Will Montedio Yamagata win on 2026-05-10?
open
Total volume
$246
$445 in 24h
Trades
42
Unique wallets
15
Liquidity
$7,747
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-10 07:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-5.2¢
(top1%: 62% YES on $61
vs crowd: 67% YES on $184)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $2 | $18 | $16 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $36 | $5 | +$31 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $86 | $37 | +$49 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $38 | $23 | +$15 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $6 | $2 | +$4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $24 | $24 |
| Median | 2 | $1 | $8 | $7 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $3 | $3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $28 | — | +$28 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $51 | — | +$51 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | +55 | $36 | $36 | 11 | 05-10 06:18 |
| Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | +48 | $18 | $18 | 9 | 05-10 06:28 |
| Unfinished-Diary 0x784a…06c3 | Yes | +39 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 05-10 06:06 |
| Phony-Hubris 0xa9b1…daa0 | No | +31 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-10 03:21 |
| Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-10 06:37 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | +10 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-10 05:28 |
| Deficient-Laughter 0xbe31…b42d | Yes | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 06:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xe697…708f | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-10 05:36 |
| Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 05:06 |
| Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 22:36 |
| Grown-Oregano 0xd64a…5612 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 05:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x04fa…70ee | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:06 |
| Bumpy-Heartbeat 0xe479…70df | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xa6d8…f8a5 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 14:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xe697…708f | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 05:37 |
| Granular-Doctorate 0xb232…771d | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 05:52 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 07:01:51 | Amazing-Genius 0x637f…e492 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x1f8319… |
| 05-10 06:37:05 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xb73526… |
| 05-10 06:37:02 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xeb08ab… |
| 05-10 06:32:29 | Amazing-Genius 0x637f…e492 | No | BUY | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0xdea875… |
| 05-10 06:28:15 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x211231… |
| 05-10 06:23:40 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x3fd855… |
| 05-10 06:18:22 | Deficient-Laughter 0xbe31…b42d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 68¢ | $5 | 0xa7f146… |
| 05-10 06:18:20 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0xb7fd9f… |
| 05-10 06:17:48 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0xfdf6ee… |
| 05-10 06:13:33 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x475319… |
| 05-10 06:13:21 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x601f7f… |
| 05-10 06:13:12 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x42fd4e… |
| 05-10 06:08:32 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x42f41d… |
| 05-10 06:06:52 | (anonymous) 0x04fa…70ee | No | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x7f1120… |
| 05-10 06:06:49 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x6e1487… |
| 05-10 06:06:42 | Unfinished-Diary 0x784a…06c3 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 66¢ | $15 | 0x8467dc… |
| 05-10 05:52:08 | Granular-Doctorate 0xb232…771d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0xac989a… |
| 05-10 05:43:27 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xa48142… |
| 05-10 05:42:57 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x69d3c9… |
| 05-10 05:41:42 | Grown-Oregano 0xd64a…5612 | No | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x870365… |
| 05-10 05:41:40 | Reasonable-Expedition 0x2439…3ed7 | Yes | SELL | 79 | 65¢ | $52 | 0x12cc88… |
| 05-10 05:37:47 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x42a880… |
| 05-10 05:37:35 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xe300ee… |
| 05-10 05:37:00 | (anonymous) 0xe697…708f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x459346… |
| 05-10 05:36:57 | (anonymous) 0xe697…708f | No | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0xe87131… |
| 05-10 05:36:25 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0xedf7c5… |
| 05-10 05:33:28 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x3ba53b… |
| 05-10 05:28:13 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0xa85dc1… |
| 05-10 05:23:12 | Reasonable-Expedition 0x2439…3ed7 | Yes | BUY | 79 | 63¢ | $50 | 0xcaad9d… |
| 05-10 05:18:29 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0x1ad3f7… |
| 05-10 05:18:25 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x22139c… |
| 05-10 05:17:35 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x6ea4ae… |
| 05-10 05:17:31 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x2c803f… |
| 05-10 05:17:22 | Unfinished-Diary 0x784a…06c3 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 62¢ | $10 | 0x865b35… |
| 05-10 05:07:19 | (anonymous) 0xe697…708f | No | BUY | 2 | 62¢ | $1 | 0xd3c2af… |
| 05-10 05:06:44 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 8 | 61¢ | $5 | 0xf909ef… |
| 05-10 05:06:33 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x0edaed… |
| 05-10 05:06:17 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x7fcff2… |
| 05-10 04:52:52 | Bumpy-Heartbeat 0xe479…70df | Yes | BUY | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x9e3abe… |
| 05-10 03:21:19 | Phony-Hubris 0xa9b1…daa0 | No | BUY | 31 | 64¢ | $20 | 0xb6fcf4… |
| 05-08 22:36:45 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xe4699a… |
| 05-07 14:06:09 | (anonymous) 0xa6d8…f8a5 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x17e7b0… |