Realized P&L
+$1.57K
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
96.1%
Resolved
90
Trades
1,083
lifetime
Volume
$60.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$56
Open exposure
$4.39K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-26 22:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
86% 90% +$723
Sports
7% 80% +$36
Politics
6% 71% +$812
Tech
1% 100% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 495 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +581 $482 92¢ $532 +$50 10-25 03:45
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +445 $445 100¢ $445 $0 10-22 03:22
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +343 $336 98¢ $336 $0 10-26 12:14
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +319 $315 99¢ $315 $0 10-24 00:33
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +273 $271 100¢ $272 +$1 10-26 02:36
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +266 $266 100¢ $266 +$0 10-26 14:50
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +248 $248 100¢ $248 $0 10-26 17:42
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +197 $196 100¢ $196 $0 10-22 03:11
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +191 $189 99¢ $190 +$0 10-25 21:08
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +170 $162 99¢ $168 +$6 10-22 10:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +137 $137 100¢ $137 $0 10-25 22:07
Will Allen Graves win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +135 $134 100¢ $134 +$0 10-21 17:57
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +129 $124 94¢ $122 -$3 10-26 10:26
Will LYON win Worlds 2026? No +114 $114 98¢ $112 -$2 10-25 01:27
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +108 $108 100¢ $108 $0 10-21 03:25
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +102 $100 100¢ $102 +$2 10-22 10:54
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +100 $78 96¢ $95 +$17 10-25 01:37
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +116 $104 68¢ $79 -$25 10-24 21:19
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +76 $75 98¢ $75 +$0 10-23 02:36
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +73 $73 100¢ $73 +$0 10-22 02:04
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +981 $39 6¢ $59 +$20 10-26 10:26
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +60 $58 97¢ $59 +$0 10-20 21:07
elon musk of tweets october 20 october 27 2026 320 339 No +128 $106 40¢ $51 -$55 10-25 17:48
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +100 $52 42¢ $43 -$10 10-22 14:15
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +44 $39 90¢ $39 +$0 10-26 11:20
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $33 97¢ $33 $0 10-14 04:22
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $33 95¢ $32 -$1 10-15 16:09
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +33 $28 84¢ $28 $0 10-23 15:47
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? No +23 $22 94¢ $22 $0 10-24 22:21
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +16 $16 97¢ $16 $0 10-21 16:36