Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
89.3%
Resolved
3
Trades
57
lifetime
Volume
$280
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$6
14 positions
First seen
2026-08-21
last 10-26 22:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
56% — —
Other
28% 50% +$0
Crypto
8% — —
Sports
4% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
4% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? No +6 $5 92¢ $5 $0 10-26 10:40
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 09-12 20:25
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 08-25 13:43
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 09-10 05:23
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 09-30 02:32
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 09-22 02:19
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 09-08 12:37
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 10-04 01:36
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 09-19 16:57
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 10-05 18:58
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 09-17 11:47
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 +$0 09-20 19:08
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 +$0 09-29 11:38
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 09-18 08:39