Defensive-Fit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$111

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-26 07:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

65% — —

Crypto

35% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	10	$4.6K	2,329	2,329	+0	open	—	01-21 03:16
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$939	474	474	+0	open	—	02-12 03:05
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	2	$925	463	463	+0	open	—	01-23 09:31
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 260 279	1	$470	470	0	+470	open	—	02-22 02:52
will bitcoin reach 88k february 2 8	1	$468	469	0	+469	open	—	02-07 03:00
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 215 239	1	$467	468	0	+468	open	—	02-03 05:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 26?	1	$49	49	0	+49	open	—	04-25 02:46
ethereum above 2000 on march 21	1	$49	49	0	+49	open	—	03-21 08:57
bitcoin above 66k on april 13	1	$48	48	0	+48	open	—	04-13 02:32
solana above 80 on march 24	1	$47	47	0	+47	open	—	03-24 02:12
ethereum above 2100 on april 24	1	$47	47	0	+47	open	—	04-24 03:30
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 15?	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	05-15 05:15
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 26?	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	05-26 07:19
bitcoin above 70k on april 15	1	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	04-15 02:37
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	1	$44	44	0	+44	No	+$0	05-13 03:32
ethereum above 1800 on april 4	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	04-04 02:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	05-23 05:49
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 2?	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	05-02 03:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	05-01 02:36
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on april 16	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	04-16 02:37
bitcoin above 60k on march 30	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	03-30 02:26
bitcoin above 66k on april 9	1	$40	41	0	+41	open	—	04-09 02:23
will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 19	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	04-18 02:54
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 115 139	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	04-01 02:25
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	05-21 09:03
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 27?	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	04-27 02:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	1	$37	37	0	+37	Yes	+$0	05-10 06:35
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	04-26 02:56
bitcoin above 62k on april 5	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	04-05 02:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	05-20 07:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 07:19:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 26?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x18bf6c…
05-24 05:17:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x38b5c6…
05-23 05:49:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x1fd0a1…
05-22 10:04:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe7e95e…
05-21 09:03:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x7ef657…
05-20 07:04:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x7b447d…
05-19 05:29:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x97b62e…
05-17 05:40:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x1cb3fe…
05-16 05:10:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1a7f54…
05-15 05:15:04	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x51e2cb…
05-14 05:22:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xff6339…
05-13 03:32:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x6a835d…
05-11 08:58:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd39e23…
05-10 06:35:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xda70cb…
05-09 02:12:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x587d07…
05-08 02:08:35	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x90df74…
05-07 02:06:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe03c18…
05-05 08:06:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x18f067…
05-02 03:39:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 2?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xfc1378…
05-01 02:36:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x221652…
04-28 02:51:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x2d03df…
04-27 02:23:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x3b21b1…
04-26 02:56:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x7b5c65…
04-25 02:46:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x939bf9…
04-24 03:30:16	ethereum above 2100 on april 24	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x93ffcf…
04-23 02:50:26	bitcoin above 72k on april 23	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x5d79b7…
04-22 02:30:34	bitcoin above 72k on april 22	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$35	0x2d852f…
04-21 02:26:58	ethereum above 2100 on april 21	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x91b336…
04-20 02:24:34	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xda064b…
04-19 02:28:30	will the price of solana be between 60 70 on april 19	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8a481a…
04-18 02:54:50	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 19	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xa155f5…
04-17 02:57:40	bitcoin above 70k on april 17	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x157c57…
04-16 02:37:58	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on april 16	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xe49b81…
04-15 02:37:40	bitcoin above 70k on april 15	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xadf38c…
04-14 06:24:07	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x6cd564…
