Serpentine-Confidentiality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$15.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$340

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-13 01:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$7

Politics

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No		+2	$2	100¢	$2	+$0	06-02 02:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	5	$1.7K	1,358	295	+1,063	No	+$2	05-05 03:37
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	1	$1.1K	1,084	0	+1,084	Yes	+$3	05-11 00:55
ethereum above 3600 on january 18	1	$1.1K	1,077	0	+1,077	open	—	01-18 01:11
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on May 9?	1	$1.1K	1,076	0	+1,076	No	+$2	05-09 01:12
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 17	1	$1.1K	1,075	0	+1,075	open	—	01-17 01:07
bitcoin above 102k on january 16	1	$1.1K	1,074	0	+1,074	open	—	01-16 01:39
bitcoin above 88k on january 15	1	$1.1K	1,072	0	+1,072	open	—	01-15 01:26
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 14	1	$1.1K	1,071	0	+1,071	open	—	01-14 01:30
ethereum above 3500 on january 13	1	$1.1K	1,069	0	+1,069	open	—	01-13 01:02
will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 12	1	$1.1K	1,068	0	+1,068	open	—	01-12 02:14
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 11	1	$1.1K	1,067	0	+1,067	open	—	01-11 02:23
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 10	1	$1.1K	1,066	0	+1,066	open	—	01-10 01:54
will the price of bitcoin be less than 82000 on january 9	1	$1.1K	1,064	0	+1,064	open	—	01-09 05:18
Will the price of Solana be above $50 on May 3?	1	$1.1K	1,058	0	+1,058	open	—	05-03 02:02
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-20 01:32
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 11	1	$8	1,107	0	+1,107	open	—	02-11 01:57
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	1	$8	1,095	0	+1,095	open	—	02-04 05:46
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 3	5	$5	5,378	0	+5,378	open	—	01-03 00:47
ethereum above 1700 on february 18	1	$3	1,094	0	+1,094	open	—	02-18 02:05
bitcoin above 78k on april 8	1	$3	1,087	0	+1,087	open	—	04-08 01:14
Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-14 02:15
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-21 09:35
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-06 11:26
ethereum above 1600 on february 25	1	$2	1,116	0	+1,116	open	—	02-25 02:14
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	06-02 02:36
ethereum above 1600 on march 9	1	$2	1,097	0	+1,097	open	—	03-09 02:33
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 17	1	$2	1,092	0	+1,092	open	—	04-17 00:37
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 28?	1	$2	1,076	0	+1,076	open	—	04-28 00:47
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 29	1	$2	1,066	0	+1,066	open	—	03-29 03:17
ethereum above 1800 on june 13 2026	1	$2	1,055	0	+1,055	open	—	06-13 01:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 01:04:18	ethereum above 1800 on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1,055	0¢	$2	0xa0fe7f…
06-04 06:07:37	ethereum above 1500 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	1,052	0¢	$2	0xf1e1c0…
06-02 02:36:37	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x52805f…
05-21 09:35:39	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5b13f1…
05-11 00:55:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1,084	100¢	$1,081	0xd548e0…
05-09 01:12:37	Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on May 9?	No	BUY	1,076	100¢	$1,074	0xd89f43…
05-05 03:37:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	No	BUY	288	100¢	$288	0x6b027a…
05-05 03:29:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0xf0147c…
05-05 03:27:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x17f599…
05-05 03:09:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	No	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0xe925a2…
05-05 03:02:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	No	BUY	1,070	100¢	$1,068	0x57eb10…
05-03 02:02:14	Will the price of Solana be above $50 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1,058	100¢	$1,056	0xe816b2…
04-28 00:47:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	1,076	0¢	$2	0x3a963e…
04-17 00:37:18	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 17	Yes	BUY	1,092	0¢	$2	0x38c1ce…
04-14 02:15:25	Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf526a6…
04-08 01:14:47	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	Yes	BUY	1,087	0¢	$3	0xa14d1c…
04-06 11:26:57	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe2be98…
03-29 03:17:58	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 29	Yes	BUY	1,066	0¢	$2	0xf9d735…
03-20 03:43:47	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 20	Yes	BUY	1,051	0¢	$2	0x9c30da…
03-09 02:33:47	ethereum above 1600 on march 9	No	BUY	1,097	0¢	$2	0xfce92d…
02-25 02:14:48	ethereum above 1600 on february 25	No	BUY	1,116	0¢	$2	0x6167d0…
02-18 02:05:27	ethereum above 1700 on february 18	No	BUY	1,094	0¢	$3	0xed1015…
02-11 01:57:55	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 11	Yes	BUY	1,107	1¢	$8	0xf0d23a…
02-04 05:46:30	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	Yes	BUY	1,095	1¢	$8	0x7aa3be…
02-02 03:50:16	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3287df…
01-30 06:52:56	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfffd01…
01-29 08:27:34	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x097def…
01-28 03:49:05	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 28	Yes	BUY	1,079	0¢	$1	0xe6e68f…
01-26 11:49:35	will googl dip to 215 in january	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9c510e…
01-20 01:32:26	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x720d5c…
01-19 02:54:06	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x52a244…
01-18 01:11:22	ethereum above 3600 on january 18	No	BUY	1,077	100¢	$1,075	0xb67715…
01-17 01:07:12	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 17	No	BUY	1,075	100¢	$1,074	0x295cec…
01-16 01:39:42	bitcoin above 102k on january 16	No	BUY	1,074	100¢	$1,073	0x9c1351…
01-15 01:26:10	bitcoin above 88k on january 15	Yes	BUY	1,072	100¢	$1,071	0x30fec5…
01-14 01:30:18	will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 14	No	BUY	1,071	100¢	$1,069	0xc13009…
01-13 01:02:39	ethereum above 3500 on january 13	No	BUY	1,069	100¢	$1,068	0x721099…
01-12 02:14:24	will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 12	No	BUY	1,068	100¢	$1,067	0xff7f08…
01-11 02:23:14	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 11	No	BUY	1,067	100¢	$1,066	0x9b4b6b…
01-10 01:54:18	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 10	No	BUY	1,066	100¢	$1,065	0x64eee9…
01-09 05:18:08	will the price of bitcoin be less than 82000 on january 9	No	BUY	1,064	100¢	$1,063	0x20ab9c…
01-03 00:47:53	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 3	Yes	BUY	1,076	0¢	$1	0x88f2b8…
01-03 00:46:09	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 3	Yes	BUY	1,077	0¢	$1	0x88434a…
01-03 00:43:41	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 3	Yes	BUY	1,076	0¢	$1	0xb94a3c…
01-03 00:41:37	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 3	Yes	BUY	1,076	0¢	$1	0x6f28a1…
01-03 00:38:49	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 3	Yes	BUY	1,074	0¢	$1	0x4a0df2…