Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14.4K

Unrealized P&L

-$317

Hit rate

80.7%

Resolved

Trades

301

lifetime

Volume

$65.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$218

Open exposure

$1.26K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-25 21:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Politics

83% 47% +$14,608

Other

16% 23% -$223

Sports

1% 9% +$53

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+6,100	$1,000	12¢	$708	-$293	05-19 13:36
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+18,400	$492	3¢	$469	-$23	10-04 00:50
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+400	$48	12¢	$50	+$2	08-22 14:30
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	+217	$35	14¢	$31	-$4	06-18 19:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	24	$37.4K	25,750	25,750	+0	No	+$12,054	06-19 23:38
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	51	$5.4K	6,400	4,699	+1,701	No	+$856	01-14 13:07
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$3.8K	0	3,800	-3,800	No	-$23	06-17 07:26
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	3	$2.4K	0	2,400	-2,400	Yes	-$33	06-16 18:45
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	11	$1.8K	2,395	3,395	-1,000	No	+$150	01-14 22:49
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	11	$1.6K	3,573	2,345	+1,228	No	+$1,395	04-08 14:26
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	5	$1.6K	4,000	4,000	-0	open	—	10-25 21:20
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	45	$1.4K	6,980	2,194	+4,787	Yes	-$698	04-09 10:36
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$1.3K	2,200	0	+2,200	Yes	+$946	01-29 20:26
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	2	$1.1K	1,300	1,300	+0	Yes	+$65	03-28 21:30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	4	$1.0K	1,600	0	+1,600	No	+$592	04-19 16:12
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	22	$1.0K	6,100	0	+6,100	open	—	05-19 13:36
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$960	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$0	03-28 05:04
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	9	$918	2,210	0	+2,210	No	-$918	05-19 16:19
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	6	$704	800	800	+0	Yes	$0	05-19 13:26
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	33	$492	18,400	0	+18,400	open	—	10-04 00:50
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$391	1,268	0	+1,268	No	+$878	04-17 17:27
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	13	$384	3,200	3,200	+0	No	-$64	02-23 14:27
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	4	$312	2,400	0	+2,400	No	-$312	01-30 03:34
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	5	$280	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$280	01-30 10:13
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	2	$242	400	0	+400	No	+$158	01-14 22:32
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	4	$210	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$210	01-29 20:55
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	9	$134	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$20	04-25 09:23
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	1	$105	250	0	+250	No	-$105	07-07 17:24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	2	$100	400	0	+400	No	-$100	04-25 06:41
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$74	1,200	0	+1,200	No	-$74	06-16 16:28
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30	2	$72	161	0	+161	No	+$88	06-25 13:00
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$60	400	0	+400	Yes	+$340	07-06 10:24
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	3	$56	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-23 20:59
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$50	3,600	0	+3,600	No	-$50	07-06 10:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 21:20:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1,419	16¢	$227	0xf898db…
10-25 20:43:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x64c4f9…
10-25 20:42:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	510	16¢	$82	0xfdb7d4…
10-25 20:32:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	2,065	16¢	$330	0x8e5cca…
10-23 19:48:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	4,000	25¢	$1,000	0xa64d76…
10-04 00:50:05	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5,700	3¢	$154	0x1f7b87…
09-24 10:52:23	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	3,800	3¢	$106	0xb5df0c…
09-24 10:50:05	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	3,700	3¢	$104	0xeffe5e…
08-22 14:30:42	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	400	12¢	$48	0xf529d9…
08-04 12:53:59	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	3,000	2¢	$75	0xdd69bb…
08-01 03:14:39	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1,237	2¢	$30	0x2ab3f5…
08-01 00:21:57	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x9cee5f…
08-01 00:05:05	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0xbd3bae…
07-31 21:34:54	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x331e31…
07-31 21:31:48	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x62640f…
07-31 21:15:38	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xad6683…
07-31 15:48:21	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x3c1219…
07-31 14:40:09	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x428878…
07-31 12:11:11	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	478	2¢	$11	0xec0d15…
07-31 08:41:12	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	146	2¢	$3	0x8fc51a…
07-31 05:47:51	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	104	2¢	$2	0x256bca…
07-31 03:51:29	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xf2e6aa…
07-30 20:59:42	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xee119d…
07-30 19:02:06	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xf2fd7f…
07-30 18:20:18	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xa0200b…
07-30 18:00:26	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x0718c4…
07-30 17:46:29	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x3e583b…
07-30 17:29:20	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x85453b…
