Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$345

Unrealized P&L

-$173

Hit rate

85.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$72

Open exposure

$613

3 positions

First seen

2026-06-09

last 10-28 16:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

74% 100% +$553

Tech

17% — —

Politics

7% 0% -$119

Sports

1% 0% -$46

Crypto

1% 0% -$43

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	+2,963	$468	12¢	$370	-$98	10-26 13:24
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	+322	$173	54¢	$174	+$1	10-28 16:40
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+656	$145	11¢	$69	-$76	10-27 07:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	3	$957	717	717	+0	No	+$431	07-13 16:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	9	$843	1,003	1,003	+0	Yes	+$88	09-14 17:29
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	4	$725	968	968	+0	open	—	07-29 07:33
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	16	$468	2,963	0	+2,963	open	—	10-26 13:24
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	7	$248	1,655	195	+1,460	No	-$119	09-21 06:18
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	1	$173	322	0	+322	open	—	10-28 16:40
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	4	$145	656	0	+656	open	—	10-27 07:07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$100	134	0	+134	Yes	+$34	07-28 12:06
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$46	6,537	0	+6,537	No	-$46	06-20 21:36
Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$10	216	0	+216	Down	-$10	10-01 17:34
Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$9	450	0	+450	Down	-$9	10-01 18:03
Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$8	75	0	+75	Up	-$8	10-01 18:08
Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$7	7,000	0	+7,000	Down	-$7	10-01 17:09
Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$5	71	0	+71	Up	-$5	10-01 17:23
Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$4	124	0	+124	Up	-$4	10-01 17:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 16:40:23	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	322	54¢	$173	0x48489d…
10-27 07:07:45	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0xa4fc67…
10-26 13:24:48	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	502	8¢	$40	0xfb7273…
10-26 13:04:15	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x6024d5…
10-26 13:01:26	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	410	8¢	$33	0x010ca6…
10-05 06:27:11	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0x2e4a89…
10-01 18:08:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	75	11¢	$8	0xa3780d…
10-01 18:03:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	450	2¢	$9	0x8efec7…
10-01 17:34:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	216	5¢	$10	0x7e4fb6…
10-01 17:23:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x556906…
10-01 17:17:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	124	3¢	$4	0x971565…
10-01 17:09:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7,000	0¢	$7	0x323a17…
09-29 06:39:42	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	90	19¢	$17	0xf65d05…
09-28 13:52:26	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0x087fa1…
09-21 06:18:40	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0xd32965…
09-20 18:07:37	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	123	7¢	$9	0xa5f705…
09-20 18:06:46	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	135	7¢	$10	0x6f91fc…
09-20 14:32:48	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	202	10¢	$20	0x3e763f…
09-19 19:02:17	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	226	31¢	$70	0x88226b…
09-14 17:29:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	91	84¢	$76	0x75a853…
09-03 13:59:51	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x4b5e94…
09-03 13:58:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	246	39¢	$96	0x47ae75…
08-28 14:28:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	333	50¢	$166	0xaca5fa…
08-28 14:22:07	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	157	10¢	$15	0xba4938…
08-28 14:08:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	333	38¢	$127	0x314d02…
08-26 13:16:01	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	221	10¢	$22	0x245ae2…
08-20 21:32:13	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	195	33¢	$64	0x8acd99…
08-17 17:44:58	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	367	15¢	$55	0xe1cccf…
08-17 17:39:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	224	25¢	$56	0x05cc00…
08-14 00:09:33	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	300	17¢	$51	0x859f95…
08-09 10:13:46	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xf2bf37…
08-09 10:13:46	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xe54d7c…
08-09 10:13:46	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x777c32…
08-09 10:13:45	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xb99daa…
08-09 10:13:45	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x4a3a61…
08-09 10:13:45	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x205b0a…
08-09 10:13:43	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xe1eb7e…
08-07 12:31:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	81	35¢	$28	0x69fbc6…
08-07 12:31:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x8bc30c…
08-07 12:31:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x4b86a7…
08-06 14:39:41	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	395	23¢	$90	0x517558…
08-06 11:39:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	489	45¢	$220	0x8c322e…
08-06 10:23:38	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	444	36¢	$160	0x4fe321…
07-29 07:33:56	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	668	27¢	$180	0xaefb41…
07-28 12:06:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	134	74¢	$100	0x9c6e30…
07-28 12:04:41	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	36¢	$108	0x0d44f1…
07-13 16:50:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	186	96¢	$179	0x4624c2…
07-13 16:37:41	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	253	32¢	$80	0xf132c2…
07-13 16:29:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	531	97¢	$514	0x093d9e…
06-20 21:36:35	Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6,537	1¢	$46	0x2e0ef1…
06-15 08:45:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	717	37¢	$263	0x08b2f7…
06-09 16:45:31	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	715	50¢	$357	0xb3d6b5…