Gullible-Jewel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

81.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$46

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 06-07 22:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 57% $-1

Sports

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes		+2	$1	90¢	$1	+$0	06-07 22:02
Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No		+25	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	06-07 22:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 08:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$5	8	8	+0	open	—	05-16 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-14 09:58
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	05-19 17:52
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	05-19 17:46
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	06-07 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-16 00:40
Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1	25	0	+25	open	—	06-07 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$1	25	0	+25	open	—	05-04 00:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-11 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-21 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-12 10:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-18 22:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-20 12:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-04 00:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$1	33	0	+33	open	—	05-16 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-05 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-17 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-17 05:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Up	$-1	05-12 10:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-20 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-04 00:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Down	$-1	05-05 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-17 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-11 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-17 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$0	34	0	+34	open	—	05-04 00:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 22:04:27	Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x7283c7…
06-07 22:02:07	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0xe44fbc…
05-21 12:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd5d57b…
05-20 12:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xea5968…
05-20 08:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x15220f…
05-19 17:52:00	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xf0e737…
05-19 17:46:24	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x4850d5…
05-18 22:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x935916…
05-17 23:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xba9dac…
05-17 22:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x0194a7…
05-17 22:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe27926…
05-17 05:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xdb9422…
05-16 19:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0x2a4dec…
05-16 19:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x2aaaa0…
05-16 00:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc7db50…
05-16 00:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x43749a…
05-14 09:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x720fe7…
05-13 08:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x2d629d…
05-13 08:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x827e96…
05-12 10:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x94b855…
05-12 10:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x55b816…
05-11 09:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xcc6da4…
05-11 09:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x1795fe…
05-05 21:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2707d8…
05-05 08:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8aac8f…
05-04 00:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5ed51f…
05-04 00:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5b51e9…
05-04 00:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x516c91…
05-04 00:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0x1305bf…