Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$165

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 07-09 00:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

74% 100% +$200

Other

19% 0% $-35

Sports

5% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$400	303	303	+0	Yes	+$200	05-09 09:05
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	4	$285	345	345	+0	open	—	04-07 23:05
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$215	417	208	+208	open	—	01-29 08:48
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 0 3	2	$200	1,968	0	+1,968	open	—	04-12 02:58
will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	1	$200	1,158	0	+1,158	open	—	04-12 03:04
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$100	227	0	+227	open	—	03-14 09:39
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	1	$100	238	0	+238	open	—	03-12 11:54
ufc jus3 pad 2026 01 24 gaethje win by ko tko	1	$100	435	0	+435	open	—	01-25 00:35
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	1	$100	455	0	+455	open	—	07-09 00:10
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	2	$88	135	135	+0	open	—	03-16 03:46
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	2	$65	192	192	+0	No	$-35	04-08 09:35
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	1	$50	647	0	+647	open	—	03-04 00:55
Iran leadership change by March 13?	1	$50	500	0	+500	open	—	03-09 10:31
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$50	94	0	+94	open	—	03-15 04:02
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	1	$50	366	0	+366	open	—	04-08 11:42
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$25	179	0	+179	open	—	03-23 23:23
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	1	$25	227	0	+227	open	—	05-09 10:57
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	1	$20	339	0	+339	open	—	02-26 06:14
will ryan coogler win best director at the 98th academy awards	1	$15	185	0	+185	open	—	03-15 03:09
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	1	$15	249	0	+249	open	—	03-09 22:11
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$5	278	0	+278	open	—	02-26 06:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 00:10:49	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0x22abbc…
05-09 10:57:25	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	BUY	227	11¢	$25	0xcd9a83…
05-09 09:05:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	303	99¢	$300	0x5c9cb8…
04-12 03:04:17	will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1,158	17¢	$200	0x125411…
04-12 02:58:07	will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 0 3	Yes	BUY	948	11¢	$100	0x9fed50…
04-12 02:54:47	will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 0 3	Yes	BUY	1,020	10¢	$100	0x65953c…
04-11 06:05:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x7986da…
04-08 11:42:41	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	366	14¢	$50	0x81986a…
04-08 09:35:59	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	192	8¢	$15	0xb9e215…
04-07 23:05:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	103	97¢	$100	0xd732b8…
04-06 04:56:05	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0x61fb0a…
03-23 23:23:49	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	179	14¢	$25	0xc6a3b6…
03-23 11:20:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	241	35¢	$84	0xe465f6…
03-23 11:20:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0xbbc9d8…
03-22 20:39:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0x09c835…
03-16 03:46:51	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	135	28¢	$38	0x8df165…
03-15 04:02:01	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xc6c669…
03-15 03:09:45	will ryan coogler win best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	185	8¢	$15	0x1e5cc2…
03-14 09:39:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xcbf73d…
03-12 11:54:51	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0xfa9ca2…
03-12 05:41:35	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0x85879b…
03-09 22:11:45	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	Yes	BUY	249	6¢	$15	0x7ac413…
03-09 10:31:25	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0xb37be9…
03-04 00:55:05	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	647	8¢	$50	0x840fa2…
02-26 06:16:38	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	278	2¢	$5	0x4268e3…
02-26 06:14:40	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	Yes	BUY	339	6¢	$20	0x2ca999…
01-29 08:48:12	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	208	55¢	$115	0x62051e…
01-25 00:35:32	ufc jus3 pad 2026 01 24 gaethje win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0xc935ae…
01-25 00:33:04	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x17195f…