Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$799

Unrealized P&L

-$172

Hit rate

43.0%

Resolved

Trades

7,195

lifetime

Volume

$3.25M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$452

Open exposure

$998

1 position

First seen

2026-02-08

last 06-24 23:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

48% 100% +$220

Other

36% 0% $-1,019

Crypto

14% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No		+1,500	$1,170	66¢	$998	$-172	06-24 23:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	121	$259.6K	184,057	87,373	+96,683	open	—	03-22 23:20
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	46	$140.5K	145,865	75,865	+70,000	open	—	03-03 22:51
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	107	$112.7K	73,000	62,000	+11,000	open	—	03-30 04:55
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	136	$110.0K	106,163	12,812	+93,351	open	—	03-30 17:12
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	87	$108.1K	83,751	30,172	+53,578	open	—	03-30 18:33
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	72	$100.4K	77,955	91,359	-13,403	open	—	03-12 00:51
bad bunny video becomes most viewed sb halftime on youtube in 1st month	85	$93.5K	48,888	47,130	+1,758	open	—	02-22 12:47
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	43	$86.4K	49,000	43,120	+5,880	open	—	03-24 14:00
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	39	$79.0K	40,000	40,000	+0	open	—	02-28 07:35
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	28	$76.1K	87,587	0	+87,587	open	—	03-31 01:45
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	10	$68.3K	47,218	22,218	+25,000	open	—	03-14 08:03
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	61	$68.1K	37,181	37,181	+0	open	—	02-28 07:05
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	108	$61.1K	26,324	35,324	-9,000	open	—	03-16 00:41
trump out as president by march 31	14	$61.0K	31,000	31,000	+0	open	—	03-17 05:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	14	$54.1K	27,500	27,500	+0	open	—	04-27 11:40
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	30	$50.4K	27,000	27,000	+0	open	—	04-27 17:37
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	13	$50.0K	61,425	61,425	+0	open	—	03-01 02:11
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	200	$48.9K	61,125	0	+61,125	open	—	02-24 23:30
will the us invade iran by march 31	37	$40.6K	39,768	5,079	+34,689	open	—	03-27 08:47
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	225	$39.4K	21,000	20,999	+1	open	—	03-26 10:30
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	4	$38.9K	24,000	24,000	+0	open	—	04-12 21:39
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	16	$37.3K	41,854	0	+41,854	open	—	02-28 00:38
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	23	$35.8K	18,666	18,666	+0	open	—	03-17 06:47
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	16	$35.7K	55,000	0	+55,000	open	—	03-29 10:23
will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	32	$32.4K	32,742	0	+32,742	open	—	03-01 06:22
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	93	$32.1K	19,787	19,787	+0	open	—	04-13 05:51
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	73	$30.2K	67,000	32,000	+35,000	open	—	03-29 06:27
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	33	$30.2K	31,442	0	+31,442	open	—	03-28 16:07
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	51	$29.0K	16,620	16,620	+0	open	—	03-22 22:56
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	274	$28.3K	11,898	20,898	-9,000	open	—	03-29 23:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 23:35:23	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	1,500	78¢	$1,170	0x66835d…
04-30 02:15:48	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x19b7e7…
04-27 17:37:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	27,000	100¢	$26,946	0xe96f70…
04-27 11:40:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,800	100¢	$1,797	0x122384…
04-27 11:30:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	601	100¢	$600	0xd419a4…
04-27 11:30:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	601	100¢	$600	0x20cdee…
04-27 11:24:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3,333	100¢	$3,327	0xec985e…
04-27 11:03:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3,008	100¢	$3,002	0xdb45c9…
04-27 11:01:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x8eeb5c…
04-27 10:45:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x94f9c1…
04-27 10:43:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x0e3219…
04-27 10:42:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x4ac5d1…
04-27 10:39:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x43a798…
04-27 10:20:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18,014	100¢	$17,978	0x311807…
04-22 16:58:18	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	2,422	99¢	$2,410	0x8e94c2…
04-22 03:18:06	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	44	1¢	$0	0x0c03ee…
04-22 03:03:46	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2,540	1¢	$25	0x91e8b0…
04-21 22:56:16	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	414	2¢	$10	0x8bfa10…
04-21 21:59:12	USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	58	16¢	$9	0x7ca177…
04-18 00:55:20	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	2,260	97¢	$2,192	0xb20ce1…
04-17 13:05:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	58	92¢	$53	0x5e520a…
04-17 12:50:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	54	92¢	$50	0x2bd2d4…
04-17 12:00:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0xa07a23…
04-17 10:59:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x7c4412…
04-17 10:58:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x9601ff…
04-17 10:55:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x47902d…
04-17 10:55:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x3c7f59…
04-17 09:46:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x4e0146…
04-17 08:45:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x333b27…
04-17 08:07:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	135	92¢	$124	0x116e83…
04-17 07:58:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	326	92¢	$300	0x93d610…
