Wet-Cave — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.2%

Resolved

Trades

133

lifetime

Volume

$12.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$93

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 06-27 11:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 60% $-6

Other

34% 50% +$2

Politics

4% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will danny willett win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$300	150	150	+0	open	—	03-17 02:50
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$299	150	150	+0	open	—	03-09 10:22
will tiger woods win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$291	146	146	+0	open	—	03-17 03:18
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$282	142	142	+0	No	$-0	03-28 11:56
Will Denis Shapovalov win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$278	140	140	+0	open	—	04-12 11:12
Will Luxembourg win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$278	140	140	+0	open	—	04-24 05:09
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$237	120	120	+0	open	—	05-26 09:41
will bubba watson win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$231	116	116	+0	open	—	04-05 06:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	2	$224	112	112	+0	open	—	05-20 08:44
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	2	$222	111	111	+0	No	+$0	05-12 19:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	2	$220	110	110	+0	open	—	05-20 09:52
ethereum above 1900 on march 5	1	$149	150	0	+150	open	—	03-05 12:35
will the secret agent win best picture at the 98th academy awards 938	1	$149	150	0	+150	open	—	03-14 11:54
will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 9	1	$146	146	0	+146	open	—	03-09 10:30
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 115 139	1	$146	146	0	+146	open	—	03-16 10:17
ethereum above 1800 on march 6	1	$146	146	0	+146	open	—	03-06 09:27
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 360 379	1	$146	146	0	+146	open	—	03-17 03:21
bitcoin above 76k on march 12	1	$142	142	0	+142	open	—	03-12 06:30
bitcoin above 84k on april 22	1	$142	142	0	+142	open	—	04-22 07:32
will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 23	1	$142	142	0	+142	open	—	04-23 04:58
bitcoin above 80k on april 19	1	$142	142	0	+142	open	—	04-19 06:43
bitcoin above 68k on april 20	1	$142	142	0	+142	open	—	04-20 07:42
bitcoin above 72k on april 21	1	$142	142	0	+142	open	—	04-21 08:53
bitcoin above 80k on april 17	1	$142	142	0	+142	open	—	04-17 10:44
will bitcoin dip to 54k march 2 8	1	$141	142	0	+142	open	—	03-08 06:14
ethereum above 2500 on april 16	1	$141	142	0	+142	open	—	04-16 12:00
xrp above 1pt6 on march 7	1	$141	141	0	+141	open	—	03-07 03:56
will bitcoin dip to 63k on march 27	1	$141	141	0	+141	open	—	03-28 01:56
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 27	1	$141	141	0	+141	open	—	03-27 14:12
will bitcoin dip to 67k on march 26	1	$141	141	0	+141	open	—	03-27 02:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 11:50:08	will nflx reach 100 in june 2026	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x2acb02…
06-26 07:53:01	will googl reach 390 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x744674…
06-19 12:31:11	will solana reach 100 june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x9eeb8d…
05-31 09:41:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xcb3a14…
05-30 04:27:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x278477…
05-29 07:17:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x421b7b…
05-28 12:42:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xd7c2d9…
05-28 12:28:20	LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - LFL Playoffs	Galions	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa5b93c…
05-27 08:00:34	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	LGD Gaming	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x044961…
05-26 11:04:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xe386e7…
05-26 09:41:43	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	120	98¢	$117	0xb17744…
05-25 10:55:57	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x447bac…
05-24 12:15:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x62d6d3…
05-23 04:06:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xcec02a…
05-23 03:52:55	KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Hanwha Eagles	Doosan Bears	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x5e4859…
05-21 08:29:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xf00f5a…
05-21 08:17:47	Cervia: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Tommaso Compagnucci	Tommaso Compagnucci	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x888a12…
05-20 10:03:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x36ce5d…
05-20 09:52:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x48157a…
05-20 08:49:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x24dc03…
05-20 08:44:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	No	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0x1cec3a…
05-20 07:45:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x4f8acb…
05-19 12:03:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x71fe32…
05-19 11:59:47	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xf7eb2a…
05-15 09:27:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$115	0xa9fcb9…
05-14 07:00:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0x5a447f…
05-14 06:36:53	Valorant: Team Heretics vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	Eternal Fire	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xe1a77f…
05-12 19:38:26	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 13?	No	BUY	117	94¢	$110	0x9e4f87…
05-12 19:36:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x840aab…
05-12 08:36:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x45196e…
05-11 08:01:17	Paris: Talia Gibson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x06caa6…
05-10 06:59:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x490570…
05-09 04:41:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x3b84c2…
05-09 03:54:09	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Qinwen Zheng vs Jelena Ostapenko	Qinwen Zheng	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xd4ed54…
05-08 03:55:17	Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of May 4 above $295?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x770da4…
05-07 07:27:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	1,533	0¢	$5	0x7daeb6…
05-07 07:23:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	1,050	0¢	$2	0x5dc5c4…
