Official-Orientation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.3%

Resolved

Trades

584

lifetime

Volume

$16.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-27 12:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

47% — —

Other

27% — —

Sports

19% 67% +$35

Politics

7% 0% $-16

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ufc and28 ate 2026 01 24	9	$1.8K	964	964	+0	open	—	01-25 01:25
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	34	$1.1K	4,247	4,247	+0	open	—	03-16 04:48
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	14	$1.0K	1,143	1,093	+50	open	—	01-19 01:54
will silver si hit low 75 by end of february 739 471 473 237 171 573 124 784	8	$954	715	1,315	-600	open	—	02-13 18:15
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	33	$765	6,034	6,034	+0	open	—	03-16 04:48
will sp 500 spx hit 6400 low in march 2026	13	$417	402	402	+0	open	—	03-27 02:22
will bitcoin dip to 65k in february 2026 372 697	5	$356	500	500	+0	open	—	02-05 17:31
will bitcoin dip to 90k january 12 18	10	$342	550	550	+0	open	—	01-14 20:41
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	3	$304	200	200	+0	open	—	03-02 23:39
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	4	$267	305	265	+40	open	—	04-27 03:53
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	7	$259	457	419	+38	open	—	03-31 01:00
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?	6	$255	217	317	-100	open	—	01-21 19:41
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	6	$255	200	200	+0	open	—	01-26 20:12
will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$250	263	0	+263	open	—	03-16 00:57
will bitcoin dip to 86k january 5 11	2	$243	150	150	+0	open	—	01-08 06:32
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	12	$209	380	380	+0	open	—	03-04 08:53
will silver si hit low 70 by end of february 712 779 958 335 231 549 229 331	4	$206	250	250	+0	open	—	02-18 20:54
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	3	$200	240	240	+0	open	—	02-09 20:58
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$193	249	0	+249	open	—	02-27 23:13
will bitcoin dip to 90k january 5 11	4	$191	200	200	+0	open	—	01-07 06:32
will solana reach 140 december 29 january 4	1	$190	0	200	-200	open	—	01-02 07:18
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	2	$186	160	160	+0	open	—	03-23 02:29
mwoh can swi 2026 02 13	1	$182	200	0	+200	open	—	02-13 19:47
will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$174	182	182	+0	open	—	03-02 23:40
will bitcoin dip to 88k january 5 11	4	$171	150	150	+0	open	—	01-08 06:32
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	7	$168	936	1,050	-114	open	—	01-14 20:41
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	7	$161	450	450	+0	open	—	01-21 19:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	2	$161	100	100	+0	open	—	05-22 19:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$160	200	200	+0	Yes	$-16	03-17 01:42
will bitcoin reach 95k in january 2026	6	$158	550	0	+550	open	—	01-13 18:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 12:42:16	ufc jea1 bek 2026 06 27	Bekzat Almakhan	BUY	40	39¢	$16	0x019503…
06-15 04:39:13	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	11	80¢	$8	0x904f33…
06-07 22:50:58	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0x81577f…
06-06 10:15:39	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x220a2f…
06-06 10:14:24	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	525	18¢	$94	0xcffcce…
06-06 10:07:49	ufc bel gab3 2026 06 06	Belal Muhammad	SELL	12	49¢	$6	0xb09eec…
06-06 10:07:33	ufc pri che3 2026 06 06	Chelsea Chandler	SELL	14	52¢	$7	0x1139b4…
06-06 10:07:01	ufc yun jei 2026 06 06	Jeisla Chaves	SELL	15	71¢	$11	0x66ce82…
06-05 23:42:03	ufc yun jei 2026 06 06	Jeisla Chaves	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0xa04dbe…
06-04 08:09:52	ufc bel gab3 2026 06 06	Belal Muhammad	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0xd2701e…
06-04 07:09:55	ufc pri che3 2026 06 06	Chelsea Chandler	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0xfc6290…
06-04 02:36:42	ufc far tom14 2026 06 06	Tom Nolan	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xff119b…
06-03 10:26:57	UFC Fight Night: Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Ariane Carnelossi	BUY	12	28¢	$4	0x5fe87b…
05-29 23:56:25	Will Song Yadong win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x66edb7…
05-29 11:00:23	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x10f46a…
05-28 11:14:31	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0x6cf750…
05-28 11:14:29	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9abbb5…
05-28 11:14:29	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x6cae49…
05-28 11:14:29	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x51d334…
05-28 02:32:08	UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Tallison Teixeira	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0xc33463…
05-28 00:16:27	UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jose Henrique	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0x46efe0…
05-24 14:17:03	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	44	51¢	$22	0x86ad77…
05-24 14:16:52	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x9deab1…
05-23 05:51:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	95	11¢	$10	0xd4837a…
05-22 22:32:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0x048ed1…
05-22 22:31:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd909d4…
05-22 22:30:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x9a9c05…
05-22 22:03:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	75	24¢	$18	0x4c09d3…
05-22 19:57:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x182635…
05-22 18:35:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	21	41¢	$8	0x1c5118…
05-20 16:45:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0x3e7ce8…
05-20 16:20:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x77c72c…
05-16 22:34:16	UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims)	Tommy Gantt	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x8b5905…
05-16 08:02:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	25	43¢	$11	0x7403f6…
05-16 06:43:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x074ebc…
05-15 18:31:59	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xc4e055…
