Will SC Sagamihara win on 2026-05-16?
open
Total volume
$795
$1 in 24h
Trades
37
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$1,873
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-15
last 05-16 06:46
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.6¢
(top1%: 83% YES on $274
vs crowd: 85% YES on $791)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $184 | $37 | +$147 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $44 | $9 | +$34 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $414 | $12 | +$402 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $28 | $63 | $35 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $227 | $47 | +$181 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $46 | $11 | +$35 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $39 | $39 |
| Median | 4 | $1 | $2 | $1 |
| Below median | 6 | $3 | $6 | $3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $16 | $16 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $368 | — | +$368 |
| unranked | 5 | $24 | $1 | +$23 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Secret-Kale 0xb8c4…7385 | Yes | +1,022 | $368 | $368 | 1 | 05-16 04:43 |
| Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | +286 | $184 | $184 | 2 | 05-16 05:46 |
| Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | +76 | $37 | $37 | 4 | 05-16 06:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x948b…a188 | Yes | +67 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 05-16 05:46 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | +65 | $44 | $44 | 5 | 05-16 06:16 |
| Unsteady-Brewer 0x2a73…c637 | No | +59 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 05-16 04:58 |
| Celebrated-Detection 0xf9b5…1212 | No | +52 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-16 06:21 |
| Tattered-Passage 0x9dbc…ca48 | Yes | +50 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-15 20:50 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | +14 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-16 05:11 |
| Super-Reorganization-Direction 0xefc3…9889 | No | +8 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-16 06:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xc75b…3ea7 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-16 05:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x948b…a188 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-16 05:21 |
| Warm-Sunglasses 0x193b…9c37 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-16 05:06 |
| Smug-Alluvium-Heroine 0x6dca…b9f2 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 05:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xc75b…3ea7 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 05:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x5eb9…a896 | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 05:40 |
| Gullible-Jewel 0x0074…32c2 | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 05:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xa150…44eb | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 05:46 |
| Sunny-Extremist 0x70dc…1783 | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 06:21 |
| Ample-Imagination 0xbf84…c609 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 21:03 |
| Frivolous-Astrolabe 0x98b0…1181 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 03:54 |
| Back-Train-Chino 0x083f…ff1c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 04:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x9ce3…1a0d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 05:06 |
| Suburban-Correspondent 0x80b8…e077 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 05:55 |
| Far-Off-Pork 0xf67b…d861 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 06:24 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 06:46:19 | Empty-Sky 0xefbb…d067 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x03609e… |
| 05-16 06:46:14 | Super-Reorganization-Direction 0xefc3…9889 | No | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0xcf4fa8… |
| 05-16 06:24:16 | Far-Off-Pork 0xf67b…d861 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x6869e1… |
| 05-16 06:21:14 | Celebrated-Detection 0xf9b5…1212 | No | BUY | 52 | 31¢ | $16 | 0xf70d43… |
| 05-16 06:21:05 | Sunny-Extremist 0x70dc…1783 | No | BUY | 3 | 31¢ | $1 | 0xf6518d… |
| 05-16 06:16:04 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 68¢ | $10 | 0x6bd8c5… |
| 05-16 06:06:11 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 14 | 31¢ | $4 | 0x9fbe1d… |
| 05-16 05:55:51 | Suburban-Correspondent 0x80b8…e077 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 69¢ | $1 | 0xc82ed7… |
| 05-16 05:51:13 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 69¢ | $10 | 0x87fd00… |
| 05-16 05:46:14 | (anonymous) 0xa150…44eb | No | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0xa97b4a… |
| 05-16 05:46:14 | Super-Reorganization-Direction 0xefc3…9889 | No | BUY | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x56aba2… |
| 05-16 05:46:09 | (anonymous) 0x948b…a188 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 67¢ | $45 | 0x6bf1cf… |
| 05-16 05:46:02 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 272 | 66¢ | $180 | 0x6e7ac5… |
| 05-16 05:41:09 | Gullible-Jewel 0x0074…32c2 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 67¢ | $2 | 0x6595f0… |
| 05-16 05:40:59 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 68¢ | $10 | 0xb2f34d… |
| 05-16 05:40:47 | (anonymous) 0x5eb9…a896 | No | BUY | 3 | 33¢ | $1 | 0x23bfc6… |
| 05-16 05:39:51 | Smug-Alluvium-Heroine 0x6dca…b9f2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x3be24c… |
| 05-16 05:36:03 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 64¢ | $10 | 0x44d0b2… |
| 05-16 05:34:34 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 15 | 36¢ | $5 | 0xee8a89… |
| 05-16 05:34:30 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 15 | 36¢ | $5 | 0x4172a3… |
| 05-16 05:31:09 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 65¢ | $5 | 0xd09a27… |
| 05-16 05:21:14 | (anonymous) 0xc75b…3ea7 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x3bfe8e… |
| 05-16 05:21:09 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 31¢ | $4 | 0xd24fc9… |
| 05-16 05:21:04 | (anonymous) 0xc75b…3ea7 | No | BUY | 8 | 70¢ | $6 | 0xab0b9b… |
| 05-16 05:21:04 | (anonymous) 0x948b…a188 | No | BUY | 8 | 70¢ | $6 | 0x4d4eea… |
| 05-16 05:20:58 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 32 | 69¢ | $22 | 0x37a50a… |
| 05-16 05:11:10 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 14 | 67¢ | $9 | 0xb5b054… |
| 05-16 05:06:04 | (anonymous) 0x9ce3…1a0d | No | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0xcabcb7… |
| 05-16 05:06:04 | Warm-Sunglasses 0x193b…9c37 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x82ef71… |
| 05-16 05:06:04 | Warm-Sunglasses 0x193b…9c37 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0xb21e09… |
| 05-16 04:59:01 | Back-Train-Chino 0x083f…ff1c | No | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0xe8f71a… |
| 05-16 04:58:57 | Unsteady-Brewer 0x2a73…c637 | No | BUY | 59 | 67¢ | $39 | 0x9e2cae… |
| 05-16 04:43:44 | Secret-Kale 0xb8c4…7385 | Yes | BUY | 1,022 | 36¢ | $368 | 0xc499c8… |
| 05-16 04:29:23 | Content-Suede 0xf419…3ce7 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xf66282… |
| 05-16 03:54:16 | Frivolous-Astrolabe 0x98b0…1181 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 36¢ | $1 | 0x1ecc7e… |
| 05-15 21:03:43 | Ample-Imagination 0xbf84…c609 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x39dfdc… |
| 05-15 20:50:25 | Tattered-Passage 0x9dbc…ca48 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 34¢ | $17 | 0xeab4da… |