Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$129

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

56.2%

Resolved

Trades

278

lifetime

Volume

$53.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$192

Open exposure

$40

1 position

First seen

2026-01-28

last 06-15 14:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

67% 0% $-369

Politics

32% 100% +$245

Crypto

1% 0% $-5

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
New pandemic in 2026?	Yes		-532	$-53	8¢	$-40	+$13	06-15 14:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	11	$3.0K	2,452	2,185	+267	open	—	03-24 05:36
will elon musks net worth be between 650b and 660b on march 31	4	$2.8K	1,672	1,672	+0	open	—	03-19 06:54
khamenei of tweets march 17 march 24 2026 60 79	3	$2.7K	1,510	1,510	+0	open	—	03-24 08:28
will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	5	$2.3K	1,414	1,414	+0	open	—	02-05 09:18
will forgent power solutions market cap be between 8pt50b and 8pt75b at market close on ipo day	8	$2.1K	2,252	2,252	+0	open	—	02-06 06:31
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	4	$1.9K	1,524	1,524	+0	open	—	03-16 01:57
houthis successfully target shipping by march 31	4	$1.6K	900	900	+0	open	—	03-25 16:14
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	5	$1.6K	1,069	1,069	+0	open	—	01-30 17:52
will trump say favored nation at the nrcc dinner on march 25 338	4	$1.6K	1,672	1,672	+0	open	—	03-25 18:25
will khamenei tweet again on march 20 2026 825 171	5	$1.5K	977	977	+0	open	—	03-18 13:32
will keir starmer say reform 3 times during the next prime ministers questions	6	$1.4K	937	937	+0	open	—	01-31 07:15
will donald or trump be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	4	$1.4K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	03-21 19:29
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	8	$1.3K	1,031	1,031	+0	No	+$245	03-10 11:35
will israel strike 2 countries in february 2026	5	$1.1K	918	918	+0	open	—	02-03 10:06
hezbollah strike on israel by february 28	4	$1.1K	629	621	+8	open	—	02-09 23:51
will erin doherty win best actress in a television movie or limited series at the 2026 sag awards	5	$1.0K	676	676	+0	open	—	02-15 02:32
will israel strike lebanon on march 1 2026	6	$978	1,222	1,222	+0	open	—	02-27 02:45
will they will kill you score at least 65 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	4	$961	1,435	1,282	+153	open	—	03-30 14:55
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	1	$904	1,558	0	+1,558	open	—	03-30 05:57
will a new country join the abraham accords by march 31	3	$870	549	549	+0	open	—	02-27 14:28
will trump post boeing on truth social this week	2	$857	659	659	+0	open	—	03-24 08:32
Will Noah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	4	$838	475	475	+0	open	—	02-03 07:55
will epstein be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	2	$803	692	692	+0	open	—	03-22 02:16
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$776	988	39	+949	open	—	04-27 09:46
Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	3	$748	558	558	+0	No	$-123	04-27 09:59
will israel strike greater beirut by march 31	4	$709	506	506	+0	open	—	02-09 05:01
col1 bcf adc 2026 04 17 bcf	4	$689	1,112	1,112	+0	open	—	03-25 16:48
will democrats 66 d66 win the most seats in amsterdams 2026 municipal election	1	$669	1,013	0	+1,013	open	—	03-14 07:01
will israel strike 1 countries in february 2026	4	$660	776	776	+0	open	—	02-05 00:09
will february 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record	5	$604	428	390	+38	open	—	02-06 01:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 14:26:00	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	532	10¢	$53	0xd7cce6…
04-27 09:59:18	Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	262	56¢	$147	0xf1f367…
04-27 09:57:50	Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	296	56¢	$166	0x7ac3ad…
04-27 09:46:16	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	39	91¢	$35	0x8faa08…
04-24 03:08:08	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	600	41¢	$246	0x0be865…
04-23 11:46:24	Will Trump name "Homan" in April?	Yes	BUY	351	27¢	$95	0x28fe4b…
04-23 10:44:08	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	988	75¢	$741	0xc2fd2b…
04-08 03:21:19	Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	558	78¢	$435	0xec0fa7…
03-31 02:52:09	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	475	28¢	$133	0x6f0e53…
03-31 02:25:23	Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April?	No	SELL	128	73¢	$93	0x8d3988…
