Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$657

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

24.7%

Resolved

Trades

122

lifetime

Volume

$1.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$54

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 10-26 13:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Politics

76% 13% -$367

Other

21% 0% -$292

Sports

3% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	-500	-$30	6¢	$-32	-$2	10-26 13:06
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-1,429	-$10	1¢	$-15	-$5	06-08 01:48
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-1,111	-$12	1¢	$-6	+$6	06-08 01:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	2	$160	208	208	+0	No	+$110	04-20 16:43
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	1	$148	450	0	+450	Yes	+$302	02-28 04:36
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	3	$147	871	0	+871	No	-$147	10-26 13:08
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$100	1,707	0	+1,707	No	-$100	02-19 00:57
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	1	$100	4,348	0	+4,348	No	-$100	02-25 03:34
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	1	$100	3,835	0	+3,835	No	-$100	02-19 00:57
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	3	$99	32,200	0	+32,200	No	-$99	02-19 00:56
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	1	$98	350	0	+350	No	-$98	03-17 03:42
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	1	$50	2,500	0	+2,500	No	-$50	02-23 03:41
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	1	$50	2,083	0	+2,083	No	-$50	02-22 04:51
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	1	$50	1,786	0	+1,786	No	-$50	02-24 03:52
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$42	91	91	+0	No	+$2	06-14 02:40
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	1	$40	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$40	02-28 00:48
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$40	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$40	03-17 03:45
will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	40	$39	2,348	0	+2,348	No	-$39	03-18 00:00
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	1	$30	250	0	+250	No	-$30	03-17 03:48
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1	$30	0	500	-500	open	—	10-26 13:06
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$25	1,917	0	+1,917	No	-$25	04-19 13:02
will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	43	$20	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$20	03-18 13:45
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$20	400	400	+0	open	—	10-26 13:07
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$14	323	323	+0	open	—	10-26 13:07
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	2	$13	548	0	+548	No	-$13	06-14 00:56
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$12	0	1,111	-1,111	open	—	06-08 01:48
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	1	$10	1,429	0	+1,429	No	-$10	06-08 01:49
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$10	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$10	03-17 22:52
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	1	$10	41	0	+41	Yes	-$10	04-20 03:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$10	06-14 02:56
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	1	$10	357	0	+357	No	-$10	04-20 03:27
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	1	$10	238	0	+238	No	-$10	06-14 02:59
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$10	3,333	0	+3,333	No	-$10	06-14 03:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 13:08:45	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	88	16¢	$14	0xdad356…
10-26 13:08:35	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	184	16¢	$29	0x814023…
10-26 13:07:36	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	323	1¢	$4	0x8cb497…
10-26 13:07:06	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	400	2¢	$10	0xa6086b…
10-26 13:06:47	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	500	6¢	$30	0xcf378d…
10-26 13:04:11	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	599	17¢	$103	0xe211fc…
08-16 18:23:58	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1,250	0¢	$1	0xbfde15…
06-14 03:05:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x301e87…
06-14 03:02:49	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0xee5ea2…
06-14 03:02:37	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	323	3¢	$10	0x682fb4…
06-14 02:59:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	BUY	238	4¢	$10	0xcce705…
06-14 02:56:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xeeb261…
06-14 02:40:49	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	91	24¢	$22	0x4f1f30…
06-14 01:41:46	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x52c76f…
06-14 00:56:46	Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?	Yes	BUY	215	1¢	$3	0xa541f8…
06-13 02:11:22	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x5c1ab5…
06-08 01:49:39	Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1,429	1¢	$10	0xc95347…
06-08 01:48:13	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1,429	1¢	$10	0x5d4a36…
06-08 01:48:07	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1,111	1¢	$12	0x3a215f…
04-20 16:43:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	SELL	208	65¢	$135	0x22f965…
04-20 03:27:08	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	357	3¢	$10	0x07861f…
04-20 03:24:46	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	41	25¢	$10	0x6153f7…
04-19 13:02:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,917	1¢	$25	0x76a9e4…
04-19 12:59:24	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0x82a42e…
03-18 13:45:09	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	8,570	0¢	$17	0x3d13e0…
03-18 13:45:07	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xddd6fd…
03-18 13:45:07	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xa3925b…
03-18 13:45:07	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x3e18de…
