(anonymous) 0x88d7e7…3a5762 Create alert
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Realized P&L
+$770
Unrealized P&L
+$5.94K
Hit rate
55.0%
Resolved
55
Trades
1,078
lifetime
Volume
$14.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$9.30K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 11-04 16:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
87% 60% +$732
Other
13% 33% +$39
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 177 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? Yes +5,663 $1,338 99¢ $5.6K +$4,256 11-03 14:01
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +1,609 $416 100¢ $1.6K +$1,184 10-29 01:03
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +27,197 $665 2¢ $666 +$1 11-04 07:36
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,884 -$173 23¢ $-434 -$261 09-25 15:16
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +300 $174 100¢ $300 +$126 10-30 23:22
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? Yes +300 $68 99¢ $296 +$228 10-25 18:14
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2,600 $64 3¢ $69 +$5 11-01 10:55
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +338 $35 17¢ $56 +$21 11-02 11:41
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,000 $60 3¢ $54 -$6 10-15 05:26
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat? No +46 $22 100¢ $46 +$24 10-29 20:18
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +300 $40 12¢ $34 -$6 11-01 07:19
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,000 $40 3¢ $32 -$8 10-23 09:59
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +200 $5 15¢ $31 +$26 10-21 02:53
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? Yes +30 -$26 94¢ $28 +$54 11-04 12:46
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +90 $7 15¢ $13 +$6 10-29 22:21
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%? Yes +200 -$207 6¢ $12 +$219 11-04 16:55
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +50 $7 19¢ $10 +$2 10-21 06:44
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,000 $4 0¢ $7 +$3 10-31 12:51
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +400 $1 1¢ $6 +$4 10-24 04:17
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026? Yes +5 -$54 100¢ $5 +$58 11-03 01:32
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +200 $1 1¢ $3 +$1 10-22 22:09
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +100 $2 3¢ $3 +$0 10-25 01:26
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +100 $1 2¢ $2 +$1 10-25 18:34
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +110 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-25 19:45
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +111 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-25 19:46
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +200 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 11-01 11:43
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +104 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-03 10:38