Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,350

lifetime

Volume

$7.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 02-17 21:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

54% 0% $-7

Other

46% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades on file.

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	32	$2.1K	2,221	1,812	+410	open	—	02-17 21:46
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$1.5K	774	774	+0	open	—	02-14 19:50
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	73	$501	506	506	+0	open	—	02-16 22:45
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	75	$497	264	338	-74	open	—	02-17 21:39
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	27	$343	217	217	+0	open	—	02-17 21:41
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	23	$282	302	302	+0	open	—	02-17 21:42
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	25	$260	215	215	+0	open	—	02-17 21:45
another us government shutdown by february 14	160	$258	720	542	+178	open	—	02-13 07:39
iran strike on israel by february 28	6	$239	138	138	+0	open	—	02-17 21:44
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	50	$205	178	133	+45	open	—	02-16 15:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	469	$189	412	412	+0	Yes	$-5	02-17 21:46
will trump visit china by march 31	3	$185	96	96	+0	open	—	02-17 21:45
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	2	$103	54	54	+0	open	—	02-17 21:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$99	58	58	+0	open	—	02-17 21:47
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	5	$84	46	46	+0	open	—	02-17 21:48
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	7	$62	35	31	+3	open	—	02-10 13:16
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	4	$54	103	103	+0	open	—	02-17 21:42
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	2	$48	42	42	+0	open	—	02-17 21:43
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more	3	$47	104	0	+104	open	—	02-13 18:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$44	51	51	+0	Yes	$-2	02-17 21:48
jesus christ return before 2027 odds 5 monday night 12 1 am	106	$38	166	90	+76	open	—	02-16 21:43
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 11	5	$36	39	0	+39	open	—	02-11 23:14
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	7	$35	37	37	+0	open	—	02-17 21:44
will ye say something antisemitic before march 575	4	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	02-17 21:39
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 131 166 287 285 292 389	3	$32	80	0	+80	open	—	02-13 05:42
Clavicular sentenced to prison?	1	$28	30	0	+30	open	—	02-11 14:59
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 25 in february	22	$28	23	23	+0	open	—	02-17 21:45
will the state of the union address be delayed	5	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	02-17 21:41
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	2	$27	15	15	+0	open	—	02-17 21:49
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	19	$26	42	41	+1	open	—	02-17 21:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
02-17 21:49:27	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	No	SELL	15	83¢	$13	0x85688e…
02-17 21:49:21	pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	No	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0x95fe71…
02-17 21:49:15	will stellan skarsgrd win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	13	30¢	$4	0x8c1289…
02-17 21:48:53	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	111	4¢	$4	0xa8ff3b…
02-17 21:48:41	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	27	21¢	$6	0x0cf4dd…
02-17 21:48:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	41¢	$21	0x4ce340…
02-17 21:48:25	will sentimental value win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	5	92¢	$4	0x984407…
02-17 21:48:19	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	SELL	46	91¢	$41	0xb21868…
02-17 21:48:13	us seizes an iran linked oil tanker by feb 28	No	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x25d16a…
02-17 21:47:43	us evacuates baghdad embassy by february 28	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xc0c8e2…
02-17 21:47:25	will hamas agree to disarm by march 31 966	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x957a3f…
02-17 21:47:19	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	58	83¢	$48	0x1a6cec…
02-17 21:47:03	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 18 2026 264	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xb130c1…
02-17 21:46:57	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x33522c…
02-17 21:46:41	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	No	SELL	54	94¢	$51	0x2e7167…
02-17 21:46:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	293	22¢	$64	0x0df927…
02-17 21:46:05	Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x542378…
02-17 21:45:59	us forcibly removes khamenei from power by march 31	No	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x509164…
02-17 21:45:47	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	96	95¢	$91	0x93168a…
02-17 21:45:37	will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x5c97fd…
02-17 21:45:31	another us strike on venezuela by march 31	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x7f25d8…
02-17 21:45:25	odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 25 in february	No	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0x1c83d9…
02-17 21:45:19	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	192	57¢	$110	0x4f24f6…
02-17 21:44:45	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	Yes	SELL	37	42¢	$16	0x7c6882…
02-17 21:44:39	iran strike on israel by february 28	No	SELL	135	86¢	$116	0xde5ea2…
02-17 21:44:21	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	77	8¢	$6	0x6f4872…
02-17 21:44:09	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	24	13¢	$3	0x187783…
02-17 21:43:07	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	42	55¢	$23	0x243a81…
02-17 21:43:01	Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	13¢	$4	0x38c7d8…