03-30 14:55:27	will they will kill you score at least 65 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	SELL	187	3¢	$6	0x1a8a9e…
03-30 14:53:47	will they will kill you score at least 65 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	SELL	665	3¢	$20	0x232b88…
03-30 14:52:37	will they will kill you score at least 65 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	SELL	430	4¢	$17	0x02249f…
03-30 09:38:24	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	475	32¢	$152	0xb2644a…
03-30 05:57:26	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,558	58¢	$904	0xb95372…
03-30 02:17:40	will they will kill you score at least 65 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	1,435	64¢	$918	0x1af805…
03-30 01:22:56	Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April?	No	BUY	128	72¢	$92	0x8fadf8…
03-26 11:15:41	Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	SELL	158	9¢	$14	0x4a5c24…
03-26 11:09:13	will global temperature increase by more than 1pt29c in march 2026	Yes	SELL	411	14¢	$59	0x8aeca9…
03-26 03:10:39	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	574	24¢	$138	0xb6a2e0…
03-26 03:09:13	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	16	23¢	$4	0x6bd701…
03-25 18:25:53	will trump say favored nation at the nrcc dinner on march 25 338	No	SELL	820	46¢	$377	0xbebaea…
03-25 18:24:55	will trump say favored nation at the nrcc dinner on march 25 338	No	SELL	12	46¢	$6	0x10e411…
03-25 18:23:29	will trump say favored nation at the nrcc dinner on march 25 338	No	SELL	840	46¢	$386	0xbe6631…
03-25 16:48:55	col1 bcf adc 2026 04 17 bcf	Yes	SELL	174	34¢	$59	0x2ab836…
03-25 16:48:43	col1 bcf adc 2026 04 17 bcf	Yes	SELL	938	34¢	$319	0x99e81f…
03-25 16:39:33	will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by april 21 587	No	SELL	117	63¢	$74	0x086625…
03-25 16:14:55	houthis successfully target shipping by march 31	No	SELL	403	88¢	$355	0xe9f573…
03-25 16:13:37	houthis successfully target shipping by march 31	No	SELL	430	88¢	$378	0x85ece1…
03-25 16:12:29	houthis successfully target shipping by march 31	No	SELL	67	88¢	$59	0x7c0ee1…
03-25 10:45:29	will trump say favored nation at the nrcc dinner on march 25 338	No	BUY	1,672	47¢	$786	0x811b7b…
03-25 10:34:03	houthis successfully target shipping by march 31	No	BUY	900	88¢	$792	0x789e42…
03-25 10:04:01	col1 bcf adc 2026 04 17 bcf	Yes	BUY	911	28¢	$255	0x5c7bbe…
03-25 10:03:51	col1 bcf adc 2026 04 17 bcf	Yes	BUY	201	28¢	$56	0x1c483f…
03-25 07:55:25	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	590	27¢	$159	0x5c6889…
03-25 07:35:45	Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	158	12¢	$19	0xd21620…
03-24 08:32:57	will trump post boeing on truth social this week	No	SELL	659	62¢	$409	0x010c88…
03-24 08:28:19	khamenei of tweets march 17 march 24 2026 60 79	No	SELL	1,344	96¢	$1,293	0xac2c65…
03-24 05:36:13	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	SELL	7	65¢	$5	0xd3dbea…
03-24 05:34:49	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0xb4123f…
03-24 05:32:59	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	SELL	208	65¢	$135	0x634275…
03-24 05:30:47	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	SELL	268	65¢	$174	0x905173…
03-24 05:29:41	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	SELL	30	65¢	$20	0x8d8283…
03-24 05:27:01	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	SELL	314	65¢	$204	0xe26024…
03-24 05:25:23	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	SELL	321	65¢	$209	0xccfb73…
03-24 05:24:15	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	SELL	277	65¢	$180	0x4215fa…
03-24 05:22:25	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	SELL	481	65¢	$313	0x6e714a…
03-24 05:20:29	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	SELL	269	65¢	$175	0xfcc081…
03-24 04:02:11	will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by april 21 587	No	BUY	117	63¢	$74	0xc31f62…
03-24 03:57:55	will global temperature increase by more than 1pt29c in march 2026	Yes	BUY	411	12¢	$50	0x9793f9…
03-24 01:38:15	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	2,452	65¢	$1,594	0xe4a0c4…
03-24 00:48:29	will trump post boeing on truth social this week	No	BUY	659	68¢	$448	0xdc6a70…
03-22 13:46:59	will voter turnout be 6871 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	796	24¢	$191	0x8c226b…
03-22 13:39:11	will iran successfully target shipping on march 25 2026 532	Yes	SELL	575	16¢	$92	0xbc06de…
03-22 02:16:45	will epstein be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	No	SELL	692	29¢	$201	0xc71df5…
03-22 01:53:11	will voter turnout be 6871 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	84	23¢	$19	0x61b42b…
