Decisive-Pregnancy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$83

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-12 11:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 28% $-18

Other

4% 0% $-2

Politics

2% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$10	13	0	+13	Up	+$3	05-08 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	3	$9	152	0	+152	Up	$-9	05-09 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	4	$5	121	0	+121	Down	$-5	05-09 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-09 00:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	3	$3	175	0	+175	Down	$-3	05-11 05:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$3	129	0	+129	Up	$-3	05-08 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	3	$3	2,005	0	+2,005	Up	$-3	05-09 00:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	3	$3	105	0	+105	Up	+$2	05-09 01:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	3	$3	142	0	+142	Up	$-3	05-09 01:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$3	7	0	+7	Up	+$4	05-09 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$3	20	0	+20	Down	+$17	05-09 01:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	3	$2	100	0	+100	Up	$-2	05-09 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$2	105	0	+105	Up	$-2	05-09 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$2	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	$-2	05-09 02:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$2	200	0	+200	Up	$-2	05-11 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$2	7	0	+7	Up	$-2	05-09 02:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$2	102	0	+102	Up	+$0	05-09 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$2	42	0	+42	Up	$-2	05-09 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$2	52	0	+52	Down	$-2	05-09 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	2	$2	10	0	+10	Up	$-2	05-11 06:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$2	100	100	+0	open	—	05-12 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	$-1	05-09 02:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	$-1	05-11 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	+$2	05-09 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-11 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	$-1	05-09 00:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	$-1	05-11 05:45
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	1	$1	20	0	+20	Yes	$-1	05-09 01:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Down	$-1	05-11 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	$-1	05-09 00:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 11:01:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0xc01bf1…
05-12 07:00:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x0adad3…
05-11 06:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf726f1…
05-11 06:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x675983…
05-11 05:51:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf37979…
05-11 05:50:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4e73e4…
05-11 05:50:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5f50d0…
05-11 05:49:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc8cb34…
05-11 05:45:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5c16b0…
05-11 05:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5035d2…
05-11 05:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x71e719…
05-11 05:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe87553…
05-11 05:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x83f62e…
05-11 05:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3f46ca…
05-11 05:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc9a61d…
05-09 02:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2b28df…
05-09 02:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0bfb8f…
05-09 02:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	36	17¢	$6	0x2d55a6…
05-09 02:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x03ec23…
05-09 02:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x431978…
05-09 02:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6f974e…
05-09 02:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd06270…
05-09 02:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x019b64…
05-09 02:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x91ef01…
05-09 02:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6863c0…
05-09 01:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3e4a5a…
05-09 01:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0x4bf9c7…
05-09 01:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x0e14ff…
05-09 01:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x52ed2f…
05-09 01:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3e3e38…
05-09 01:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd050a9…
05-09 01:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe05dab…
05-09 01:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x535582…
05-09 01:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x22a1fa…
05-09 01:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4e4278…
05-09 01:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x3a3a6b…
05-09 01:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x2e557c…
05-09 01:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5f5457…
05-09 01:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xe8a8d8…
05-09 01:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x273cdf…
05-09 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4e1a09…
05-09 01:17:45	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x22ba49…
05-09 01:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd60849…
05-09 01:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa1a521…
05-09 01:08:51	Will the Labour Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	189	1¢	$1	0x176f0d…
05-09 01:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x027a54…
05-09 01:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x4e7ce0…
05-09 01:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x020692…
05-09 00:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x84d44e…
05-09 00:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x1c64f7…
05-09 00:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8714df…
05-09 00:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa26081…
05-09 00:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1480f9…
05-09 00:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb06ae9…
05-09 00:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9f4ff5…
05-09 00:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9a1ee2…
05-09 00:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe88b95…
05-08 23:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x79ac73…
05-08 23:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x8b8b96…
05-08 23:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x92a000…
05-08 23:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x75d740…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	31	$27.3K	1,638	05-12 23:23
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	29	$7.82K	1,103	05-11 06:29
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	29	$5.27K	902	05-11 06:29
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	29	$4.27K	1,417	05-11 06:29
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	29	$3.94K	1,286	05-11 06:29
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	29	$2.80K	666	05-11 06:29
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	29	$2.61K	611	05-11 06:29
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	28	$10.1K	1,097	05-11 06:29