Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$536

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$99

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 09-22 19:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Politics

58% 20% -$768

Other

25% 50% +$452

Crypto

18% 20% -$220

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	4	$713	19,384	10,879	+8,504	No	-$407	02-23 19:05
will powell say inflation 40 times during january press conference	3	$684	626	626	+0	No	+$484	01-28 21:26
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	3	$537	2,810	2,810	+0	No	+$145	03-09 21:32
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	8	$504	1,387	1,387	+0	No	-$116	03-25 19:09
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	3	$447	6,091	4,935	+1,156	No	-$80	09-22 19:36
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	3	$314	4,608	11,275	-6,667	No	-$88	02-24 17:50
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$293	357	357	+0	Yes	+$93	01-29 08:27
will trump say america or american 50 times during the 2026 state of the union address 966	1	$195	997	0	+997	Yes	-$195	02-24 17:52
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	2	$174	3,283	3,283	+0	No	-$10	02-24 17:51
bitcoin up or down january 29 3am et	4	$171	100	100	+0	Down	+$21	01-29 08:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	2	$124	15,575	0	+15,575	No	-$124	09-22 19:34
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$111	5,281	5,281	+0	No	-$89	02-09 20:59
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 28	1	$100	304	0	+304	Yes	-$100	01-28 09:08
bitcoin above 80k on january 28	2	$50	32,075	0	+32,075	Yes	-$50	01-28 09:06
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	1	$11	925	0	+925	No	-$11	02-09 20:59
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	01-14 21:07
will trump say million or billion or trillion 10 times during cnbc interview	1	$7	4,247	0	+4,247	No	-$7	01-23 10:35
will trump establish a gaza board of peace by january 31 964	1	$3	11	0	+11	Yes	-$3	01-15 14:01
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	01-20 04:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-22 19:36:06	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	1,156	4¢	$48	0x4fbb0c…
09-22 19:34:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	BUY	6,689	1¢	$54	0x17ff4d…
09-22 19:34:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	BUY	8,886	1¢	$70	0x352019…
09-22 19:33:49	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	4,935	4¢	$183	0x4f9c73…
09-22 19:18:45	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	4,935	4¢	$216	0x806b5c…
03-25 19:09:35	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,387	14¢	$194	0x18f854…
03-24 21:04:35	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	482	25¢	$120	0xf577f3…
03-23 14:00:21	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x53b134…
03-23 14:00:09	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	29	21¢	$6	0xb7efd0…
03-23 14:00:05	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	500	21¢	$105	0x9e3dca…
03-23 14:00:05	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	38	21¢	$8	0x21c3c7…
03-23 13:59:59	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	38	21¢	$8	0x4381f3…
03-23 13:59:03	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0x7fa30d…
03-09 21:32:59	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	SELL	2,810	12¢	$341	0x6bbaac…
03-09 18:43:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	1,378	7¢	$96	0xa5a291…
03-09 18:37:53	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	1,432	7¢	$100	0xe2314f…
02-24 17:52:00	will trump say america or american 50 times during the 2026 state of the union address 966	No	BUY	997	20¢	$195	0xcf85c1…
02-24 17:51:14	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	Yes	SELL	3,283	2¢	$82	0xd4d338…
02-24 17:50:52	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	Yes	SELL	11,275	1¢	$113	0xd78d92…
02-24 11:11:44	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	Yes	BUY	3,283	3¢	$92	0x7e686c…
02-23 19:05:44	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	Yes	BUY	8,504	2¢	$153	0x4ed38a…
02-23 19:03:32	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	Yes	SELL	10,879	1¢	$153	0x8202fa…
02-23 17:02:06	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	Yes	BUY	2,108	5¢	$101	0xd43d05…
02-23 15:56:58	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	Yes	BUY	2,500	4¢	$100	0xf03900…
02-22 14:42:48	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	Yes	BUY	6,740	4¢	$256	0x1dfeb7…
02-22 09:46:20	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	Yes	BUY	4,139	4¢	$151	0xe71825…
02-09 20:59:43	will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	925	1¢	$11	0xe98f07…
02-09 20:59:03	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5,281	0¢	$11	0x91856e…
01-30 08:06:50	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5,281	2¢	$100	0x60c8a2…
01-29 08:49:48	bitcoin up or down january 29 3am et	Down	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0xc4bfb9…
01-29 08:36:18	bitcoin up or down january 29 3am et	Down	BUY	22	75¢	$17	0x9bb60a…
01-29 08:36:18	bitcoin up or down january 29 3am et	Down	BUY	75	75¢	$56	0x13e482…
01-29 08:36:16	bitcoin up or down january 29 3am et	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x0d2bef…
01-29 08:27:48	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	357	54¢	$193	0xbcb4c8…
01-28 21:42:08	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0x29333d…
01-28 21:26:08	will powell say inflation 40 times during january press conference	No	SELL	170	98¢	$167	0xe16c6b…
01-28 20:20:58	will powell say inflation 40 times during january press conference	No	SELL	457	91¢	$418	0xa46f70…
01-28 09:08:31	will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 28	No	BUY	304	33¢	$100	0xfe5e27…
01-28 09:06:41	bitcoin above 80k on january 28	No	BUY	30,436	0¢	$33	0xb5de21…
01-28 09:06:39	bitcoin above 80k on january 28	No	BUY	1,640	1¢	$17	0xb65ac8…
01-28 09:05:29	will powell say inflation 40 times during january press conference	No	BUY	626	16¢	$100	0xb7babe…
01-23 10:35:32	will trump say million or billion or trillion 10 times during cnbc interview	Yes	BUY	4,247	0¢	$7	0xa8c5e6…
01-20 04:43:50	will melania say career during ai talk on friday	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7879e9…
01-15 14:01:20	will trump establish a gaza board of peace by january 31 964	No	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x70459d…
01-14 21:07:04	us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xd5f9c5…