07-30 16:50:20	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xe9dd40…
07-30 16:40:12	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x12067b…
07-30 15:51:57	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x27f18c…
07-30 15:15:39	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2e3d7f…
07-30 15:02:23	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xfac6fe…
07-30 14:38:56	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x7261cd…
07-30 14:33:56	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x318e1a…
07-30 13:50:03	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x9ffdad…
07-30 13:40:15	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xced359…
07-30 13:23:14	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x2ce486…
07-30 12:31:39	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xb2523e…
07-07 17:24:01	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	250	42¢	$105	0x877392…
07-07 17:17:08	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	600	1¢	$4	0xc885c8…
07-07 17:17:07	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,500	1¢	$18	0x92addd…
07-07 17:15:35	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,000	1¢	$21	0xf2bb2d…
07-06 10:25:41	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	800	3¢	$25	0xad0a3c…
07-06 10:24:10	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0xcecc98…
07-06 10:23:56	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x3edc84…
07-06 10:23:38	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x557e44…
07-06 10:23:25	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x811145…
07-06 10:22:47	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,010	1¢	$20	0x2f403c…
07-06 10:19:35	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,600	1¢	$50	0x83934d…
06-25 13:00:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30	No	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x0b33e3…
06-25 12:48:53	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30	No	BUY	61	52¢	$31	0xa8be08…
06-22 12:48:13	Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	70	12¢	$8	0x923e1d…
06-22 12:47:46	Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	390	2¢	$9	0x5c3f37…
06-22 12:47:01	Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0x62df4b…
06-22 12:46:43	Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xd1347e…
06-19 23:38:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	3,459	96¢	$3,320	0x70680c…
06-19 23:33:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x478e4b…
06-19 23:31:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xefaf53…
06-19 23:31:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	20,000	96¢	$19,200	0xc8efd6…
06-19 23:26:59	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x72be4a…
06-19 23:26:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	2,281	96¢	$2,190	0x9a80b4…
06-18 19:38:07	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0xf872dd…
06-18 19:34:37	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	47	16¢	$8	0x4aec4a…
06-18 18:59:32	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	157	16¢	$25	0x897e3e…
06-18 09:23:41	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	3,000	37¢	$1,110	0x7cee6f…
06-18 09:08:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5,000	39¢	$1,950	0x961c96…
06-17 07:55:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1,700	52¢	$884	0xbae717…
06-17 07:48:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	300	52¢	$156	0xd9ee3b…
06-17 07:32:34	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1,300	54¢	$702	0x3fa536…
06-17 07:31:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2,000	54¢	$1,080	0x464d8a…
06-17 07:29:04	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	34	53¢	$18	0x4a0e0e…
06-17 07:29:04	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1,966	53¢	$1,042	0x10da9a…
06-17 07:26:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	3,800	99¢	$3,777	0xb74dae…
06-16 20:16:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	481	60¢	$288	0x926713…
06-16 20:04:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	387	60¢	$232	0x920777…
06-16 19:48:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	206	60¢	$124	0x2bb7e2…
06-16 19:43:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	95	60¢	$57	0x1c5101…
06-16 19:25:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	112	60¢	$67	0xf4e22a…
06-16 19:19:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	519	60¢	$312	0x394620…
06-16 18:48:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	350	60¢	$210	0xd72070…
06-16 18:48:41	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1,600	63¢	$1,008	0x8c9984…
06-16 18:45:53	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	SELL	1,381	99¢	$1,362	0xf03cb9…
06-16 18:37:11	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x5c373b…
06-16 18:37:10	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	SELL	959	99¢	$946	0x62f063…
06-16 16:28:26	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	955	6¢	$59	0xa805f5…
06-16 16:26:35	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	245	6¢	$15	0xd71462…
06-16 16:18:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	4,000	60¢	$2,400	0x07bfea…
06-12 16:43:19	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x4b633b…
06-11 13:22:54	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$18	0xe9d8b5…
06-11 12:19:07	Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xea5810…
06-11 12:18:34	Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x6a48c0…
05-19 16:19:17	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	1,300	39¢	$507	0x9f2430…
05-19 13:36:58	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	434	16¢	$71	0xe2ee1d…
05-19 13:35:29	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	690	16¢	$113	0x442e43…
05-19 13:33:56	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	16¢	$164	0x24aaf9…
05-19 13:32:25	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	16¢	$164	0xb44b4b…
05-19 13:30:54	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	16¢	$164	0xd511c0…
05-19 13:29:22	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	500	16¢	$82	0x358db5…
05-19 13:27:52	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	500	16¢	$82	0xb003b0…