Ornery-Stamen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$203

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

60.1%

Resolved

448

Trades

598

lifetime

Volume

$53.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$89

Open exposure

$147

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-25 14:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 147 days

Categories

Other

97% 40% +$294

Sports

2% 0% -$619

Crypto

0% 33% +$122

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes		+652	$150	22¢	$147	-$3	10-12 05:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ssc cad rmc 2026 01 08 rmc	2	$2.0K	1,402	1,402	+0	Yes	+$784	01-08 21:00
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	3	$1.4K	909	897	+12	Yes	+$408	04-09 00:43
aus syd new 2026 03 22 syd	3	$1.1K	709	709	+0	No	+$327	03-22 06:00
aus new wsw 2026 03 07 new	2	$1000	695	695	+0	Yes	+$388	03-07 07:58
aus ccm wsw 2026 02 22 wsw	2	$966	667	667	+0	No	+$366	02-22 07:53
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?	2	$800	1,404	0	+1,404	Yes	+$604	08-12 10:25
bra vas flu 2026 03 18 flu	3	$766	491	491	+0	No	+$216	03-19 02:36
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	4	$720	1,744	0	+1,744	No	-$720	05-30 10:38
bra pal gre 2026 04 02 pal	3	$719	444	440	+5	Yes	+$164	04-03 04:14
chi sha bgu 2026 03 14 sha	2	$618	418	418	+0	Yes	+$218	03-14 09:39
ssc fcb rmc 2026 01 11 fcb	2	$604	417	417	+0	Yes	+$204	01-11 21:03
lal mad bar 2026 04 04 bar	2	$595	666	655	+11	Yes	+$6	04-04 10:00
efl cfc ars 2026 01 14 ars win	2	$534	444	444	+0	Yes	+$134	01-14 21:16
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	1	$500	1,351	0	+1,351	Yes	+$851	04-14 13:05
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$500	1,288	0	+1,288	No	-$500	07-10 09:56
bra cam int 2026 03 11 cam	3	$497	345	345	+0	Yes	+$193	03-12 00:06
bra cre bah 2026 03 22 bah	3	$490	310	310	+0	No	+$130	03-22 21:57
epl new ast 2026 01 25 ast	2	$454	357	357	+0	Yes	+$254	01-25 15:49
epl cry ast 2026 01 07 ast	2	$448	698	698	+0	No	-$152	01-07 21:06
lal rea mad 2026 03 22 rea	3	$447	596	283	+313	Yes	-$153	03-22 13:57
bun stu dor 2026 04 04 stu	2	$436	276	276	+0	No	+$116	04-04 21:04
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	2	$400	1,053	0	+1,053	No	-$400	04-28 14:03
epl cry ful 2026 01 01 draw	2	$395	345	345	+0	Yes	+$195	01-01 19:23
aus syd new 2026 03 22 new	3	$392	297	297	+0	Yes	+$202	03-22 06:02
bra cre bah 2026 03 22 cre	4	$378	293	293	+0	Yes	+$208	03-22 21:57
bra san cre 2026 04 02 san	2	$374	237	234	+3	Yes	+$97	04-03 00:09
epl bre wol 2026 03 16 bre	2	$356	256	256	+0	No	+$156	03-16 22:50
uel bol ast4 2026 04 09 ast4	3	$329	384	314	+70	Yes	-$35	04-09 13:42
epl tot cry 2026 03 05 draw	1	$321	1,107	0	+1,107	No	-$321	03-05 08:09
lal elc vil 2026 01 03 vil	2	$315	222	222	+0	Yes	+$115	01-03 19:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 08:51:10	Will FC Pohang Steelers win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x464502…
10-25 14:49:12	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0xb23bb5…
10-25 14:48:56	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xdfd1f0…
10-25 14:48:48	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x489ce8…
10-20 05:48:53	Will SSC Napoli vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x0a1a8f…
10-17 14:26:06	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x41aee0…
10-17 14:25:59	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	95	42¢	$40	0x0fd48a…
10-12 05:51:26	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	652	23¢	$150	0x17bf94…
09-20 12:32:16	Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0xfe6090…
09-15 16:31:49	lal elc rea 2026 09 15 ags kylian mbappe	No	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x24747a…
09-10 01:38:54	Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x41659b…
08-15 08:05:07	Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-08-15?	Yes	BUY	113	31¢	$35	0xe74fb8…
08-12 10:25:01	Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?	Yes	BUY	877	57¢	$500	0x8f6f1d…
08-12 10:23:27	Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?	Yes	BUY	526	57¢	$300	0x839941…
07-19 19:05:39	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	719	42¢	$300	0x29e485…
07-18 07:21:55	Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	162	34¢	$55	0xb4e00e…
07-17 01:51:00	mls sea por 2026 07 16 spread home 1pt5	Portland Timbers	BUY	66	61¢	$40	0x2b1c14…
07-15 13:47:25	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	63	32¢	$20	0xe9b912…
07-15 13:45:20	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	210	36¢	$75	0xc59761…
07-15 13:43:56	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	BUY	312	24¢	$75	0x5f8333…
07-12 07:50:44	FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xc19926…
07-10 09:56:29	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	389	39¢	$150	0x26ec6e…
07-10 01:03:58	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	900	39¢	$350	0x687c00…
07-09 14:12:05	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	101	34¢	$35	0x52e390…
07-06 13:30:34	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0xf64773…
07-06 13:30:16	Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	130	27¢	$35	0x827f4e…
07-06 00:16:01	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xd42b06…
07-02 23:58:31	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xaf6d93…
07-02 23:57:38	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x291064…
06-30 14:48:29	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	76	46¢	$35	0xf747e4…
06-29 13:57:13	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Paraguay	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x4555dc…
06-29 13:56:59	Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	109	32¢	$35	0x009ff3…
06-22 23:56:13	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	938	14¢	$129	0xcfe02b…
06-22 23:56:05	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,515	7¢	$102	0x7038fb…
06-22 09:26:28	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	106	52¢	$55	0x6079ca…
06-21 03:27:29	Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 2 Japan?	Yes	BUY	273	11¢	$30	0x34a15b…
06-21 02:52:13	Japan leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	110	50¢	$55	0xaab676…