03-18 13:44:01	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x096acc…
03-18 07:22:11	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x363cf3…
03-18 07:22:01	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0x6b9dad…
03-18 07:22:01	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x238e51…
03-18 07:21:23	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x54a2c6…
03-18 06:43:15	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	152	0¢	$0	0xcef4a5…
03-18 06:39:03	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0x89e0b1…
03-18 04:19:11	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	178	0¢	$0	0xd21d36…
03-18 04:19:05	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xef820d…
03-18 04:19:05	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x89e5b5…
03-18 04:19:05	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x3740d1…
03-18 01:12:43	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x2f5af3…
03-18 01:11:45	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xaef017…
03-18 01:11:37	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf25e6b…
03-18 01:11:19	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x6ec2b2…
03-18 01:11:19	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x571ca7…
03-18 00:36:55	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	71	0¢	$0	0x7ade1f…
03-18 00:36:01	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xa2369d…
03-18 00:35:59	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x3d753f…
03-18 00:07:55	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x5d6c52…
03-18 00:00:29	will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x90d864…
03-17 23:56:39	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x97d9da…
03-17 23:56:39	will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x01a32e…
03-17 23:56:37	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x6601a9…
03-17 23:56:37	will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5460eb…
03-17 23:56:35	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb76e19…
03-17 23:56:35	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x96f0e5…
03-17 23:56:35	will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x62bf3f…
03-17 23:56:35	will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x26d6d3…
03-17 23:34:31	will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8ff06c…
03-17 23:34:31	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x78f996…
03-17 23:34:31	will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5bbad9…
03-17 23:34:31	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x3a7d3d…
03-17 23:34:13	will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xd0e8e4…
03-17 23:34:13	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xce47af…
03-17 23:33:47	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	81	0¢	$0	0x43e462…
03-17 23:33:47	will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	81	1¢	$1	0x387d38…
03-17 23:28:07	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xddd25f…
03-17 23:28:07	will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xcb3ce5…
03-17 23:21:25	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd93222…
03-17 23:21:25	will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x687c4b…
03-17 23:04:47	will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe9a7d4…
03-17 23:04:47	will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xde0a93…
03-17 23:04:47	will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	202	1¢	$2	0xac39ca…
03-17 23:04:47	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x9ba541…
03-17 23:04:47	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x19c58c…
03-17 23:04:29	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xe85158…
03-17 23:04:29	will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x12967c…
03-17 23:04:01	will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xc37b5b…
03-17 23:04:01	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	71	0¢	$0	0xbdb7b7…
03-17 22:59:45	will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xd8f19e…
03-17 22:53:59	will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	131	1¢	$1	0xa34728…
03-17 22:53:59	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	131	0¢	$0	0x6ecc9a…
03-17 22:53:47	will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7201dd…
03-17 22:53:45	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	69	0¢	$0	0xd92118…
03-17 22:53:45	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0xb6a7a1…
03-17 22:53:45	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xa5399c…
03-17 22:53:45	will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0x7e2a13…
03-17 22:53:45	will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x56809a…
03-17 22:53:45	will the bank of canada announce an increase at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x533724…
03-17 22:53:45	will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	29	1¢	$0	0x50379b…
03-17 22:53:45	will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0x04a674…
03-17 22:52:35	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xef283b…
03-17 07:03:45	will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	434	2¢	$8	0xecb476…
03-17 07:02:59	will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x2c7f2e…
03-17 06:45:53	will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x2f41fb…
03-17 06:26:27	will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6612e2…
03-17 06:07:47	will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x9a0016…
03-17 06:00:49	will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xd06b2b…
03-17 05:49:53	will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xd74600…
03-17 05:18:03	will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x9e20c0…
03-17 05:08:23	will the bank of canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the march meeting	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xae2ddb…