Legitimate-Randomization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9.89K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.2%

Resolved

14,815

Trades

270,690

lifetime

Volume

$147.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 09-14 10:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 42% +$9,888

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 3768 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:55 UTC	2	$97	613	600	+13	Down	+$85	07-17 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	6	$89	557	556	+1	Up	+$79	06-04 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 16:05 UTC	108	$65	5,400	550	+4,850	Down	-$43	06-16 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	95	$64	5,530	436	+5,094	Down	-$47	07-06 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	38	$54	600	590	+10	Up	+$42	05-15 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	130	$47	3,509	584	+2,925	Down	-$23	05-29 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$47	600	600	+0	Up	+$35	05-21 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	41	$46	1,114	512	+602	Up	+$26	05-11 16:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 13:05 UTC	32	$44	600	600	-0	Down	+$32	06-04 13:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:45 UTC	19	$42	1,014	402	+612	Down	+$24	07-15 21:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 23:45 UTC	18	$41	606	489	+117	Down	+$29	06-09 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$39	600	600	+0	Down	+$27	05-20 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 00:20 UTC	47	$36	2,406	598	+1,808	Down	-$12	06-09 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$36	600	600	+0	Down	+$24	05-13 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 13:40 UTC	49	$35	608	599	+9	Down	+$23	07-18 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	24	$35	600	477	+123	Up	+$23	05-13 17:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 09:15 UTC	10	$35	632	600	+32	Down	+$22	07-14 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	12	$34	600	520	+80	Down	+$22	05-15 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	87	$34	609	594	+15	Down	+$21	08-10 13:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 16:15 UTC	21	$33	2,484	400	+2,084	Up	-$17	08-11 16:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 22:30 UTC	33	$33	611	598	+13	Up	+$20	07-16 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	8	$32	44	0	+44	Down	+$7	09-10 10:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 05:30 UTC	8	$31	625	600	+25	Up	+$19	07-15 05:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 22:55 UTC	2	$30	609	600	+9	Down	+$18	07-13 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	5	$30	1,800	600	+1,200	Down	-$6	05-22 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	20	$30	600	582	+18	Down	+$18	05-07 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	32	$30	600	596	+4	Down	+$18	05-31 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	37	$29	600	527	+73	Down	+$17	05-12 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	4	$29	1,200	600	+600	Up	+$5	05-17 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	21	$28	600	479	+121	Down	+$16	05-13 14:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-14 10:03:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x4c1dcd…
09-14 09:47:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xb31664…
09-14 07:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	700	1¢	$7	0x8c8d9e…
09-14 00:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	340	5¢	$17	0x96026d…
09-14 00:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1,700	1¢	$17	0x47a72a…
09-13 23:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	82	10¢	$8	0x35735f…
09-13 23:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	700	1¢	$7	0xcbb002…
09-13 22:24:58	Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x207e60…
09-13 22:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xea3050…
09-13 21:54:46	Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xdfc7a8…
09-13 21:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4372ab…
09-13 21:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x571947…
09-13 21:04:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf74b33…
09-13 20:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0xbb6e55…
09-13 20:49:31	Solana Up or Down - September 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0x47e312…
09-13 20:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xb25838…
09-13 20:29:30	Solana Up or Down - September 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x781d24…
09-10 17:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	223	8¢	$17	0xa98721…
09-10 14:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	203	8¢	$17	0xe61b06…
09-10 13:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	233	3¢	$7	0xcb1d07…
09-10 12:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	193	4¢	$7	0x7d4049…
09-10 10:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x95d88e…
09-10 10:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x46dfbb…
09-10 10:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	58¢	$3	0xccdc62…
09-10 10:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf456c0…
09-10 10:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	58¢	$3	0x784933…
09-10 10:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x69d5d7…
09-10 10:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xabb712…
09-10 10:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x614c8f…
09-10 10:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x9ae109…
09-10 10:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x49498b…
09-10 10:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x195e7c…
09-10 10:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x0d250e…
09-10 10:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x417ba6…
09-10 10:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$4	0xf2bce9…
09-10 10:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x944771…
09-10 10:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb56879…
09-10 10:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xa63477…
09-10 10:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xfa121d…
09-10 10:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x6985dc…
09-10 10:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x70e1cd…
09-10 10:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6c6065…
09-10 10:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x690944…
09-10 10:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x6e4332…
09-10 10:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xbdec66…
09-10 10:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8dc3e6…
09-10 10:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x168362…
09-10 09:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	97	1¢	$1	0x663a9d…
09-10 09:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe6c559…
09-10 09:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xafd20a…
09-10 09:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x936dc8…
09-10 09:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x8790bd…
09-10 09:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x835f00…
09-10 09:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xfd797f…
09-10 09:09:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-10 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x151363…
09-10 09:03:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-10 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x214332…
09-10 08:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	37	1¢	$0	0x74b73a…
09-10 08:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf5d11d…
09-10 08:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x54922e…
09-10 08:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x2b4c60…
09-10 08:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x7faaa2…
09-10 08:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xb24053…
09-10 08:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	42	1¢	$0	0xd6779f…
09-10 08:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xa3ea56…
09-10 08:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x58a7d1…
09-10 08:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0x314bba…
09-10 08:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x239970…
09-10 08:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe4445b…
09-10 08:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x80ffb1…
09-10 08:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x47e835…
09-10 08:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	49	1¢	$0	0x42a1b0…
09-10 08:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xabd1f0…
09-10 08:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6cff75…
09-10 08:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5711f0…
09-10 08:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1291b8…
09-10 08:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9cde0c…
09-10 08:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	95	1¢	$1	0x716b78…
09-10 08:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x4ae903…
09-10 08:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x37cb71…
09-10 08:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x8abec1…
09-10 08:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe2cac4…
09-10 08:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	41	1¢	$0	0xd6473d…
09-10 08:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc976f6…
09-10 08:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x5f2796…
09-10 08:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x61fe0f…
09-10 08:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xc42828…
09-10 08:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xb06600…
09-10 08:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xcc2d2d…
09-10 07:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x4996b3…
09-10 07:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x631548…
09-10 07:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	58	1¢	$1	0x5bd7f4…
09-10 07:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x438afb…
09-10 07:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x367877…
09-10 07:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1b117f…
09-10 07:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xcdd126…
09-10 07:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xc1b327…
09-10 07:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x18f83a…
09-10 07:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	56	1¢	$1	0x33d384…
09-10 07:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x7a66a3…
09-10 07:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x6d10e3…