06-17 13:42:58	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 goals harry kane gte1	Yes	BUY	80	44¢	$35	0x3b5e9e…
06-17 13:41:32	Ghana vs. Panama: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	117	47¢	$55	0xd4ba0d…
06-17 00:21:34	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 goals julian alvarez gte1	Yes	BUY	135	26¢	$35	0x314a09…
06-17 00:21:14	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x153ca3…
06-16 00:42:54	Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	No	BUY	184	19¢	$35	0x789565…
06-16 00:42:43	Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	250	22¢	$55	0xaa050a…
06-15 13:26:36	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xf3767d…
06-15 13:15:55	Dani Olmo: 1+ goals	Yes	BUY	145	38¢	$55	0x5672b5…
06-13 00:28:37	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	117	47¢	$55	0xc4fb0f…
06-11 03:04:03	Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	172	32¢	$55	0x938772…
06-09 01:08:57	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	938	16¢	$150	0x73cf87…
06-09 01:08:48	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,515	10¢	$150	0x0e5388…
06-06 12:45:54	Spread: Belgium (-1.5)	Belgium	BUY	108	51¢	$55	0xdb1818…
06-05 13:30:46	Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05?	No	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0xd9c0bc…
06-04 13:40:36	Sweden leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	90	39¢	$35	0x0d2cc6…
06-04 13:40:07	Spread: France (-1.5)	France	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0xe1ad97…
06-02 03:42:53	Will Croatia vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	196	28¢	$55	0x25a6f6…
06-01 02:27:09	Will Montenegro win on 2026-06-01?	Yes	BUY	129	39¢	$50	0x968929…
05-31 15:15:01	Poland leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	90	39¢	$35	0x326aeb…
05-31 15:12:58	Germany vs. Finland: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	92	38¢	$35	0x6a83ad…
05-31 13:05:15	Czechia leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	126	40¢	$50	0xd08365…
05-31 04:54:43	Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-05-31?	Yes	BUY	441	34¢	$150	0x452b47…
05-31 04:54:33	Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-05-31?	Yes	BUY	293	41¢	$120	0xf3a831…
05-30 10:38:21	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	375	40¢	$150	0x97c694…
05-30 09:11:54	Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x409cb5…
05-30 07:02:43	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	488	41¢	$200	0xc4df97…
05-30 04:11:45	Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x023b2b…
05-30 04:08:06	Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	150	50¢	$75	0x6735e5…
05-30 04:07:59	Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x2678e0…
05-30 02:23:55	Nagoya Grampus vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	78	45¢	$35	0x091b7e…
05-30 02:23:09	Will Vissel Kōbe vs. Kashima Antlers end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	113	31¢	$35	0x85b1a1…
05-30 00:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xc523da…
05-29 09:55:31	Will Nice win on 2026-05-29?	Yes	BUY	71	49¢	$35	0xc5d9ff…
05-29 09:14:55	Will Nice win on 2026-05-29?	Yes	BUY	71	49¢	$35	0x3cf672…
05-29 09:04:07	Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-05-29?	No	BUY	134	41¢	$55	0xd14ab6…
05-29 06:46:55	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	417	8¢	$35	0x6b708f…
05-28 13:32:35	Will Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0xae23ef…
05-28 13:31:09	SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	72	34¢	$25	0xc055d6…
05-28 10:04:20	Will SK Brann vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	161	22¢	$35	0x11e32a…
05-28 10:03:00	Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-28?	No	BUY	106	33¢	$35	0x711e34…
05-28 04:29:02	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	167	42¢	$70	0x00621d…
05-28 03:17:22	Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)	FK Bodø/Glimt	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0x0fa885…
05-27 07:00:38	Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	121	29¢	$35	0xad31bc…
05-27 06:45:52	Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?	Yes	BUY	350	10¢	$35	0x0ffb30…
05-26 14:13:31	Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	134	41¢	$55	0x111ae0…
05-26 14:13:29	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	714	42¢	$300	0x294841…
05-26 13:56:59	Will CA Lanús vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	117	30¢	$35	0x8e78c8…
05-26 13:56:43	Will Saint-Etienne vs. Nice end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0xbfdf05…
05-25 11:37:47	Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x416855…
05-25 11:04:00	Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-05-25?	Yes	BUY	98	41¢	$40	0x6fc99a…
05-24 09:27:06	Ollie Watkins: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x01d4f4…
05-24 09:26:08	Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-24?	No	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0xb5bf10…
05-24 05:48:40	Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)	FK Bodø/Glimt	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x94737e…
05-24 05:48:12	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x86095d…
05-23 05:57:12	Will Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	183	30¢	$55	0x5ccde5…
05-23 04:44:31	Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Nagoya Grampus: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x7049b4…
05-23 03:12:09	Will Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x374a12…
05-23 03:11:28	Will Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	152	23¢	$35	0xd07f5f…
05-22 13:32:32	Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-05-22?	Yes	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0xbd6092…
05-21 19:53:43	Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-05-22?	Yes	BUY	121	41¢	$50	0x7dabd4…
05-20 10:58:32	Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-20?	Yes	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x572e8f…
05-20 09:01:34	Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-20?	Yes	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0xf47fac…
05-20 00:16:48	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	307	49¢	$150	0xc50afd…