Tired-Safari — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$951

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.1%

Resolved

263

Trades

1,723

lifetime

Volume

$17.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-05 11:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Other

55% 36% -$615

Crypto

31% 51% -$327

Politics

14% 25% -$7

Sports

0% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	4	$1.5K	978	978	+0	No	+$115	05-24 21:47
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	5	$1.3K	652	652	+0	No	-$5	05-25 00:27
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	7	$882	771	771	+0	No	-$55	05-24 21:48
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	23	$510	1,143	1,143	+0	Yes	-$48	01-23 12:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 06:15 UTC	8	$386	481	476	+5	Down	+$64	03-01 06:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 06:45 UTC	6	$300	404	399	+5	Down	$0	03-01 06:52
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 220 239	8	$292	167	167	+0	No	+$15	02-16 23:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 10:30 UTC	4	$229	268	265	+4	Down	-$27	03-01 10:39
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 420 439	39	$224	1,440	1,440	+0	No	+$64	01-29 20:14
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	5	$222	227	227	+0	No	-$6	05-26 11:29
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 400 419	14	$201	1,130	1,130	+0	No	+$58	01-24 17:36
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 420 439	13	$198	1,830	1,830	+0	No	-$19	01-23 02:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 23:15 UTC	8	$196	172	169	+2	Down	-$2	03-01 23:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 05:30 UTC	7	$180	425	322	+103	Up	-$29	02-27 05:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 22:50 UTC	4	$177	106	105	+1	Up	+$1	03-01 22:52
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 115 139	6	$174	410	410	+0	Yes	+$50	01-14 08:41
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 440 459	55	$171	1,870	1,870	+0	No	-$13	02-06 22:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 12:30 UTC	6	$170	318	315	+2	Up	+$42	03-01 12:42
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 420 439	39	$169	2,660	2,660	+0	No	-$52	02-04 00:20
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 400 419	7	$169	2,000	2,000	+0	No	-$43	02-04 00:43
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 440 459	51	$165	4,256	4,256	+0	No	-$92	02-04 00:15
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 380 399	2	$161	700	700	+0	No	+$49	02-03 20:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 07:45 UTC	6	$158	235	232	+3	Up	-$22	03-01 07:59
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 460 479	139	$153	7,081	7,196	-115	No	-$110	02-04 00:12
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 440 459	14	$152	650	650	+0	No	-$6	01-23 03:30
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 400 419	29	$151	840	840	+0	No	+$50	01-29 18:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 09:45 UTC	3	$144	123	122	+2	Up	+$6	03-01 09:49
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 460 479	35	$144	2,400	2,000	+400	No	-$21	02-05 22:52
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 500 519	5	$144	340	240	+100	No	+$24	01-16 13:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 04:15 UTC	4	$140	177	175	+2	Up	+$30	02-27 04:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 11:01:19	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x8372f6…
07-05 11:01:17	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x53d6ff…
07-05 10:28:59	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xe97380…
07-05 09:40:59	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	637	3¢	$22	0x3ac338…
07-05 08:15:14	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	637	5¢	$30	0x7554d5…
07-05 07:03:13	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xa67775…
07-05 07:03:01	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x7c9dab…
07-05 07:02:40	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x93cf85…
06-08 11:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x73b445…
06-08 11:43:40	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x93583f…
06-08 11:43:15	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x48831f…
06-08 11:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xc1c1ed…
06-08 11:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x851d61…
06-08 11:38:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x515953…
06-08 10:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xfee945…
06-08 10:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xec2170…
06-08 10:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x4078e0…
06-07 03:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 6?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x816471…
06-06 08:57:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 6?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xf1989a…
06-06 08:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 6?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x064ae1…
06-06 00:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 6?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x78d287…
06-05 09:32:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x25d2d4…
06-05 08:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x5c9389…
06-05 08:36:45	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x05846e…
06-05 08:36:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xcfce84…
06-05 08:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xdf353a…
06-05 08:26:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x27f709…
06-05 08:18:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x21e002…
06-05 08:18:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x95659a…
06-05 08:17:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xce3c41…
06-04 08:46:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 4?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x7daabe…
06-03 07:54:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x207184…
06-03 07:54:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x11415b…
06-03 07:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x1fec24…
06-03 07:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xbec934…
06-03 07:51:42	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x5395d0…
06-03 07:45:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xc3b056…
06-03 07:44:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xab6d99…
06-03 07:44:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xb91b36…
06-03 07:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xf56c85…
06-03 07:31:59	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xc16cd7…
06-03 07:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x6a0675…
06-02 02:34:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,712	0¢	$5	0x733a29…
06-02 02:18:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x3d4608…
06-02 01:57:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0x6b9054…
06-01 12:58:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x30fa3f…
05-31 21:00:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 31?	Yes	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x5ea2cd…
05-30 07:11:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x7834cc…
05-30 07:11:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	25	29¢	$7	0x36464c…
05-30 07:05:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5a5209…
05-30 07:03:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xc497dc…
05-30 06:53:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	38	18¢	$7	0x535bd0…
05-30 06:52:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	38	34¢	$13	0x8c0363…
05-29 22:13:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x6e5496…
05-29 11:52:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x2aa024…
05-28 22:09:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xcb9b42…
05-28 09:14:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xaa3494…
05-28 09:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0xaf4722…
05-28 09:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0x50fc56…
05-28 08:57:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xcca202…
05-28 08:57:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x840705…
05-28 08:28:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x98611e…
05-28 07:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 27?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x0a1d97…
05-28 03:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 28?	Yes	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x6fe4ba…
05-28 03:14:20	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on May 28?	Yes	SELL	33	7¢	$2	0x043c75…
05-28 03:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on May 28?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x8d67d6…
05-28 03:06:23	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 28?	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xb8c10a…
05-28 03:04:17	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 28?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x340cda…
05-28 02:52:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 27?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x49043d…
05-27 14:53:27	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xeda220…
05-27 14:53:08	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x2787e3…
05-27 14:53:02	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x4f7a01…
05-27 14:43:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x4ae0f4…
05-27 14:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0eddeb…
05-27 11:18:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0xc5b04b…
05-27 11:12:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	64	7¢	$4	0x6237ad…
05-27 10:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xdeb38f…
05-27 10:20:29	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xd51603…
05-27 10:20:18	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x7756d2…
05-27 10:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x14693c…
05-26 11:29:17	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	127	74¢	$93	0x2eb4a3…
05-26 10:44:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x364aa8…
05-26 10:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	28	14¢	$4	0x6bf919…
05-26 10:44:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x86c300…
05-26 09:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb61e13…
05-26 09:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x7d58f6…
05-26 08:46:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x573d77…
05-26 08:33:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0xdd56af…
05-26 07:42:45	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xf92e44…
05-25 23:36:39	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 25?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4f8fbb…
05-25 14:22:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 25?	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x21f1e1…
05-25 14:08:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 25?	Yes	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x3e1cde…
05-25 13:46:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 25?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6ddb0d…
05-25 13:22:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	114	1¢	$1	0x1761fa…
05-25 13:19:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xab8e0f…
05-25 13:18:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x6b2f3a…
05-25 02:20:45	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	95	15¢	$14	0xd806c8…
05-25 02:20:45	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x6c75fc…
05-25 00:32:47	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xe392ee…
05-25 00:27:30	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	SELL	530	97¢	$512	0x354305…