Realized P&L
-$117.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.91K
Hit rate
81.0%
Resolved
261
Trades
9,559
lifetime
Volume
$3.33M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$348
Open exposure
$60.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-08
last 10-26 23:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 52 days
Categories
Politics
48% 63% -$164,824
Other
36% 73% -$20,261
Crypto
14% 83% +$51,730
Tech
2% 100% +$15,470
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -22,995 -$15,976 76¢ $-17591 -$1,615 10-05 15:17
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -39,231 -$7,707 19¢ $-7513 +$194 04-30 23:11
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -9,000 -$6,620 79¢ $-7110 -$490 10-05 12:41
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -5,000 -$4,779 96¢ $-4798 -$19 10-03 20:45
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -5,000 -$4,750 94¢ $-4725 +$25 10-03 20:45
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -100,000 -$3,400 4¢ $-3550 -$150 05-28 18:23
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -60,000 -$3,060 5¢ $-3000 +$60 05-05 12:21
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -149,999 -$3,000 1¢ $-2100 +$900 05-28 18:22
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -79,018 -$1,738 3¢ $-2015 -$277 06-02 13:57
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -40,000 -$440 2¢ $-980 -$540 05-05 22:56
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -33,150 -$961 3¢ $-978 -$17 08-27 06:10
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -40,000 -$720 2¢ $-820 -$100 08-17 18:45
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -37,833 -$1,173 2¢ $-794 +$378 07-29 03:17
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -848 -$755 90¢ $-759 -$4 10-05 03:35
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -100,000 -$2,202 1¢ $-600 +$1,602 05-31 03:33
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -100,000 -$1,400 1¢ $-550 +$850 07-21 03:16
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -20,117 -$563 2¢ $-503 +$60 10-25 14:27
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -40,000 -$480 1¢ $-360 +$120 05-13 21:55
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -40,000 -$680 1¢ $-300 +$380 05-19 18:59
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -10,980 -$417 2¢ $-225 +$192 05-02 19:41
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -9,896 -$334 2¢ $-193 +$141 05-22 17:48
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -28,238 -$282 1¢ $-184 +$99 05-08 02:14
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -40,000 -$360 0¢ $-140 +$220 05-06 06:35
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -40,000 -$400 0¢ $-140 +$260 05-19 22:04
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -40,000 -$280 0¢ $-140 +$140 05-04 13:42
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -32,014 -$288 0¢ $-64 +$224 05-05 11:19
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -40,000 -$320 0¢ $-60 +$260 06-26 14:02
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -3,772 -$41 1¢ $-40 +$2 10-27 01:00
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,678 $8 1¢ $13 +$4 08-01 04:17
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,968 -$16 0¢ $-3 +$13 05-24 12:37