(anonymous) 0x88d7e7…3a5762
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$120
Unrealized P&L
+$682
Hit rate
59.0%
Resolved
15
Trades
749
lifetime
Volume
$12.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$3.68K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 11-02 07:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
87% 62% +$112
Other
13% 43% +$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +1,609 $416 42¢ $684 +$267 10-29 01:03
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -951 -$544 50¢ $-480 +$63 10-30 12:28
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +18,055 $439 3¢ $469 +$31 11-02 03:23
Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? Yes +490 $148 70¢ $343 +$195 11-02 02:47
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,884 -$173 14¢ $-268 -$95 09-25 15:16
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +300 $174 68¢ $202 +$28 10-30 23:22
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes -255 -$128 76¢ $-193 -$65 08-28 08:01
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +224 $113 74¢ $167 +$54 09-11 09:28
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No -157 -$112 88¢ $-138 -$26 08-26 15:20
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +130 $42 72¢ $94 +$52 10-18 10:26
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? Yes +300 $68 31¢ $93 +$25 10-25 18:14
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat? Yes +150 $68 56¢ $83 +$16 10-23 01:26
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes -73 -$63 88¢ $-64 -$1 08-26 03:33
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2,600 $64 2¢ $61 -$3 11-01 10:55
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,000 $60 3¢ $54 -$6 10-15 05:26
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +150 $55 36¢ $53 -$2 10-23 11:53
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,000 $40 4¢ $39 -$1 10-23 09:59
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +300 $40 12¢ $34 -$6 11-01 07:19
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +400 $43 8¢ $34 -$9 10-30 14:11
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat? No +46 $22 60¢ $27 +$6 10-29 20:18
Blue wave in 2026? Yes -29 -$22 91¢ $-27 -$5 08-25 18:38
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +400 $11 7¢ $26 +$16 10-29 21:22
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +50 $7 22¢ $11 +$4 10-21 06:44
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +200 $5 4¢ $8 +$4 10-21 02:53
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +11 $2 62¢ $7 +$4 09-13 22:20
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes -40 -$7 12¢ $-5 +$2 10-28 19:32
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes -11 -$137 32¢ $-4 +$133 11-02 01:01
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +400 $1 1¢ $3 +$2 10-24 04:17
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,000 $4 0¢ $3 -$1 10-31 12:51
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +100 $2 3¢ $3 +$0 10-25 01:26