05-06 03:52:40	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Taylor Townsend vs Nuria Brancaccio	Nuria Brancaccio	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x58eda1…
05-04 10:47:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	125	99¢	$123	0x029c15…
05-03 07:30:20	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xcb6008…
05-02 07:37:24	Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on May 2?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x6019ab…
05-01 06:37:46	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $695 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	123	99¢	$121	0x925472…
04-30 07:52:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x20937d…
04-27 07:02:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x03af1f…
04-27 06:46:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	775	0¢	$2	0xc2e0d4…
04-27 05:49:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$2	0x21224a…
04-27 05:47:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	1,550	0¢	$3	0x35a225…
04-27 03:42:02	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x161924…
04-27 03:39:54	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,650	0¢	$3	0x148a3c…
04-26 12:24:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	136	100¢	$135	0xb4f66d…
04-25 09:21:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0xb86145…
04-25 09:09:54	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xd3825e…
04-24 05:16:32	ethereum above 2600 on april 24	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0xfe9b57…
04-24 05:09:38	Will Luxembourg win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	140	99¢	$139	0x2b9556…
04-24 04:55:10	Will Luxembourg win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$139	0xdcfe47…
04-24 04:52:00	Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Damir Dzumhur	Damir Dzumhur	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x4b1616…
04-23 04:58:36	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 23	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0xc2edb4…
04-22 07:32:26	bitcoin above 84k on april 22	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0xda12a4…
04-21 08:53:28	bitcoin above 72k on april 21	Yes	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x71007c…
04-20 07:42:28	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x3fec37…
04-19 06:43:54	bitcoin above 80k on april 19	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x332657…
04-17 10:44:58	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x172b87…
04-16 12:00:24	ethereum above 2500 on april 16	No	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0xede0a1…
04-14 03:55:57	bitcoin above 70k on april 14	Yes	BUY	136	100¢	$135	0x614fef…
04-14 03:48:37	atp blanc galan 2026 04 13	Darwin Blanch	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x410d0b…
04-13 04:08:35	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 240plus	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0xf59189…
04-12 12:37:17	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0xac4929…
04-12 11:12:49	Will Denis Shapovalov win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	140	100¢	$139	0x17343d…
04-12 10:28:13	Will Denis Shapovalov win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$139	0x7eb86d…
04-11 03:58:51	bitcoin above 78k on april 11	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x5ae610…
04-10 10:19:33	bitcoin above 68k on april 10	Yes	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x019c30…
04-09 11:43:49	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 9	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0xbbbb51…
04-08 09:01:31	bitcoin above 66k on april 8	Yes	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x8ae97e…
04-08 07:50:19	lol nip ig1 2026 04 08	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x893617…
04-07 11:51:55	bitcoin above 64k on april 7	Yes	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0xcbf096…
04-07 11:43:17	cricipl raj mum 2026 04 07	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	8	43¢	$4	0x081d50…
04-06 04:33:31	bitcoin above 76k on april 6	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x27f672…
04-05 06:39:45	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 5	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x0c41e5…
04-05 06:30:57	lol ns dnf 2026 04 05	DN SOOPers	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xe12902…
04-05 06:29:47	will bubba watson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	116	100¢	$115	0x6dcefa…
04-05 06:12:19	will bubba watson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	116	100¢	$115	0x64b976…
04-04 12:28:47	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 4	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xd5d4f1…
04-04 11:43:47	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 140 164	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc62232…
04-03 06:06:25	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xdf7f0d…
04-02 10:08:01	bitcoin above 70k on april 2	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x390b39…
04-01 12:25:01	bitcoin above 64k on april 1	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xf7b65a…
03-31 08:42:11	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	132	100¢	$131	0x928dbc…
03-31 07:55:31	nhl nyi buf 2026 03 31	Sabres	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x6bb856…
03-30 08:41:32	bitcoin above 62k on march 30	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xd35afe…
03-29 11:34:06	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 29	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x05cdea…
03-28 12:07:21	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 28	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xeafb8e…
03-28 11:58:19	ufc isr joe8 2026 03 28	Israel Adesanya	BUY	8	57¢	$4	0x9465a4…
03-28 11:56:07	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	142	100¢	$141	0xf9663a…
03-28 11:17:37	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0xeb2f41…
03-28 01:56:31	will bitcoin dip to 63k on march 27	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x03c529…
03-27 14:12:35	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 27	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x2d7a8a…
03-27 02:30:21	will bitcoin dip to 67k on march 26	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x2e5943…
03-24 11:46:05	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 440 459	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x70a458…
03-22 04:55:53	bitcoin above 74k on march 22	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0xeb8315…
03-21 09:26:19	bitcoin above 68k on march 21	Yes	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0x067ba4…