04-13 02:32:55	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x8822b0…
04-12 02:24:41	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 12	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x44ae2a…
04-11 02:16:17	bitcoin above 68k on april 11	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x017df1…
04-10 02:24:07	will the price of xrp be between 1pt50 1pt60 on april 10	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xd33e21…
04-09 02:23:17	bitcoin above 66k on april 9	Yes	BUY	41	100¢	$40	0x0a4a3d…
04-08 02:18:35	will the price of xrp be between 1pt00 1pt10 on april 8	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xeeb25d…
04-07 03:18:57	bitcoin above 60k on april 7	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa210b4…
04-06 05:12:35	will the price of solana be between 60 70 on april 6	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xd386bd…
04-05 02:26:19	bitcoin above 62k on april 5	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x7d6ccb…
04-04 02:22:07	ethereum above 1800 on april 4	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x40549f…
04-03 06:20:45	xrp above 1pt2 on april 3	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb0a61c…
04-02 02:56:37	ethereum above 1800 on april 2	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x03189c…
04-01 02:25:51	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 115 139	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x48ed1f…
03-31 02:26:31	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x2568f1…
03-30 02:26:08	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xe545d2…
03-29 03:10:40	bitcoin above 60k on march 29	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x28ac84…
03-28 03:02:53	will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on march 28	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x5a15b2…
03-27 02:24:31	bitcoin above 62k on march 27	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x148c11…
03-26 02:15:07	ethereum above 1900 on march 26	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x64b0bb…
03-25 08:43:25	ethereum above 1900 on march 25	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x1e3078…
03-24 02:12:19	solana above 80 on march 24	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xc41ae2…
03-23 03:07:35	will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on march 23	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x364379…
03-22 06:47:49	xrp above 1pt5 on march 22	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x323cce…
03-21 08:57:15	ethereum above 2000 on march 21	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xd176ee…
03-20 02:53:33	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 400 419	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe29cfe…
03-19 03:11:59	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 19	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xc3f9a1…
03-18 02:51:11	xrp above 1pt3 on march 18	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x9eab55…
03-17 09:22:09	ethereum above 2100 on march 17	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb6cee1…
03-15 02:19:21	bitcoin above 62k on march 16	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x906857…
03-14 08:18:45	bitcoin above 66k on march 14	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6697be…
03-13 09:15:09	xrp above 1pt3 on march 13	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb03a50…
03-11 02:52:09	ethereum above 1700 on march 11	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa95f34…
03-10 02:25:55	ethereum above 1800 on march 10	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x166554…
03-09 05:07:27	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xef74fd…
03-05 02:53:07	solana above 80 on march 5	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe5a598…
03-04 05:21:53	bitcoin above 60k on march 4	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x610de7…
03-03 02:50:05	ethereum above 1500 on march 3	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa9b94d…
03-02 03:50:13	will the price of bitcoin be less than 56000 on march 2	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x12102b…
03-01 04:02:01	solana above 60 on march 1	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x598187…
02-28 07:11:41	bitcoin above 70k on february 28	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd53c4d…
02-22 02:52:40	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 260 279	No	BUY	470	100¢	$470	0x5bfce7…
02-12 03:05:25	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	474	99¢	$470	0x4ea6d1…
02-11 02:37:53	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	474	99¢	$469	0x245b7b…
02-07 03:00:47	will bitcoin reach 88k february 2 8	No	BUY	469	100¢	$468	0x4a0707…
02-03 05:31:50	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 215 239	No	BUY	468	100¢	$467	0x6933b7…
01-23 09:31:28	will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	No	SELL	463	100¢	$462	0x8ccac2…
01-22 02:57:06	will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	No	BUY	463	100¢	$463	0x0100e0…
01-21 03:16:18	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	464	100¢	$463	0xde1b37…
01-20 02:36:48	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	464	100¢	$463	0x5b6368…
01-14 06:12:46	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	465	100¢	$464	0x0aadd4…
01-13 03:24:35	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	465	100¢	$464	0xc9ce14…
01-12 03:41:34	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	465	100¢	$464	0x35dad6…
01-10 05:36:02	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	465	100¢	$464	0xcd671c…
01-09 06:44:30	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	467	99¢	$464	0xc6d091…
01-06 06:43:21	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	467	99¢	$464	0x8dddad…
01-05 10:56:23	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	468	99¢	$464	0xa17b52…
01-03 09:01:43	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	468	99¢	$463	0xdf54ed…