Hideous-Arithmetic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$98

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$559

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 05-26 13:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Sports

90% 43% -$93

Politics

7% 100% +$10

Other

3% 0% -$15

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-26).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$40	50	+50	No	+$10	04-21 21:00
Oilers vs. Ducks	1	$20	36	+36	Ducks	-$20	04-24 17:24
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5	1	$20	38	+38	Under	-$20	05-11 19:10
mlb sd bos 2026 04 04 spread home 1pt5	1	$20	51	+51	San Diego Padres	-$20	04-04 17:04
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies	1	$20	43	+43	Philadelphia Phillies	-$20	05-18 13:04
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox	1	$20	37	+37	No	+$17	04-20 13:50
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins	1	$20	39	+39	Minnesota Twins	-$20	05-14 17:06
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)	1	$20	34	+34	Avalanche	-$20	05-05 17:04
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)	1	$20	54	+54	Boston Red Sox	+$34	05-06 17:19
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	1	$20	36	+36	Seattle Mariners	+$16	05-14 12:54
Canadiens vs. Sabres	1	$20	43	+43	Canadiens	+$23	05-08 20:43
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	1	$20	55	+55	No	-$20	05-04 03:53
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers	1	$20	44	+44	Texas Rangers	-$20	05-26 13:06
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	1	$19	37	+37	Golden Knights	-$19	05-26 13:07
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	1	$15	24	+24	No	+$9	05-17 14:31
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners	1	$10	20	+20	Yes	-$10	04-20 23:39
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres	1	$10	20	+20	No	-$10	05-09 20:29
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies	1	$10	20	+20	Yes	-$10	05-06 17:25
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?	1	$10	95	+95	No	-$10	05-16 20:19
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	1	$10	20	+20	Milwaukee Brewers	+$10	05-22 21:04
mlb mil kc 2026 04 03	1	$10	20	+20	Kansas City Royals	-$10	04-04 17:02
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. San Diego Padres	1	$10	20	+20	Yes	-$10	05-22 21:01
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals	1	$10	19	+19	Yes	-$10	05-24 17:32
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5	1	$10	17	+17	Under	+$7	05-25 21:38
Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5	1	$10	21	+21	Under	+$11	04-29 21:12
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals	1	$10	18	+18	No	+$8	05-08 22:02
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	1	$10	18	+18	Yes	-$10	05-08 22:02
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)	1	$10	20	+20	Colorado Rockies	-$10	05-22 21:03
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	1	$10	21	+21	Milwaukee Brewers	+$11	05-08 21:56
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles	1	$10	23	+23	Boston Red Sox	+$13	04-26 14:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 13:07:13	Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	Avalanche	BUY	37	51¢	$19	0xd521eb…
05-26 13:06:47	Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers	Houston Astros	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xf0a73e…
05-25 21:38:42	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x6ca280…
05-25 21:38:37	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xf9918f…
05-24 17:32:43	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x438269…
05-24 17:32:17	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xf57f2c…
05-24 17:31:58	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. San Diego Padres	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x9dc3c1…
05-23 17:34:19	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x4034d8…
05-22 21:04:04	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4e4e93…
05-22 21:03:09	Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x62ba40…
05-22 21:02:41	Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)	Atlanta Braves	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x50d764…
05-22 21:01:33	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. San Diego Padres	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x5ab625…
05-19 20:56:01	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xad29c4…
05-18 13:04:05	Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x907796…
05-17 14:31:50	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	No	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x9489b5…
05-16 20:19:32	Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	95	10¢	$10	0xc5fae5…
05-16 20:18:19	Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x0e813e…
05-14 17:06:06	Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins	Miami Marlins	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xebb759…
05-14 12:54:22	Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	Seattle Mariners	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x3db6e1…
05-11 19:10:30	Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xe2ef19…
05-09 20:29:36	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x19375f…
05-08 22:03:13	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x570900…
05-08 22:02:48	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals	No	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x4bdd82…
05-08 22:02:18	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x20aa10…
05-08 21:56:39	New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x2d13d6…
05-08 21:56:32	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xaa6d8d…
05-08 20:43:26	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xe8511b…
05-06 17:25:09	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x44afb1…
05-06 17:24:46	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals	No	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x85891c…
05-06 17:19:55	Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)	Boston Red Sox	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xc853c4…
05-05 17:04:26	Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)	Wild	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xb03496…
05-04 03:53:32	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	55	36¢	$20	0xb48721…
04-29 21:12:54	Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x93bb82…
04-26 14:16:18	Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles	Boston Red Sox	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x83c7f6…
04-24 17:24:52	Oilers vs. Ducks	Oilers	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x205500…
04-21 21:00:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xbe8e5b…
04-20 23:39:52	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xdf4789…
04-20 13:50:20	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox	No	BUY	37	55¢	$20	0xe0d906…
04-04 17:04:41	mlb sd bos 2026 04 04 spread home 1pt5	Boston Red Sox	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xbab05f…
04-04 17:02:57	mlb mil kc 2026 04 03	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc4f259…