Realized P&L
-$7
Unrealized P&L
-$47
Hit rate
84.7%
Resolved
474
Trades
542
lifetime
Volume
$1.93K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$261
8 positions
First seen
2026-02-11
last 08-25 21:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 63 days
Categories
Other
50% 89% -$7
Politics
22% 84% +$1
Crypto
17% 81% -$10
Sports
7% 96% +$7
Tech
3% 91% +$2
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,167 $100 3¢ $106 +$6 07-27 18:01
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +826 $100 11¢ $89 -$11 07-27 18:01
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +385 $50 12¢ $44 -$6 07-27 17:55
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +126 $50 9¢ $12 -$38 07-27 17:54
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes -4 -$4 86¢ $-4 +$0 08-25 21:18
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes -4 -$4 65¢ $-3 +$1 07-27 17:36
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes -3 -$3 70¢ $-2 +$1 08-25 21:18
Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat? Yes -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 07-27 17:38