -$446
Other
30% 73% +$2,728
Sports
1% 94% +$366
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
0% 0% -$25
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +16,980 $16,149 97¢ $16.4K +$279 11-11 13:46
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +16,404 $14,524 91¢ $14.9K +$363 11-11 18:41
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +13,318 $11,354 92¢ $12.3K +$919 10-25 08:28
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +14,413 $11,600 83¢ $11.9K +$312 10-12 08:24
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +11,111 $10,257 89¢ $9.9K -$319 10-26 06:38
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +11,120 $10,289 83¢ $9.2K -$1,099 11-11 08:09
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +7,420 $7,210 97¢ $7.2K +$21 07-26 02:28
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +5,090 $4,930 99¢ $5.0K +$87 06-06 14:41
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +4,500 $4,398 97¢ $4.4K -$26 11-10 20:32
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +4,101 $4,030 98¢ $4.0K +$8 11-11 02:08
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +3,990 $3,899 99¢ $3.9K +$37 11-11 07:45
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +3,108 $3,020 94¢ $2.9K -$101 11-11 07:51
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +2,522 $2,257 88¢ $2.2K -$45 11-11 10:27
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,221 $2,194 100¢ $2.2K +$17 05-13 21:10
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,212 $2,178 98¢ $2.2K -$9 10-10 16:16
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,653 $1,630 99¢ $1.6K +$2 11-10 18:07
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -7,676 -$311 17¢ $-1332 -$1,021 06-01 01:45
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,300 $1,273 98¢ $1.3K +$2 11-11 08:13
JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? Yes +8,677 $1,547 15¢ $1.3K -$289 11-11 15:32
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +1,209 $934 87¢ $1.1K +$118 10-26 21:46
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,000 $996 100¢ $996 $0 11-11 16:00
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,000 $991 99¢ $990 -$1 11-11 00:09
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -15,751 -$325 6¢ $-961 -$636 10-31 06:58
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -7,366 -$541 11¢ $-777 -$236 10-24 21:15
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -4,054 -$762 17¢ $-703 +$59 10-29 17:38
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +600 $591 99¢ $597 +$5 05-14 01:37
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +600 $438 98¢ $587 +$149 10-24 21:46
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +500 $367 89¢ $446 +$79 05-29 15:29
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -14,376 -$335 3¢ $-410 -$74 11-11 04:22
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -5,158 -$736 8¢ $-405 +$331 10-19 00:23