Functional-Quail-Spy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.7%

Resolved

147

Trades

192

lifetime

Volume

$447

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-15 11:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 46% $-23

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	3	$52	60	0	+60	Up	+$8	05-14 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	3	$8	10	5	+5	Up	+$2	05-14 05:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	3	$6	10	5	+5	Up	$-2	05-14 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Up	$-0	05-13 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$3	5	0	+5	Up	+$2	05-12 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-13 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-11 05:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-14 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-11 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Up	+$2	05-13 22:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-11 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	+$2	05-11 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-14 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	+$2	05-13 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-13 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-11 06:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-11 10:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-11 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-11 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	+$2	05-11 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 06:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-11 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-11 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-10 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-14 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-14 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-11 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-11 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 07:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 11:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xee9d5b…
05-15 07:55:45	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	327	0¢	$1	0x53163e…
05-15 07:55:15	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	157	1¢	$1	0x7a78c4…
05-15 07:46:56	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	152	1¢	$1	0xa78508…
05-15 07:33:05	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfa5216…
05-15 07:32:37	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x4f87c6…
05-15 07:32:21	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x5377d5…
05-15 07:32:12	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x109ff9…
05-14 07:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb955fc…
05-14 07:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0924df…
05-14 07:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5292c7…
05-14 07:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf7cb95…
05-14 06:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x983e13…
05-14 06:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1c3afe…
05-14 06:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x43cb45…
05-14 06:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xaa9069…
05-14 05:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x17360b…
05-14 05:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8ca5d9…
05-14 05:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x259f12…
05-14 05:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x17987e…
05-14 05:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc7b623…
05-14 05:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2b3cf2…
05-14 05:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x96e7e8…
05-14 05:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe17911…
05-14 05:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x98da91…
05-14 05:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1384bb…
05-14 05:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x38bc97…
05-14 04:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xfe68a0…
05-14 04:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xfe68a0…
05-14 04:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xf0445c…
05-14 04:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xc136dc…
05-14 04:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xd796b1…
05-14 04:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xba37e7…
05-14 03:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0722cd…
05-14 03:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xdaf49a…
05-14 03:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6e6c01…
05-14 03:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd9d93d…
05-14 02:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x21df37…
05-14 02:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc291e8…
05-14 02:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0fe69e…
05-14 02:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbc520d…
05-14 02:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe86939…
05-14 01:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x309193…
05-14 01:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3179d8…
05-14 01:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0cdb73…
05-14 01:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x8e9de8…
05-14 01:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x79c944…
05-14 01:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x6a50c0…
05-14 01:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3f8b60…
05-14 01:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa70af9…
05-14 00:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc85693…
05-14 00:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb6132c…
05-14 00:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x42459a…
05-14 00:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x818232…
05-14 00:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa1598d…
05-14 00:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6daa3c…
05-13 23:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x2f4290…
05-13 23:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x184205…
05-13 23:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x8ccdd4…
05-13 23:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x11522e…
05-13 23:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x607bfa…
05-13 23:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb4511d…
05-13 23:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x50808f…
05-13 23:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2bdbf2…
05-13 23:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd9d811…
05-13 22:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x30eaf0…
05-13 22:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xdd31b6…
05-13 22:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x84d209…
05-13 22:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x52f2e4…
05-13 22:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x160dd3…
05-13 22:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd6db44…
05-13 21:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe003bd…
05-13 21:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9d05e7…
05-13 21:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xce0d74…
05-13 21:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8dd088…
05-13 21:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x6cf3b7…
05-13 21:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1fc87a…
05-13 20:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcf1d67…
05-13 20:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x28d8e2…
05-13 20:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x867ac3…
05-13 20:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4d56c6…
05-13 20:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe2ebe5…
05-13 20:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x396451…
05-12 14:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0xb03253…
05-12 14:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xaec388…
05-12 12:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x973a9d…
05-11 17:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5e9d4e…
05-11 17:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa851da…
05-11 16:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf3c263…
05-11 13:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd4be27…
05-11 13:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc7e7ae…
05-11 13:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8a27a0…
05-11 13:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x15ea0d…
05-11 12:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdc97ea…
05-11 12:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x49196e…
05-11 12:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5e3ee9…
05-11 12:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3af585…
05-11 12:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xde52c7…
05-11 12:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc5274c…
05-11 12:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd5eb31…