Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-05-06?
open
Total volume
$638
$158 in 24h
Trades
28
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$6,399
Latest YES mid
68¢
Latest NO mid
32¢
End date
2026-05-06
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 00:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+5.0¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $484
vs crowd: 95% YES on $638)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $384 | — | +$384 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $223 | $32 | +$191 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $484 | — | +$484 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $90 | — | +$90 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| unranked | 8 | $27 | $32 | $5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | +585 | $384 | $384 | 4 | 05-05 18:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x1a60…1c0d | Yes | +154 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-05 17:14 |
| Parallel-Shallows 0xe1cc…28a0 | Yes | +74 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-06 00:11 |
| Scarce-Vacation 0x89db…d0ef | No | +57 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-05 10:16 |
| Repentant-Cappelletti 0x2b35…0bfe | No | +31 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 18:21 |
| Wise-Wetsuit 0x35d1…1f70 | Yes | +30 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-05 18:16 |
| Regular-Gallon 0xa85b…eb0e | Yes | +19 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 05-05 18:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xe697…708f | Yes | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 18:16 |
| Political-Bump 0x07cd…fbeb | Yes | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-06 00:11 |
| Unnatural-Badge 0x5308…3221 | Yes | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 18:16 |
| Gifted-Verification 0x9089…aafe | Yes | +6 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 05-05 18:17 |
| Melodic-Chocolate 0xd7f9…29a9 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 18:16 |
| Quarrelsome-Covariate 0xb1bc…7e33 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 23:45 |
| Near-Pursuit 0x2d21…92e5 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 18:16 |
| Aged-Platypus 0x23bc…5487 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-05 18:16 |
| Yawning-Handover 0x38a7…3155 | Yes | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 22:20 |
| Full-Chandelier 0x9fcb…207c | Yes | +4 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-05 18:16 |
| Outlandish-Yoyo 0x2a77…8b53 | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 18:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 00:11:04 | Political-Bump 0x07cd…fbeb | Yes | BUY | 7 | 68¢ | $5 | 0x8fcf33… |
| 05-06 00:11:02 | Parallel-Shallows 0xe1cc…28a0 | Yes | BUY | 74 | 68¢ | $50 | 0xf4cd82… |
| 05-05 23:45:04 | Quarrelsome-Covariate 0xb1bc…7e33 | No | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x00bb4e… |
| 05-05 22:20:10 | Yawning-Handover 0x38a7…3155 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 68¢ | $3 | 0xabeb42… |
| 05-05 18:21:04 | Repentant-Cappelletti 0x2b35…0bfe | No | BUY | 31 | 33¢ | $10 | 0xe1ac92… |
| 05-05 18:17:56 | Gifted-Verification 0x9089…aafe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 68¢ | $1 | 0x5f5899… |
| 05-05 18:17:56 | Gifted-Verification 0x9089…aafe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 68¢ | $1 | 0xa54d1a… |
| 05-05 18:17:56 | Gifted-Verification 0x9089…aafe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 68¢ | $1 | 0xec9450… |
| 05-05 18:17:54 | Gifted-Verification 0x9089…aafe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 68¢ | $1 | 0xb2988e… |
| 05-05 18:16:50 | Near-Pursuit 0x2d21…92e5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x15cdcc… |
| 05-05 18:16:48 | Melodic-Chocolate 0xd7f9…29a9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xd4d542… |
| 05-05 18:16:46 | Outlandish-Yoyo 0x2a77…8b53 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 66¢ | $2 | 0x29b2d0… |
| 05-05 18:16:46 | Unnatural-Badge 0x5308…3221 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 66¢ | $4 | 0xa38d84… |
| 05-05 18:16:46 | Full-Chandelier 0x9fcb…207c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x624bc6… |
| 05-05 18:16:46 | Aged-Platypus 0x23bc…5487 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x7cfbce… |
| 05-05 18:16:46 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 179 | 66¢ | $118 | 0x0f7fde… |
| 05-05 18:16:44 | Aged-Platypus 0x23bc…5487 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0xe3d69a… |
| 05-05 18:16:44 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 143 | 66¢ | $94 | 0xb72605… |
| 05-05 18:16:44 | Regular-Gallon 0xa85b…eb0e | Yes | BUY | 14 | 66¢ | $9 | 0xa60083… |
| 05-05 18:16:42 | Wise-Wetsuit 0x35d1…1f70 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 66¢ | $20 | 0x2e3aae… |
| 05-05 18:16:42 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 215 | 65¢ | $139 | 0xf3696b… |
| 05-05 18:16:42 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 66¢ | $32 | 0xca2110… |
| 05-05 18:16:42 | Full-Chandelier 0x9fcb…207c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0xf5263a… |
| 05-05 18:16:42 | (anonymous) 0xe697…708f | Yes | BUY | 15 | 66¢ | $10 | 0x5a9cc1… |
| 05-05 18:16:42 | Aged-Platypus 0x23bc…5487 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x57c3ac… |
| 05-05 18:16:42 | Regular-Gallon 0xa85b…eb0e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x474258… |
| 05-05 17:14:34 | (anonymous) 0x1a60…1c0d | Yes | BUY | 154 | 65¢ | $100 | 0x47b220… |
| 05-05 10:16:40 | Scarce-Vacation 0x89db…d0ef | No | BUY | 57 | 35¢ | $20 | 0x1aeaaa… |