Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 14? open
← all wallets
Total volume
$45
$316 in 24h
Trades
7
Unique wallets
7
Liquidity
$84
Latest YES mid
44¢
Latest NO mid
56¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 06:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🦐 Shrimp 7 $21 $20 +$1
By P&L percentile
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
✅ Top 10% 1 — — +—
Below median 3 $1 $5 $4
⚠️ Bottom 10% 2 $20 $4 +$15
🔻 Bottom 5% 1 — $11 $11
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
Wallet Side Net shares Cost basis Volume Trades Last activity
Silky-Cabbage 0x5f05…a70f Yes +30 $20 $20 1 05-14 06:14
Sweet-Derrick 0x6409…9411 No +21 $11 $11 1 05-14 01:40
Useless-Sage 0x9410…9160 No +6 $5 $5 1 05-12 18:07
Unruly-Heaven 0x19c6…e66c Yes +6 $1 $1 1 05-13 09:15
Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b No +5 $4 $4 1 05-13 04:44