Realized P&L (7d)
-$17
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
0.4%
Resolved (7d)
74
Trades (7d)
3
9,729 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$3
$375.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$11
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 05:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 285 days
Categories
Sports
35% 84% -$98
Politics
32% 78% -$181
Other
29% 87% -$443
Crypto
4% 88% -$195
Tech
0% 74% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% 88% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will BP be acquired before 2027? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 05-21 14:39
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -2 -$2 54¢ $-1 +$1 05-25 07:34
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -1 $1 97¢ $-1 -$2 05-24 13:26
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes -1 -$1 94¢ $-1 $0 05-08 03:31
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -2 $0 46¢ $-1 -$1 05-25 07:34
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -1 -$1 70¢ $-1 $0 04-30 03:21
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -1 -$1 72¢ $-1 $0 06-02 10:26
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes -1 $0 76¢ $-1 $0 06-04 01:34
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? Yes -1 -$1 68¢ $-1 $0 06-04 01:33
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes -1 -$1 44¢ $-1 +$0 05-05 03:15
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -1 $0 26¢ $-0 +$0 04-30 03:21
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes -1 $0 29¢ $-0 +$0 05-05 03:19
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -1 $0 22¢ $-0 +$0 06-02 10:35
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes -1 $0 15¢ $-0 $0 05-05 03:19
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes -1 $0 15¢ $-0 +$0 06-20 12:10
Will the Vegas Golden Knights be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? Yes -1 $0 8¢ $-0 $0 06-15 01:47
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes -1 $0 4¢ $-0 +$0 06-02 10:35
Will BP be acquired before 2027? Yes -1 $0 3¢ $-0 +$0 05-24 14:19
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -1 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 04-30 03:21
Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes -1 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 05-05 03:20
Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes -1 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 05-08 03:31
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -1 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 04-30 03:22
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes -1 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 05-05 12:25
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -1 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 05-02 03:31
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes -1 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 06-02 10:34
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -1 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-05 12:25
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -1 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 05-02 03:32
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes — -2 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 05-25 07:35
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -2 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-25 06:59
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes — -2 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 05-25 07:35