05-15 18:24:47	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	No	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0x94b7c9…
05-15 18:18:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x86cde3…
05-15 11:46:57	UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)	Nikolay Veretennikov	BUY	1	47¢	$1	0xd0085c…
05-15 11:46:53	UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)	Nikolay Veretennikov	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x4d69dc…
05-15 09:44:46	UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)	Nikolay Veretennikov	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x54c9e1…
05-15 05:08:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x4c1d77…
05-14 05:22:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x4bf5d7…
05-13 20:34:38	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x90f178…
05-13 20:33:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x41dc6a…
05-10 04:29:24	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xf7c057…
05-10 03:01:40	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Tatsuro Taira	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xbadcae…
05-07 07:58:29	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x1559d6…
05-07 02:52:23	Will the fight be won by submission?	No	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xac09b6…
05-06 22:10:10	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens	Habs	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xb60fac…
05-05 21:04:52	Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe2d259…
05-04 03:07:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x00cc7f…
05-04 00:41:52	UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)	Jared Gordon	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xd7fc08…
05-03 18:51:32	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0xf3852b…
05-03 13:06:26	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Canadiens	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb265fd…
05-02 20:56:46	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0xe41d09…
05-01 19:21:38	UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jonathan Micallef	BUY	4	67¢	$2	0xa0a946…
05-01 18:58:34	UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jonathan Micallef	BUY	26	67¢	$18	0x85d78e…
04-28 13:57:10	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0xde6764…
04-28 13:56:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x187c00…
04-28 13:52:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x6f221b…
04-27 03:53:56	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	60	25¢	$15	0xba4702…
04-27 03:52:02	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	40	25¢	$10	0xb2b8cc…
04-27 03:51:42	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	165	25¢	$41	0x4b91df…
04-19 11:10:20	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	305	66¢	$201	0x3ff0d4…
04-18 22:13:48	ufc jja jam16 2026 04 18	JJ Aldrich	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x4a9fc7…
04-18 21:07:58	ufc jja jam16 2026 04 18	JJ Aldrich	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xd638f3…
04-18 21:02:02	ufc jsiraj joh41 2026 04 18	John Yannis	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0xb6feed…
04-18 21:01:56	ufc jsiraj joh41 2026 04 18 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xf04bc0…
04-17 20:03:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x7ee674…
04-17 20:02:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	192	7¢	$13	0x03bce2…
04-17 20:02:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x8c608b…
04-15 23:01:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	SELL	250	22¢	$55	0xc13120…
04-14 23:36:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xca6d07…
04-14 23:35:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0xa05b2f…
04-14 23:35:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xeb28e5…
04-14 23:35:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x9f10f3…
04-14 01:35:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xc1023c…
04-13 22:28:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	No	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x8039ff…
04-13 00:40:27	ufc man17 jai2 2026 04 18	Jai Herbert	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x2b9010…
04-12 23:51:09	ufc man17 jai2 2026 04 18	Jai Herbert	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xb04ed8…
04-12 00:44:51	ufc pat3 aar8 2026 04 11	Patricio Pitbull	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xc7225e…
04-11 23:38:33	ufc mat10 est1 2026 04 11	Esteban Ribovics	BUY	25	27¢	$7	0xa78f73…
04-11 22:01:21	ufc cha29 fra10 2026 04 11	Francisco Prado	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xdb82a6…
04-11 21:47:33	ufc cha29 fra10 2026 04 11	Francisco Prado	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x9880c8…
04-11 21:47:25	ufc cha29 fra10 2026 04 11	Francisco Prado	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x56c57c…
04-10 05:59:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	SELL	90	24¢	$22	0xca59b4…
04-10 05:55:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x67548f…
04-10 05:54:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x719c3f…
04-10 05:53:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	SELL	95	24¢	$23	0xb98768…
04-10 05:52:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x73251b…
04-09 07:17:29	ufc cur1 jos52 2026 04 11	Josh Hokit	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x2eed10…
04-09 07:13:47	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in April?	No	SELL	49	46¢	$23	0xcd8d7c…
04-08 22:31:51	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in April?	No	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x83785a…
04-08 06:21:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xd7297a…
04-02 05:17:43	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x85befa…
04-01 21:20:43	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa5eda1…
04-01 18:35:23	will bitcoin dip to 64k march 30 april 5	No	SELL	69	73¢	$50	0x6310d8…
04-01 18:34:37	will bitcoin dip to 64k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	48	74¢	$36	0x2fc8a8…
03-31 01:00:39	will bitcoin dip to 64k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x3e4d09…