Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
open
Total volume
$299
Trades
40
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$7,769
Latest YES mid
56¢
Latest NO mid
44¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-09 00:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-76.4¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $9
vs crowd: 76% YES on $269)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | — | $13 | $13 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $206 | $50 | +$155 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | — | $9 | $9 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | — | $11 | $11 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $11 | $11 |
| Median | 4 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $7 | $7 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $1 | $15 | $14 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | — | $7 | $7 |
| unranked | 3 | $204 | $1 | +$203 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaseous-Mankind 0xdf08…d24a | Down | +1,000 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-09 00:50 |
| Cold-Pat 0xbfef…2f00 | Down | +500 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 00:49 |
| Shallow-Sushi 0x9c1f…a593 | Up | +387 | $204 | $204 | 1 | 05-09 00:44 |
| Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Down | +268 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 00:49 |
| Wrathful-Veldt 0xec30…6d9c | Down | +107 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 00:49 |
| Nutritious-Globe 0xefe6…104b | Down | +101 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 00:49 |
| Deserted-Defeat 0x641a…90ac | Down | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 00:49 |
| Tepid-Gloom 0x3425…6281 | Down | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 00:49 |
| Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f | Down | +80 | $1 | $1 | 8 | 05-09 00:49 |
| Remote-Banjo 0xff4a…ffae | Down | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 00:49 |
| Black-Dream 0xeff1…a25c | Down | +30 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 00:50 |
| Snoopy-Grouse 0x92a6…d6af | Down | +21 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 00:44 |
| Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603 | Down | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 00:49 |
| Dead-Bidet 0x3f13…9f2d | Down | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 00:44 |
| Low-Programme-Welcome 0xd573…a098 | Down | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 00:44 |
| Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Down | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 00:44 |
| Orange-Forte 0xdeca…ddd5 | Down | +9 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 00:44 |
| Wild-Interaction 0xe263…723a | Down | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 00:39 |
| Doting-Canopy 0x2fa7…e3c7 | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 00:44 |
| Definitive-Report 0x8ef6…63ee | Down | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 00:50 |
| e25247f2da2a2462f03c936c379b7ab0 0xdefe…17f4 | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 23:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x2249…d419 | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 00:25 |
| Left-Baboon 0x9656…e340 | Down | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 00:50 |
| Inferior-Rake 0x9409…d12c | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 00:44 |
| Forceful-Pregnancy 0xc4f5…47ba | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 00:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 00:50:10 | Unsightly-Entry 0xd0f9…4d1a | Up | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x0aeec2… |
| 05-09 00:50:10 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Up | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x7fe79a… |
| 05-09 00:50:08 | Gaseous-Mankind 0xdf08…d24a | Down | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $5 | 0xeb45eb… |
| 05-09 00:50:04 | (anonymous) 0x3e56…9c75 | Up | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1e524f… |
| 05-09 00:50:03 | Left-Baboon 0x9656…e340 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x258fe5… |
| 05-09 00:50:03 | Definitive-Report 0x8ef6…63ee | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfe92e0… |
| 05-09 00:50:03 | Black-Dream 0xeff1…a25c | Down | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0a4971… |
| 05-09 00:49:59 | Rowdy-Gun 0x16b5…474b | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x1e09c0… |
| 05-09 00:49:59 | Suspicious-Initialize 0xe891…10d3 | Up | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x650bfd… |
| 05-09 00:49:59 | Gaseous-Mankind 0xdf08…d24a | Down | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x95a4f5… |
| 05-09 00:49:57 | Inexperienced-Flesh 0xb400…b10c | Up | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xfde7d4… |
| 05-09 00:49:56 | Deserted-Defeat 0x641a…90ac | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xdba246… |
| 05-09 00:49:54 | Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x522057… |
| 05-09 00:49:52 | Remote-Banjo 0xff4a…ffae | Down | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9fb51f… |
| 05-09 00:49:52 | Wrathful-Veldt 0xec30…6d9c | Down | BUY | 107 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x7a26a3… |
| 05-09 00:49:52 | Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3ea889… |
| 05-09 00:49:52 | Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603 | Down | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x454790… |
| 05-09 00:49:52 | Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Down | BUY | 268 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x2c0397… |
| 05-09 00:49:52 | Cold-Pat 0xbfef…2f00 | Down | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x90401a… |
| 05-09 00:49:52 | Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xca7cc5… |
| 05-09 00:49:52 | Peaceful-Fibre 0x21a1…1911 | Up | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x2f4b0f… |
| 05-09 00:49:50 | Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2f0931… |
| 05-09 00:49:50 | Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x913f36… |
| 05-09 00:49:50 | Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x069fc1… |
| 05-09 00:49:50 | Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xeb5451… |
| 05-09 00:49:50 | Tepid-Gloom 0x3425…6281 | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xda39ac… |
| 05-09 00:49:50 | Nutritious-Globe 0xefe6…104b | Down | BUY | 101 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x3978b5… |
| 05-09 00:49:50 | Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x91b1fa… |
| 05-09 00:44:53 | Orange-Forte 0xdeca…ddd5 | Down | BUY | 9 | 48¢ | $4 | 0x2bb75c… |
| 05-09 00:44:53 | Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Down | BUY | 10 | 48¢ | $5 | 0x603f0e… |
| 05-09 00:44:53 | Inferior-Rake 0x9409…d12c | Up | BUY | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0xa51247… |
| 05-09 00:44:49 | Forceful-Pregnancy 0xc4f5…47ba | Up | BUY | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0xaa4495… |
| 05-09 00:44:49 | Shallow-Sushi 0x9c1f…a593 | Up | BUY | 387 | 53¢ | $204 | 0xcc498b… |
| 05-09 00:44:44 | Snoopy-Grouse 0x92a6…d6af | Down | BUY | 21 | 49¢ | $10 | 0x3b989d… |
| 05-09 00:44:44 | Low-Programme-Welcome 0xd573…a098 | Down | BUY | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x27badf… |
| 05-09 00:44:37 | Doting-Canopy 0x2fa7…e3c7 | Down | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x7c5c91… |
| 05-09 00:44:32 | Dead-Bidet 0x3f13…9f2d | Down | BUY | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x89569d… |
| 05-09 00:39:34 | Wild-Interaction 0xe263…723a | Down | BUY | 6 | 49¢ | $3 | 0xec240c… |
| 05-09 00:25:57 | (anonymous) 0x2249…d419 | Down | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x6374ba… |
| 05-08 23:52:00 | e25247f2da2a2462f03c936c379b7ab0 0xdefe…17f4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x689c90… |