Humongous-Bureau — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.7%

Resolved

Trades

153

lifetime

Volume

$713

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-15 13:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 44% +$10

Politics

18% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	3	$102	118	0	+118	Up	$-1	05-09 08:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	05-15 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	8	$54	60	0	+60	Up	$-1	05-09 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	7	$52	65	0	+65	Up	+$4	05-09 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	7	$35	65	0	+65	Down	+$23	05-08 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	6	$35	49	0	+49	Down	+$2	05-09 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	7	$34	43	0	+43	Down	$-1	05-09 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	7	$34	42	0	+42	Down	+$1	05-09 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	6	$33	44	0	+44	Up	$-1	05-09 00:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	4	$26	42	0	+42	Up	+$0	05-08 23:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	5	$24	30	0	+30	Down	+$1	05-09 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	4	$22	37	0	+37	Up	+$4	05-08 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	3	$21	33	0	+33	Down	$-1	05-08 23:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$0	05-09 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	7	$17	34	0	+34	Down	$-12	05-09 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	3	$11	12	2	+10	Down	$-1	05-08 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	11	$11	26	0	+26	Down	$-3	05-08 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	3	$11	12	0	+12	Down	+$1	05-08 22:53
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	05-15 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-08 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	5	$5	14	0	+14	Down	$-3	05-09 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	5	$5	12	0	+12	Down	+$2	05-08 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	5	$5	16	0	+16	Up	+$4	05-08 23:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	3	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	3	$3	23	0	+23	Up	$-3	05-08 23:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	3	$3	10	0	+10	Down	$-3	05-09 00:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	3	$3	10	0	+10	Down	$-3	05-09 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	3	$3	7	0	+7	Up	+$1	05-08 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	3	$3	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	05-08 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	3	$3	14	0	+14	Down	+$8	05-08 23:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 13:38:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdf6681…
05-15 12:43:32	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xd9e1d9…
05-09 15:18:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x49d228…
05-09 08:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x917945…
05-09 08:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5e4149…
05-09 08:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x87e131…
05-09 08:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5f241f…
05-09 08:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xdd202a…
05-09 08:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x549596…
05-09 08:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xbeabe5…
05-09 08:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x537ac9…
05-09 08:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x356a8a…
05-09 00:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x559f4c…
05-09 00:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd449d0…
05-09 00:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe6f87f…
05-09 00:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd79ad0…
05-09 00:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x54629c…
05-09 00:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x804ddc…
05-09 00:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x3ba9ba…
05-09 00:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x08a56b…
05-09 00:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd87459…
05-09 00:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe25ad5…
05-09 00:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc3779c…
05-09 00:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x34c28f…
05-09 00:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x95359e…
05-09 00:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x16016b…
05-09 00:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe3e8b8…
05-09 00:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7d5cc2…
05-09 00:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x4590d0…
05-09 00:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xb8cc00…
05-09 00:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xf74b28…
05-09 00:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xcf7989…
05-09 00:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd36be6…
05-09 00:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf6d96b…
05-09 00:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xccc815…
05-09 00:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe8bfe2…
05-09 00:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x007dfd…
05-09 00:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xff731c…
05-09 00:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7b9f7a…
05-09 00:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xdcaf91…
05-09 00:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3dbbc8…
05-09 00:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc8f2c0…
05-09 00:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x9e6f00…
05-09 00:21:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x448689…
05-09 00:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x8d8aec…
05-09 00:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa82f08…
05-09 00:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x30f340…
05-09 00:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x1750bb…
05-09 00:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd9b046…
05-09 00:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd968f8…
05-09 00:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2e3cb4…
05-09 00:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x035f43…
05-09 00:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x79a43e…
05-09 00:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7862b9…
05-09 00:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xc30c16…
05-09 00:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x313d54…
05-09 00:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbab7ae…
05-09 00:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x07993f…
05-09 00:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf56f0b…
05-09 00:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x7ec437…
05-09 00:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1e63d0…
05-09 00:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6e14ff…
05-09 00:10:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x87f75f…
05-09 00:09:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x1999b3…
05-09 00:09:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x7dbd49…
05-09 00:07:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8e3cc8…
05-09 00:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb066f6…
05-09 00:06:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xcac308…
05-09 00:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x564977…
05-09 00:05:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd29ef2…
05-09 00:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1151f8…
05-09 00:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x5e1957…
05-09 00:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x82e5af…
05-09 00:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x4e247d…
05-09 00:02:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa93052…
05-09 00:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe5b692…
05-09 00:01:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2ad170…
05-09 00:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x318082…
05-09 00:01:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc39ed1…
05-08 23:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x1715a0…
05-08 23:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x409cdd…
05-08 23:58:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3d118f…
05-08 23:57:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x77fe44…
05-08 23:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x202713…
05-08 23:57:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x294dde…
05-08 23:55:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xae9a29…
05-08 23:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3feb78…
05-08 23:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xfc0fdb…
05-08 23:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9b3467…
05-08 23:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4caed8…
05-08 23:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x28a18a…
05-08 23:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3a53bb…
05-08 23:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x635d5d…
05-08 23:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x35cbb5…
05-08 23:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x5952e5…
05-08 23:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xceb627…
05-08 23:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x53ed7d…
05-08 23:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb4da5f…
05-08 23:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xce78b5…
05-08 23:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x977f2d…