02-17 21:42:35	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	SELL	86	25¢	$22	0x55c7ff…
02-17 21:42:29	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	282	44¢	$124	0xfdaa8e…
02-17 21:41:55	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	181	81¢	$146	0x72300c…
02-17 21:41:45	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x702762…
02-17 21:41:25	will the state of the union address be delayed	No	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0x6ad458…
02-17 21:39:59	will ye say something antisemitic before march 575	No	SELL	14	95¢	$14	0xb27ec7…
02-17 21:39:47	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	265	82¢	$217	0x107891…
02-17 21:29:23	Will Jeff Merkley be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oregon?	Yes	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x89d08f…
02-17 21:29:13	israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	No	SELL	15	61¢	$9	0x7b75d3…
02-17 21:11:09	will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xb451cf…
02-17 20:28:01	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xf9a481…
02-17 20:27:51	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x665727…
02-17 20:22:17	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x1741ee…
02-17 20:22:03	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x6e5d60…
02-17 20:15:57	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x1130ee…
02-17 20:09:25	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x3dd9e5…
02-17 20:09:11	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xaa4af4…
02-17 20:04:41	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x3a9656…
02-17 20:03:27	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xfdfee7…
02-17 20:01:37	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x37e92e…
02-17 19:48:13	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x85b4ef…
02-17 19:44:59	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x0ae325…
02-17 19:41:21	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x3227c3…
02-17 19:35:33	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x4ad45c…
02-17 19:35:27	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x52d56a…
02-17 19:30:01	will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc8e5e6…
02-17 19:20:37	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x0467c9…
02-17 19:18:55	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x57d2ab…
02-17 19:13:13	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xea2098…
02-17 19:07:45	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x2e0cee…
02-17 19:07:29	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xe11274…
02-17 19:07:19	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	54	83¢	$45	0x362c44…
02-17 19:03:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0xf4401f…
02-17 19:01:53	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x369d97…
02-17 19:01:47	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xd71586…
02-17 18:55:57	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x4a9a9f…
02-17 18:55:53	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x2a8225…
02-17 18:50:11	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	Yes	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0xfa05d6…
02-17 18:49:09	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x53d495…
02-17 18:49:05	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x49d16b…
02-17 18:42:41	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xa13e22…
02-17 17:29:59	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	54	63¢	$34	0xaf8426…
02-17 16:16:29	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xd82165…
02-17 16:09:31	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x2950d7…
02-17 16:05:09	will the state of the union address be delayed	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x81c903…
02-17 16:04:31	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x626cfe…
02-17 15:38:25	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x309eae…
02-17 15:29:25	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0x7b4b95…
02-17 15:27:43	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xa57528…
02-17 15:25:05	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0x663f77…
02-17 15:25:05	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0x24c914…
02-17 15:20:47	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0xce18b5…
02-17 15:20:37	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	39	84¢	$32	0x23ec20…
02-17 15:20:13	will the state of the union address be delayed	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x499dd4…
02-17 15:16:51	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0x8155d8…
02-17 15:16:21	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0x9ea84e…
02-17 15:16:21	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0x837df2…
02-17 15:13:27	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0x645f2a…
02-17 15:13:17	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0x95d390…
02-17 15:10:07	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x6e5445…
02-17 15:09:25	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0xf5d889…
02-17 15:08:51	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x3481d0…
02-17 15:01:03	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0xd445b8…
02-17 14:56:57	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0x7685fb…
02-17 14:50:55	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0x7986c1…
02-17 14:45:47	will the state of the union address be delayed	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x09ab2d…
02-17 14:40:53	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0xf89d92…
02-17 13:55:19	will sentimental value win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x850376…
02-17 13:50:07	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	61¢	$33	0x885742…
02-17 13:45:33	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	70	83¢	$58	0x93a7c6…
02-17 13:42:09	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x4ab264…