Realized P&L
-$940
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
8.2%
Resolved
6,105
Trades
9,730
lifetime
Volume
$375.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$61
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 05:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 289 days
Categories
Sports
35% 84% -$98
Politics
32% 77% -$203
Other
29% 87% -$444
Crypto
4% 88% -$195
Tech
0% 74% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% 88% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? No +44 $38 95¢ $41 +$4 05-10 09:16
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? Yes +44 $6 5¢ $2 -$4 05-10 09:36
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -2 -$2 88¢ $-2 $0 05-25 07:34
Will BP be acquired before 2027? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 05-21 14:39
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? Yes -1 $0 90¢ $-1 -$1 06-19 00:48
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 05-08 03:31
Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026? Yes -1 $0 96¢ $-1 -$1 06-13 22:41
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -1 $1 98¢ $-1 -$2 05-24 13:26
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes -1 $0 98¢ $-1 -$1 06-02 10:33
Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes -1 $0 99¢ $-1 -$1 06-05 08:08
Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026? Yes — -1 -$1 99¢ $-1 $0 05-17 16:06
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? Yes -1 $0 87¢ $-1 -$1 05-25 07:33
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? Yes -1 $0 86¢ $-1 -$1 05-06 03:04
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -1 -$1 59¢ $-1 +$0 04-30 03:21
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? Yes -1 -$1 68¢ $-1 $0 06-04 01:33
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes -1 -$1 44¢ $-1 +$0 05-05 03:15
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -1 $0 37¢ $-0 $0 04-30 03:21
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes -1 $0 34¢ $-0 +$0 05-05 03:19
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -2 $0 10¢ $-0 +$0 05-25 07:34
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? Yes -1 $0 20¢ $-0 +$0 06-04 01:33
Will the Carolina Hurricanes be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? Yes -1 $0 12¢ $-0 $0 06-15 01:47
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? Yes -1 $0 14¢ $-0 $0 05-24 14:20
Will Chris Van Hollen be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes -1 $0 14¢ $-0 $0 10-03 00:06
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes -1 $0 14¢ $-0 $0 05-05 03:19
Will the Edmonton Oilers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? Yes -1 $0 12¢ $-0 $0 06-15 01:46
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green? Yes -1 $0 11¢ $-0 $0 05-06 03:02
Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? Yes -1 $0 10¢ $-0 $0 06-15 01:47
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? Yes -1 $0 9¢ $-0 $0 06-19 00:49
Will the Vegas Golden Knights be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? Yes -1 $0 8¢ $-0 $0 06-15 01:47
Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? Yes -1 $0 7¢ $-0 $0 06-15 01:47