Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.91K

Unrealized P&L

-$150

Hit rate

87.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$143.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.57K

Open exposure

$50

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 09-10 14:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

67% 79% -$6,839

Politics

29% 67% -$74

Crypto

3% 80% -$17

Tech

1% 100% +$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+400	$200	12¢	$50	-$150	06-29 06:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$35.0K	35,000	0	+35,000	No	+$35	03-23 16:48
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	2	$31.0K	31,020	0	+31,020	No	+$42	01-27 04:01
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$10.4K	10,200	200	+10,000	Yes	+$41	04-08 08:38
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	1	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$10	01-14 03:15
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	1	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	+$20	04-05 05:34
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	2	$8.5K	8,895	0	+8,895	Yes	-$8,499	04-23 06:23
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	2	$5.9K	3,990	3,990	+0	Yes	+$1,936	01-10 01:42
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$3.9K	2,048	2,048	+0	Yes	-$111	04-06 09:30
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$3.4K	3,500	0	+3,500	No	+$98	03-12 10:55
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	1	$2.9K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	+$120	03-16 08:16
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$26	03-22 14:36
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	12	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$34	03-23 11:32
ethereum up or down on march 21 2026	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Up	-$39	03-21 15:21
will us or israel strike iran on march 9 2026	2	$1.8K	1,800	0	+1,800	Yes	+$2	03-09 11:39
ethereum above 2000 on march 20	6	$1.3K	1,291	0	+1,291	Yes	+$18	03-20 12:06
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	2	$1.2K	1,203	0	+1,203	No	+$4	01-14 04:03
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	1	$1.1K	1,099	0	+1,099	No	+$4	03-23 16:48
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$995	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$5	03-16 08:13
will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	1	$994	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$6	03-09 12:02
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	1	$992	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$8	03-09 13:12
us forces enter iran by march 7	1	$986	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$14	03-07 12:00
will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	1	$984	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$16	03-07 11:54
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$934	1,356	1,356	+0	Yes	-$66	02-26 08:29
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$872	1,282	1,282	+0	Yes	-$128	01-18 04:17
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	1	$689	690	0	+690	Yes	+$1	07-01 06:14
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	3	$592	602	0	+602	Yes	+$10	07-08 10:39
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$566	700	700	+0	No	-$38	03-22 05:52
will russia capture all of kupiansk by march 31	2	$304	2,927	2,927	+0	No	-$296	03-24 06:17
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$267	300	0	+300	No	+$33	03-24 08:28
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$222	300	0	+300	Yes	+$78	03-09 11:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-10 14:41:31	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	780	26¢	$200	0xa69b05…
09-02 12:23:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	465	43¢	$200	0x32164a…
08-20 18:57:39	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	290	69¢	$200	0xc13e89…
07-08 10:39:28	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xa3d60f…
07-02 07:42:59	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	97¢	$292	0x8d0ca5…
07-02 06:55:31	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xf25dd8…
07-01 06:14:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	Yes	BUY	690	100¢	$689	0x705909…
06-29 06:56:37	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0xc00bbf…
04-23 06:23:14	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8,359	96¢	$8,000	0x6e4e77…
04-23 06:22:52	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	536	93¢	$499	0xcd7690…
04-08 08:38:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0xe866b5…
04-06 09:30:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	2,048	94¢	$1,917	0x3a9af9…
04-05 05:34:15	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,980	0x44f39e…
04-05 05:27:59	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x9c5d34…
04-04 11:05:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	2,048	99¢	$2,028	0xce3ce2…
04-04 11:04:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x427f04…
03-24 08:28:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	300	89¢	$267	0xda4cdd…
03-24 06:17:25	will russia capture all of kupiansk by march 31	Yes	SELL	2,927	0¢	$4	0x0c286b…
03-23 16:48:35	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	23,000	100¢	$22,977	0x0d4337…
03-23 16:48:07	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	1,099	100¢	$1,095	0x2b1a5b…
03-23 11:32:27	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	BUY	367	98¢	$360	0x5cb58e…
03-23 10:04:47	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xc0ba73…
03-23 10:04:01	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	BUY	685	98¢	$673	0x525cd3…
03-23 09:55:19	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	BUY	421	98¢	$413	0xe527f1…
03-23 09:55:15	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	BUY	39	98¢	$39	0xed2183…