04-17 07:48:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	125	92¢	$115	0x63bf5c…
04-17 07:44:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0xc0a8e0…
04-17 07:26:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0xe86285…
04-17 07:23:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0xadb9e7…
04-17 07:12:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$11	0x993a0b…
04-17 07:09:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0x22b227…
04-17 07:08:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x582848…
04-17 07:04:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	821	92¢	$756	0x17ea23…
04-15 17:22:24	Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	No	SELL	115	13¢	$15	0x95f206…
04-13 05:51:55	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	4,854	99¢	$4,825	0x16214a…
04-13 05:45:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd3de6f…
04-13 05:45:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x850d9f…
04-13 05:45:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x603c10…
04-13 05:45:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6e1a96…
04-13 05:45:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	14,923	99¢	$14,833	0x614c21…
04-12 21:39:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	24,000	100¢	$23,904	0x012110…
04-12 20:40:17	Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	No	SELL	23	13¢	$3	0xa920a1…
04-11 13:42:59	Will Iran strike Hungary by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x4864a6…
04-11 13:42:41	Will Iran strike Germany by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	205	99¢	$203	0x038e1b…
04-10 15:50:13	Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	No	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x71bcd8…
04-10 04:26:49	Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	No	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0xfdea55…
04-10 04:26:19	Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	No	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x6eae7d…
04-10 02:25:37	Will Matthew Smith be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x4f6541…
04-10 02:25:37	Will Matthew Smith be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x49ced7…
04-10 02:25:37	Will Matthew Smith be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x2d8ec8…
04-10 02:25:37	Will Matthew Smith be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x2b6c8c…
04-10 02:25:37	Will Matthew Smith be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x24063e…
04-10 02:25:37	Will Matthew Smith be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x00b934…
04-10 02:25:35	Will Matthew Smith be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xe7ff44…
04-10 02:25:35	Will Matthew Smith be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xcdb1b7…
04-10 02:25:35	Will Matthew Smith be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x4a3f4c…
04-10 02:25:35	Will Matthew Smith be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x2e48d0…
04-10 02:25:35	Will Matthew Smith be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x1ce7c3…
04-10 02:25:35	Will Matthew Smith be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x18dd4b…
04-10 02:25:33	Will Matthew Smith be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xf2d364…
04-10 02:25:33	Will Matthew Smith be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x87a1fd…
04-10 02:25:33	Will Matthew Smith be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x072f58…
04-10 02:25:31	Will Matthew Smith be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	Yes	SELL	62	1¢	$1	0x266e6a…
04-09 08:03:35	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	5,192	99¢	$5,140	0xc64856…
04-09 06:50:29	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	202	99¢	$200	0xe9689b…
04-08 00:22:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	3,000	1¢	$30	0xeb122d…
04-08 00:22:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	721	1¢	$7	0x1d6541…
04-08 00:22:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	500	1¢	$5	0x369efd…
04-08 00:22:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x280d21…
04-08 00:22:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	10,769	1¢	$108	0x4ec380…
04-07 09:48:39	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?	No	BUY	428	100¢	$427	0x4e4156…
04-07 09:48:37	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?	No	BUY	571	100¢	$569	0x25b3e2…
04-07 09:48:35	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?	No	BUY	761	100¢	$758	0x7754f0…
04-07 05:49:45	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x7d299d…
04-07 05:44:03	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x494474…
04-06 08:50:53	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x1c041f…
04-06 08:50:27	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0xa46839…
04-06 08:50:09	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x0965bb…
04-06 08:40:05	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0xd38635…
04-06 08:39:27	USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	76	8¢	$6	0xf7fe09…
04-06 08:24:39	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x998265…
04-06 08:21:57	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	67	99¢	$67	0xc2267a…
04-06 08:16:35	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1e85e5…
04-06 07:52:57	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	87	99¢	$86	0x2417a2…
04-06 07:45:31	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x330f46…
04-06 07:45:09	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	106	99¢	$105	0x3b6d01…
04-06 07:32:21	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbdb905…
04-06 07:22:59	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	148	99¢	$146	0x1ce7a9…
04-06 07:15:45	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1fa57d…
04-06 06:58:25	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0xe714b8…
04-06 06:40:49	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	1,796	99¢	$1,779	0x819071…
04-03 03:10:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5,000	68¢	$3,400	0x36dcc9…
04-03 01:09:51	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	158	68¢	$107	0xb4c25b…
04-03 01:09:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	12	68¢	$8	0x82ae1e…