Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.2%

Resolved

Trades

238

lifetime

Volume

$874

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 06-23 14:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Politics

71% 73% +$20

Tech

16% 43% -$37

Other

12% 72% -$15

Crypto

1% 33% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-23).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will us or israel strike iran on march 6 2026	3	$346	176	176	+0	Yes	+$4	03-05 19:10
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	7	$46	25	25	+0	Yes	+$1	03-01 15:24
will a claude mythos model be released by june 22 2026 656	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	06-09 17:24
spx up or down on february 11 2026	3	$40	25	25	+0	Down	-$2	02-11 20:48
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	8	$31	22	25	-3	Yes	+$1	03-31 04:51
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$24	0	26	-26	Yes	-$2	06-09 15:43
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	17	$24	181	190	-10	No	-$16	03-17 06:16
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	10	$23	13	13	+0	Yes	+$3	02-28 09:09
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	2	$21	23	23	+0	No	-$19	06-23 14:58
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	8	$17	9	9	+0	Yes	+$1	03-02 18:27
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	7	$17	10	10	+0	Yes	+$3	02-28 09:09
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	6	$14	9	5	+5	Yes	+$0	03-02 06:36
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	6	$12	101	0	+101	No	-$12	03-16 05:08
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	8	$11	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	03-05 01:22
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?	3	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	+$2	02-28 09:12
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	5	$10	6	6	+0	Yes	+$2	02-28 09:09
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 16	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-17 06:16
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	5	$9	5	6	-1	No	$0	03-02 21:37
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-14 06:30
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	5	$9	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	02-28 20:01
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	4	$6	4	4	+0	No	+$0	03-01 21:42
will iran strike cyprus in march	3	$5	8	8	+0	No	+$0	03-02 22:43
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	5	$5	8	9	-1	No	$0	03-10 00:09
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	3	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	02-28 09:12
US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	02-28 09:09
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	02-10 17:32
us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	3	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	02-10 17:34
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	2	$4	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	03-15 15:35
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	3	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	02-10 17:32
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	3	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	02-19 01:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 14:58:46	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0x506cc1…
06-15 22:13:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x5efbc7…
06-15 22:13:00	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0x1ef3a9…
06-09 17:24:40	will a claude mythos model be released by june 22 2026 656	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3c93e7…
06-09 15:44:09	will a claude mythos model be released by june 22 2026 656	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x50f0e0…
06-09 15:43:22	Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xe22a43…
06-09 15:43:18	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	91¢	$24	0xe1a36b…
03-31 04:52:09	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x50b9ca…
03-31 04:51:19	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x9ce0b1…
03-18 02:18:07	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x03f8eb…
03-18 02:17:53	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xe55aa7…
03-17 06:16:47	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	3	91¢	$2	0x38a3c5…
03-17 06:16:31	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	SELL	179	1¢	$3	0xb175a5…
03-17 06:16:17	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb92f68…
03-17 06:16:03	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 16	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x038794…
03-16 05:08:05	Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x310b0f…
03-16 03:39:29	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8064ea…
03-15 15:36:01	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xbc7f96…
03-15 15:35:51	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0xdc4469…
03-15 03:44:19	Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x2d1a72…
03-15 03:42:39	Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	21	12¢	$2	0x862c27…
03-15 03:41:07	Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x6ce0c1…
03-14 06:31:59	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x046eb7…
03-14 06:31:01	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 16	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1befab…
03-14 06:30:49	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xba6bb3…
03-14 05:51:11	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xee7193…
03-14 05:50:41	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x22d369…
03-14 01:10:51	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xa5ab05…
03-12 17:10:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	No	BUY	5	98¢	$4	0x384ece…
03-10 00:09:37	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x68f361…
03-10 00:09:29	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x9aa849…
03-10 00:09:03	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	No	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0x1d6e18…
03-09 21:18:01	Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	24	11¢	$3	0x38afec…
03-09 20:24:13	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb5adb8…
03-09 04:23:09	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x9a79d2…
03-09 04:22:05	Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xbf52a2…
03-09 04:21:09	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x3a0400…
03-05 20:13:29	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	SELL	37	3¢	$1	0x28090f…
03-05 19:13:45	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xb89509…
03-05 19:10:51	will us or israel strike iran on march 6 2026	Yes	SELL	176	100¢	$175	0xc9e445…
03-05 15:25:29	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xcc9cf8…
03-05 01:45:23	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x742990…
03-05 01:22:47	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x98ab75…
03-04 16:41:03	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xd9d920…
03-04 16:40:37	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa6cf70…
03-04 06:38:35	will us or israel strike iran on march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	150	97¢	$145	0xd44238…
03-04 05:44:25	will us or israel strike iran on march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xa2fa62…
03-02 22:48:17	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x4dd70f…
03-02 22:43:53	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8b66ab…
03-02 22:43:37	will iran strike cyprus in march	Yes	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0xb9f894…
03-02 21:50:21	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x45e1a7…
03-02 21:37:13	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xd4d34f…
03-02 20:23:31	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd1fddf…
03-02 18:52:15	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xce90fd…
03-02 18:52:05	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9ec94e…
03-02 18:31:29	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd0861f…
03-02 18:31:05	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc4d100…
03-02 18:28:21	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x131773…
03-02 18:27:59	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x586b61…
03-02 06:38:15	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x88cb39…
03-02 06:37:23	will iran strike cyprus in march	Yes	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x6d1816…
03-02 06:36:33	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	46	10¢	$5	0x0a5559…
03-02 06:36:19	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcb989f…
03-02 06:33:21	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xba8a56…
03-02 04:07:35	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x2cbeb0…
03-02 00:21:37	will iran strike cyprus in march	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0xce7ee2…
03-02 00:21:23	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	Yes	SELL	37	3¢	$1	0xcb6a42…
03-02 00:21:19	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x53d0dc…
03-01 21:43:25	will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x1e6d05…
03-01 21:43:19	will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x86f46a…
03-01 21:42:57	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0x95ec2e…
03-01 15:35:51	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbfb5dd…
03-01 15:35:31	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbfe916…
03-01 15:35:27	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9505ff…
03-01 15:35:13	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa5d48e…
03-01 15:34:47	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x23f3f5…
03-01 15:34:43	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xecf212…
03-01 15:24:23	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x883318…
03-01 07:42:29	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x5c9117…
03-01 07:42:17	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xedfd3f…
03-01 07:42:11	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xb75a09…
03-01 05:54:01	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb56a88…
03-01 05:53:59	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x1eb1f7…
03-01 05:34:29	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd651ab…
03-01 05:34:21	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xe90aa1…
03-01 03:58:09	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xcc7907…
03-01 03:58:01	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xfb26ca…
03-01 03:57:55	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x867704…
03-01 02:01:37	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0xfac657…
02-28 21:41:25	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xfa89b1…
02-28 21:41:07	khamenei seen in public by march 3 664 585 642	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x64c6f3…
02-28 21:41:03	khamenei seen in public by march 4 594 341 111	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfa28d6…
02-28 21:40:59	khamenei seen in public by march 7 249 832 798 867	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdb1f7e…
02-28 21:40:53	khamenei seen in public by march 14 884 469 913	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa5d0d8…
02-28 21:40:47	khamenei seen in public by march 2 179 218 146	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x135adb…
02-28 21:40:43	khamenei seen in public by march 1 655 132 582	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x06f98d…
02-28 21:40:37	khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x64ca62…
02-28 21:40:23	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x5f05f1…
02-28 21:40:13	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5719b7…
02-28 20:54:21	nothing ever happens khamenei	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc9d37f…