03-23 09:55:15	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xc53953…
03-23 09:55:15	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5d514a…
03-23 09:55:15	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x4f4160…
03-23 09:43:29	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	BUY	68	98¢	$67	0x8d2bb7…
03-23 09:34:53	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	BUY	149	98¢	$147	0x2a4896…
03-23 05:11:15	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	BUY	159	98¢	$156	0x419356…
03-23 05:10:51	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x8c847d…
03-22 14:36:45	Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	1,915	99¢	$1,890	0x8f5252…
03-22 13:00:13	Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0xc044b4…
03-22 05:52:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	200	82¢	$164	0x6a942e…
03-21 15:21:43	ethereum up or down on march 21 2026	Up	SELL	1,000	96¢	$956	0xf3339d…
03-21 14:40:51	ethereum up or down on march 21 2026	Up	BUY	1,000	99¢	$995	0x40e08a…
03-21 11:00:31	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x2e22e6…
03-20 12:06:33	ethereum above 2000 on march 20	Yes	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x0f34c3…
03-20 11:50:07	ethereum above 2000 on march 20	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd51ea2…
03-20 10:13:19	ethereum above 2000 on march 20	Yes	BUY	190	99¢	$187	0x3ecfa3…
03-20 10:13:19	ethereum above 2000 on march 20	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x28ebdf…
03-20 10:03:53	ethereum above 2000 on march 20	Yes	BUY	423	99¢	$417	0xfb2d6a…
03-20 10:03:47	ethereum above 2000 on march 20	Yes	BUY	600	99¢	$592	0xad9891…
03-20 09:38:29	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	500	20¢	$100	0xea0bdb…
03-16 08:16:29	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	3,000	96¢	$2,880	0x9bfcbe…
03-16 08:13:23	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$995	0x81ccb4…
03-16 08:11:53	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	12,000	100¢	$11,988	0x2131b6…
03-16 08:10:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	500	30¢	$150	0x865f44…
03-12 10:55:21	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	3,000	98¢	$2,937	0xa6d6f9…
03-09 13:12:19	will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	BUY	1,000	99¢	$992	0x2b3e22…
03-09 12:02:29	will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	99¢	$994	0x517cc3…
03-09 11:39:09	will us or israel strike iran on march 9 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x8c660c…
03-09 11:38:13	will us or israel strike iran on march 9 2026	Yes	BUY	800	100¢	$799	0xd1e55d…
03-09 11:35:21	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	500	93¢	$465	0x36e5f2…
03-09 11:22:03	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	300	74¢	$222	0x142484…
03-07 12:00:27	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$986	0xfed156…
03-07 11:54:25	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	BUY	1,000	98¢	$984	0x08eba8…
03-04 08:38:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x7bd1c3…
03-04 08:38:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xffc06c…
03-04 08:38:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xcb1b23…
03-04 08:38:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb3bac2…
03-04 08:38:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xb04b87…
03-04 08:38:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3df0a5…
03-04 08:38:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xf1a61e…
03-04 08:38:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0x8daf4b…
03-04 08:38:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x4f8f78…
03-04 08:38:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x20094f…
03-04 08:38:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x058079…
03-04 08:38:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xf10a96…
03-04 08:38:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x1098f8…
03-04 08:33:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x78abc5…
03-03 05:36:55	gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	Yes	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xfb4e1d…
03-03 05:19:21	Bitway FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x83bd12…
03-03 05:15:27	will opinion launch a token on march 5	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x77dbd5…
02-26 08:29:48	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,356	32¢	$434	0x6d1ab4…
02-13 05:52:03	Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	107	95¢	$101	0xd18b6c…
01-27 04:01:21	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	No	BUY	21,000	100¢	$20,978	0x47cea9…
01-25 02:30:36	Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0xe125d7…
01-25 02:15:52	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,356	37¢	$500	0xb6eea0…
01-22 04:51:56	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	No	BUY	10,020	100¢	$10,000	0x2b1800…
01-18 04:18:26	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xb3fd83…
01-18 04:17:34	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,282	29¢	$372	0xc8a503…
01-14 04:03:00	us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb6af88…
01-14 04:02:26	us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	No	BUY	1,202	100¢	$1,198	0x384ee0…
01-14 03:15:48	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	No	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0xcd4921…
01-12 23:44:31	will russia capture all of kupiansk by march 31	Yes	BUY	2,927	10¢	$300	0x16cf0a…
01-12 23:41:47	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,282	39¢	$500	0x7b669c…
01-10 01:42:12	Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	SELL	3,990	99¢	$3,936	0xaff1c5…
01-05 04:12:31	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd46e13…
01-03 13:01:35	Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	BUY	3,990	50¢	$2,000	0x1e16ed…