Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on May 6?
open
Total volume
$782
$687 in 24h
Trades
30
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$1,864
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-05-06
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 19:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $8 | $768 | $760 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $206 | $206 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 4 | $1 | $8 | $7 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| unranked | 14 | $3 | $555 | $552 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | +232 | $217 | $217 | 2 | 05-05 10:31 |
| Friendly-Hammer 0x9752…62be | No | +217 | $206 | $206 | 1 | 05-05 18:36 |
| Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | +165 | $134 | $134 | 5 | 05-05 08:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x5581…8495 | No | +156 | $148 | $148 | 1 | 05-05 18:34 |
| Menacing-Foam 0x409c…4379 | Yes | +29 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 12:30 |
| Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-05 01:15 |
| Old-Fashioned-Supporter 0x1f19…53fa | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 11:56 |
| Wobbly-Sustenance 0xf1c1…1beb | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-05 10:21 |
| Icky-Bower 0x746d…2db5 | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 03:24 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-05 19:43 |
| Narrow-Frame 0xfba8…8d3c | No | +12 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-05 04:35 |
| Querulous-Till 0x2662…678c | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-05 18:12 |
| Overcooked-Plot 0x2298…9f33 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 06:59 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 04:55 |
| Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 04:55 |
| Dishonest-Crowd 0x1631…e954 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 04:09 |
| Imperturbable-Schema 0x6753…b37d | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 19:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 19:48:10 | Imperturbable-Schema 0x6753…b37d | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x6d97d3… |
| 05-05 19:43:10 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 12 | 97¢ | $12 | 0xd5f6e7… |
| 05-05 18:36:46 | Friendly-Hammer 0x9752…62be | No | BUY | 217 | 95¢ | $206 | 0xf959c3… |
| 05-05 18:34:50 | (anonymous) 0x5581…8495 | No | BUY | 156 | 95¢ | $148 | 0x9634a6… |
| 05-05 18:12:34 | Querulous-Till 0x2662…678c | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x6d9b0a… |
| 05-05 12:30:20 | Menacing-Foam 0x409c…4379 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x76084c… |
| 05-05 11:56:48 | Old-Fashioned-Supporter 0x1f19…53fa | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xe5152e… |
| 05-05 10:56:24 | (anonymous) 0xdc93…d79e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xec5215… |
| 05-05 10:31:34 | Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | BUY | 123 | 95¢ | $116 | 0xef575c… |
| 05-05 10:31:12 | Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | BUY | 109 | 92¢ | $100 | 0x16b290… |
| 05-05 10:21:18 | Wobbly-Sustenance 0xf1c1…1beb | No | BUY | 14 | 89¢ | $13 | 0x17cba9… |
| 05-05 08:51:22 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xb1b17b… |
| 05-05 08:15:12 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x8f7eea… |
| 05-05 06:59:58 | Overcooked-Plot 0x2298…9f33 | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x3de86b… |
| 05-05 04:55:44 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xd2f5de… |
| 05-05 04:55:44 | Lavish-Embassy 0x365c…d281 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xe33f5f… |
| 05-05 04:55:44 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x4991c8… |
| 05-05 04:55:44 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xd26aee… |
| 05-05 04:55:44 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xd4e94b… |
| 05-05 04:35:30 | Narrow-Frame 0xfba8…8d3c | No | BUY | 12 | 77¢ | $9 | 0x1749bd… |
| 05-05 04:10:08 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x07f7b2… |
| 05-05 04:09:54 | Dishonest-Crowd 0x1631…e954 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x2b562e… |
| 05-05 03:25:24 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x35305b… |
| 05-05 03:25:00 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 24¢ | $0 | 0x4e6810… |
| 05-05 03:24:16 | Icky-Bower 0x746d…2db5 | No | BUY | 13 | 76¢ | $10 | 0xc63114… |
| 05-05 02:49:56 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | BUY | 50 | 81¢ | $40 | 0xe0aa8c… |
| 05-05 02:44:36 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | BUY | 55 | 81¢ | $45 | 0x1d679f… |
| 05-05 02:40:22 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | BUY | 50 | 81¢ | $40 | 0x48d9ce… |
| 05-05 01:15:08 | Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xfb0e24… |
| 05-04 22:24:58 | Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x911c4f… |