03-21 19:29:55	will donald or trump be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	Yes	SELL	705	78¢	$550	0x842c88…
03-21 19:29:41	will donald or trump be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	Yes	SELL	695	78¢	$542	0xed3171…
03-21 18:21:19	khamenei of tweets march 17 march 24 2026 60 79	No	SELL	166	66¢	$109	0x7b9b4c…
03-21 08:18:55	khamenei of tweets march 17 march 24 2026 60 79	No	BUY	1,510	87¢	$1,306	0x5f190d…
03-21 07:49:49	will voter turnout be 6871 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	880	16¢	$141	0xba17ac…
03-21 07:30:19	will donald or trump be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	Yes	BUY	695	24¢	$167	0x2c0d13…
03-21 07:29:55	will donald or trump be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	Yes	BUY	705	24¢	$169	0xd41b7e…
03-21 05:59:57	will epstein be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	No	BUY	692	87¢	$602	0x146402…
03-21 05:52:33	will iran successfully target shipping on march 25 2026 532	Yes	BUY	441	25¢	$110	0x364b39…
03-21 05:52:17	will iran successfully target shipping on march 25 2026 532	Yes	BUY	134	25¢	$34	0x434519…
03-19 13:10:09	will trump post donald trump on truth social this week	No	SELL	317	49¢	$155	0x351ef1…
03-19 13:09:13	will trump post donald trump on truth social this week	No	SELL	98	49¢	$48	0x5d6b37…
03-19 06:54:57	will elon musks net worth be between 650b and 660b on march 31	No	SELL	155	80¢	$124	0x3ba2fc…
03-19 06:53:57	will elon musks net worth be between 650b and 660b on march 31	No	SELL	594	80¢	$475	0x8069c5…
03-19 03:00:37	will elon musks net worth be between 650b and 660b on march 31	No	SELL	923	82¢	$757	0xeb05ec…
03-18 13:32:09	will khamenei tweet again on march 20 2026 825 171	Yes	SELL	577	79¢	$456	0x59e0f5…
03-18 13:31:51	will khamenei tweet again on march 20 2026 825 171	Yes	SELL	100	79¢	$79	0x377d12…
03-18 13:31:39	will khamenei tweet again on march 20 2026 825 171	Yes	SELL	300	79¢	$237	0x68c5b0…
03-18 07:06:03	will khamenei tweet again on march 20 2026 825 171	Yes	BUY	967	77¢	$745	0x6b0b00…
03-18 07:05:47	will khamenei tweet again on march 20 2026 825 171	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x83b926…
03-18 03:30:21	will trump post donald trump on truth social this week	No	BUY	415	42¢	$174	0xd628ad…
03-16 02:02:37	Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?	No	SELL	386	47¢	$181	0x928baf…
03-16 01:57:05	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	649	63¢	$409	0x53b1af…
03-16 01:56:55	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	875	63¢	$551	0x754d66…
03-14 09:41:15	Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?	No	BUY	386	89¢	$344	0xf6cd53…
03-14 07:37:55	will elon musks net worth be between 650b and 660b on march 31	No	BUY	1,672	88¢	$1,471	0x55bac1…
03-14 07:01:59	will democrats 66 d66 win the most seats in amsterdams 2026 municipal election	No	BUY	1,013	66¢	$669	0x7c6f04…
03-13 00:38:21	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	649	61¢	$396	0x0443fc…
03-13 00:38:09	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	875	61¢	$534	0xfda527…
03-10 11:35:55	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0xaa2f68…
03-10 11:34:43	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	31	76¢	$24	0x30d9fe…
03-10 11:33:27	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	121	76¢	$92	0x863444…
03-10 11:31:39	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	149	76¢	$113	0xec5feb…
03-10 11:30:31	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	221	76¢	$168	0x635fb1…
03-10 11:28:43	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	243	76¢	$185	0x9c179d…
03-10 11:27:33	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	257	75¢	$193	0x8c7269…
03-10 10:34:33	will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by march 31	Yes	SELL	25	24¢	$6	0xd2c5e7…
03-10 10:34:19	will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by march 31	Yes	SELL	323	24¢	$78	0xd2a90e…
03-10 10:34:01	will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by march 31	Yes	SELL	313	24¢	$75	0x75d745…
03-06 06:37:13	euroleague aviv paris 2026 03 03	Hapoel Tel Aviv	BUY	351	36¢	$126	0x8a253e…
03-06 06:37:05	euroleague aviv paris 2026 03 03	Hapoel Tel Aviv	BUY	188	36¢	$68	0xb69266…
03-06 04:48:47	will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by march 31	Yes	BUY	328	64¢	$210	0x51a3a9…
03-06 04:48:33	will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by march 31	Yes	BUY	333	64¢	$213	0x99adc4…
02-28 03:57:43	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	1,031	52¢	$536	0xd0ae14…