Set 1 Winner: Neumayer vs Prado | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$2,290

Trades

20

Unique wallets

12

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-07-21

First seen

2026-07-14

last 07-14 18:27

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

Glaring-Salt +2,011 (anon) +98 (anon) +16 Fortunate-Plugin +5 (anon) +5 Frightened-Decrease +2

NO holders

Yawning-Chicken +1,929 Aware-Content +103 Wet-Trim +77 Glaring-Salt +18 Same-Pound +5 Alienated-Invite +5

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +53.3¢ (top1%: 80% YES on $646 vs crowd: 27% YES on $2.2K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	5	$516	$1.6K	$1.0K
🐬 Dolphin	1	$3	—	+$3
🐟 Fish	5	$70	$67	+$3
🦐 Shrimp	1	$0	—	+$0

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	4	$516	$130	+$387
🏆 Top 5%	2	$8	—	+$8
✅ Top 10%	1	—	$5	$5
Below median	1	$0	—	+$0
⚠️ Bottom 10%	3	$65	$62	+$3
💀 Bottom 1%	1	—	$1.4K	$1.4K

Wallet leaderboard (12) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
Glaring-Salt 0xfe78…0319	Neumayer	+2,011	$516	$516	4	07-14 18:17
Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e	Prado	+1,929	$1,427	$1,427	2	07-14 18:11
Aware-Content 0x5929…4684	Prado	+103	$36	$36	2	07-14 17:42
(anonymous) 0x2d79…9e95	Neumayer	+98	$64	$64	1	07-14 17:42
Wet-Trim 0x6049…f14f	Prado	+77	$76	$76	1	07-14 18:27
Glaring-Salt 0xfe78…0319	Prado	+18	$12	$12	2	07-14 18:00
(anonymous) 0xb663…f135	Neumayer	+16	$5	$5	1	07-14 18:00
Fortunate-Plugin 0xb11a…a5d9	Neumayer	+5	$3	$3	1	07-14 17:37
(anonymous) 0x6678…144d	Neumayer	+5	$0	$0	1	07-14 18:20
Same-Pound 0x8e52…2320	Prado	+5	$5	$5	1	07-14 18:20
Alienated-Invite 0x0ec7…93d1	Prado	+5	$5	$5	1	07-14 18:17
Frightened-Decrease 0x0978…78d0	Neumayer	+2	$1	$1	1	07-14 17:56