Will FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Tōkyō Verdy end in a draw?
open
Total volume
$1,596
$3 in 24h
Trades
32
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$5,488
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-15
last 05-16 06:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-6.2¢
(top1%: 3% YES on $1.5K
vs crowd: 9% YES on $1.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $2 | $1.4K | $1.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $44 | $10 | +$35 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $23 | $15 | +$8 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $75 | $23 | +$52 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $42 | $1.4K | $1.4K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $10 | $10 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $15 | $13 | +$2 |
| Median | 3 | $2 | $7 | $5 |
| Below median | 5 | $9 | $2 | +$7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $41 | $3 | +$38 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $28 | — | +$28 |
| unranked | 2 | $8 | $2 | +$6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | +1,603 | $1,404 | $1,404 | 2 | 05-16 06:44 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | +105 | $39 | $39 | 4 | 05-16 05:45 |
| Useful-Terminology 0xefde…6505 | Yes | +68 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-15 13:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x9efd…50f3 | Yes | +65 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-16 06:44 |
| Ornery-Stamen 0x5cae…fdc1 | Yes | +45 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-16 04:35 |
| Soupy-Cabinet 0x2fab…9db1 | Yes | +44 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-15 00:12 |
| Uniform-Influence 0x4c9b…e74a | Yes | +41 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-16 05:06 |
| Dramatic-Codling 0xfbad…4f53 | Yes | +37 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-16 06:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xfde3…67b6 | Yes | +25 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 06:45 |
| Super-Reorganization-Direction 0xefc3…9889 | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 06:45 |
| Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5 | Yes | +12 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 05:45 |
| Rowdy-Antecedent 0xa1a7…ace4 | Yes | +12 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-16 05:19 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-16 06:36 |
| Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 06:34 |
| Aware-Competition 0xf23a…d412 | Yes | +9 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 13:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xa150…44eb | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 06:44 |
| Poor-Fur 0x0178…3f7a | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-16 06:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xc75b…3ea7 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 05:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x948b…a188 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 05:21 |
| Slushy-Scrutiny 0x011c…f943 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-16 06:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x3bcd…ac63 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-16 06:44 |
| Defensive-Nutrition 0x2e73…3f4e | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 06:21 |
| Sunny-Extremist 0x70dc…1783 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 05:40 |
| Rude-Pinot 0xf69c…0e1e | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 11:00 |
| Numb-Sultan-Shawl 0x18d2…e9c3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 06:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xa150…44eb | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 06:46 |
| Exciting-Sunbeam 0x6474…525a | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 06:46 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 06:54:55 | Poor-Fur 0x0178…3f7a | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x0bf05b… |
| 05-16 06:46:17 | Exciting-Sunbeam 0x6474…525a | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xd2dec1… |
| 05-16 06:46:07 | (anonymous) 0xa150…44eb | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x2abb37… |
| 05-16 06:45:02 | (anonymous) 0xfde3…67b6 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x172d45… |
| 05-16 06:45:02 | Super-Reorganization-Direction 0xefc3…9889 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x668c88… |
| 05-16 06:44:58 | (anonymous) 0xa150…44eb | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xa94320… |
| 05-16 06:44:57 | (anonymous) 0x3bcd…ac63 | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x669e60… |
| 05-16 06:44:57 | (anonymous) 0x9efd…50f3 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 12¢ | $8 | 0x8870b6… |
| 05-16 06:44:53 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 1,574 | 88¢ | $1,385 | 0x4926fa… |
| 05-16 06:44:29 | Slushy-Scrutiny 0x011c…f943 | No | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x957a35… |
| 05-16 06:36:15 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 12 | 81¢ | $10 | 0xaa142f… |
| 05-16 06:34:42 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x87c12b… |
| 05-16 06:21:10 | Defensive-Nutrition 0x2e73…3f4e | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $3 | 0x57ac20… |
| 05-16 06:21:09 | Numb-Sultan-Shawl 0x18d2…e9c3 | No | BUY | 1 | 75¢ | $1 | 0xf598d3… |
| 05-16 06:15:57 | Dramatic-Codling 0xfbad…4f53 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 27¢ | $10 | 0xf121b4… |
| 05-16 05:45:56 | Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 42¢ | $5 | 0xc032dd… |
| 05-16 05:45:55 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 42¢ | $10 | 0x3dcaf7… |
| 05-16 05:41:06 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 41¢ | $10 | 0x79c157… |
| 05-16 05:40:52 | Sunny-Extremist 0x70dc…1783 | No | BUY | 3 | 60¢ | $2 | 0x25e121… |
| 05-16 05:29:38 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 37¢ | $10 | 0x2e119a… |
| 05-16 05:21:12 | (anonymous) 0xc75b…3ea7 | No | BUY | 7 | 67¢ | $5 | 0x2cee9f… |
| 05-16 05:21:12 | (anonymous) 0x948b…a188 | No | BUY | 7 | 67¢ | $5 | 0xf14c6e… |
| 05-16 05:21:07 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 29 | 66¢ | $19 | 0xfd0981… |
| 05-16 05:19:08 | Rowdy-Antecedent 0xa1a7…ace4 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x2144b0… |
| 05-16 05:11:10 | Rowdy-Antecedent 0xa1a7…ace4 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xf21939… |
| 05-16 05:06:11 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 32¢ | $10 | 0x32616a… |
| 05-16 05:06:02 | Uniform-Influence 0x4c9b…e74a | Yes | BUY | 41 | 32¢ | $13 | 0x13aa36… |
| 05-16 04:35:13 | Ornery-Stamen 0x5cae…fdc1 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 33¢ | $15 | 0x7ebced… |
| 05-15 13:52:57 | Aware-Competition 0xf23a…d412 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 34¢ | $3 | 0xa9f6f0… |
| 05-15 13:46:53 | Useful-Terminology 0xefde…6505 | Yes | BUY | 68 | 34¢ | $23 | 0x0cfb56… |
| 05-15 11:00:36 | Rude-Pinot 0xf69c…0e1e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x395826… |
| 05-15 00:12:52 | Soupy-Cabinet 0x2fab…9db1 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 34¢ | $15 | 0x43a7b2… |