Plush-Kid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 05-20 02:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 50% $-2

Other

28% — —

Politics

10% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 2400 on march 26	1	$102	103	+103	open	—	03-26 03:39
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 240plus	1	$102	102	+102	open	—	03-10 02:30
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 1	1	$102	102	+102	open	—	03-01 07:42
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 280 299	1	$102	102	+102	open	—	02-02 03:34
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 15	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	04-15 07:58
bitcoin above 74k on april 7	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	04-07 08:24
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	03-31 07:29
ethereum above 2100 on april 21	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	04-21 06:27
ethereum above 1600 on february 11	1	$99	100	+100	open	—	02-11 02:20
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	04-30 03:47
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	04-26 06:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	05-14 06:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$96	97	+97	No	+$0	05-11 10:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?	1	$96	96	+96	No	+$0	05-08 08:31
bitcoin above 86k on january 8	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	01-08 06:09
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 2	1	$95	96	+96	open	—	01-02 09:55
bitcoin above 88k on january 14	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	01-14 06:20
bitcoin above 76k on march 4	1	$52	52	+52	open	—	03-04 08:20
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 140 164	1	$51	51	+51	open	—	03-18 08:49
bitcoin above 64k on march 19	1	$51	51	+51	open	—	03-18 08:49
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 360 379	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	03-04 08:20
lol dk ns 2026 01 21	1	$20	28	+28	open	—	01-21 06:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	1	$2	1,080	+1,080	open	—	05-20 02:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	1	$2	1,080	+1,080	Yes	$-2	05-08 08:27
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 21	1	$2	755	+755	open	—	04-21 06:24
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	1	$1	740	+740	open	—	04-26 06:35
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$1	700	+700	open	—	03-31 07:26
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 340 359	1	$1	700	+700	open	—	01-14 06:17
ethereum above 2400 on february 11	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	02-11 02:20
ethereum above 1700 on february 11	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	02-11 02:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 02:50:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	1,080	0¢	$2	0x28c98c…
05-14 06:50:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x4019e2…
05-11 10:47:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$96	0x5754fd…
05-08 08:31:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x0219ab…
05-08 08:27:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	1,080	0¢	$2	0x5cc7f7…
04-30 03:47:40	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xbb5d1f…
04-26 06:39:08	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x83891b…
04-26 06:35:38	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	740	0¢	$1	0xd56390…
04-21 06:27:02	ethereum above 2100 on april 21	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4f80bb…
04-21 06:24:02	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 21	Yes	BUY	755	0¢	$2	0x25221d…
04-15 07:58:42	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 15	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x2d0d72…
04-07 08:24:55	bitcoin above 74k on april 7	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x9b3dd9…
03-31 07:29:09	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x3fdfb5…
03-31 07:26:29	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0x5ef6ba…
03-26 03:39:31	ethereum above 2400 on march 26	No	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0x2efd07…
03-18 08:49:33	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 140 164	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x7ac130…
03-18 08:49:19	bitcoin above 64k on march 19	Yes	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xb670f3…
03-10 02:30:01	elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 240plus	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x9ba0f3…
03-04 08:20:51	bitcoin above 76k on march 4	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x0d53fa…
03-04 08:20:39	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 360 379	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x763941…
03-01 07:42:09	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 1	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xfad3bd…
02-11 02:20:55	ethereum above 1600 on february 11	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$99	0xca82e4…
02-11 02:20:39	ethereum above 1700 on february 11	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2cb609…
02-11 02:20:31	ethereum above 2400 on february 11	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x071de1…
02-02 03:34:14	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 280 299	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xc8b886…
01-21 06:39:44	lol dk ns 2026 01 21	Dplus KIA	BUY	28	73¢	$20	0x23c127…
01-14 06:20:02	bitcoin above 88k on january 14	Yes	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x683163…
01-14 06:17:18	elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 340 359	Yes	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0xcdd057…
01-08 06:09:41	bitcoin above 86k on january 8	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xf28888…
01-02 09:55:01	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 2	No	BUY	96	100¢	$95	0xc22007…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	19	$7.03K	2,434	04-18 00:08
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	18	$1.37K	493	05-19 05:07
Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44	17	$1.21K	570	05-14 01:47
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	16	$78.9K	1,339	05-19 23:30
Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5	14	$24.7K	142	05-19 17:00
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	13	$52.3K	406	05-19 16:25
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	13	$12.2K	216	05-18 11:35
(anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394	12	$56.0K	565	04-21 10:13