(anonymous) 0xcac001…747251 Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$191
Unrealized P&L
-$20
Hit rate
11.4%
Resolved
26
Trades
40
lifetime
Volume
$760
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$280
11 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 10-26 06:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Politics
48% 33% +$126
Sports
29% 0% -$223
Other
23% 12% -$93
Crypto
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +186 $100 55¢ $102 +$2 10-24 11:48
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +455 $50 14¢ $61 +$11 10-24 11:47
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +294 $50 11¢ $31 -$19 10-24 11:48
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +645 $20 4¢ $23 +$3 10-26 06:39
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +118 $15 12¢ $14 -$1 10-26 06:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +91 $20 15¢ $13 -$7 10-24 11:49
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +114 $10 9¢ $11 +$1 10-26 06:37
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +400 $10 2¢ $10 $0 10-26 06:37
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +127 $15 7¢ $9 -$6 10-26 06:37
France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027? Yes +63 $5 8¢ $5 +$0 10-24 11:47
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +33 $5 3¢ $1 -$4 10-24 11:45