Ill-Informed-Dust — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$222

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.6%

Resolved

197

Trades

406

lifetime

Volume

$2.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 06-19 17:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 49% $-222

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 173 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$55	28	28	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$53	54	0	+54	Up	+$1	05-09 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$50	86	0	+86	Up	$-50	05-09 11:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$50	60	0	+60	Up	$-50	05-09 10:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	4	$46	56	21	+35	Down	$-7	05-09 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	4	$45	63	0	+63	Down	+$18	05-09 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$44	22	22	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	3	$40	50	0	+50	Up	+$10	05-09 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	4	$40	52	23	+29	Up	$-20	05-09 11:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$39	41	0	+41	Down	+$2	05-09 09:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$38	53	0	+53	Down	+$15	05-09 00:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	3	$35	42	0	+42	Down	+$7	05-09 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$35	35	0	+35	Down	+$0	05-09 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$34	37	0	+37	Up	+$3	05-09 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$33	45	0	+45	Down	+$12	05-09 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	3	$33	34	3	+30	Up	+$1	05-10 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$31	32	0	+32	Down	+$1	05-10 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$30	48	0	+48	Down	$-30	05-09 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$29	29	0	+29	Up	+$0	05-10 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	4	$28	22	22	+0	Down	$-2	05-10 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	3	$27	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$27	60	0	+60	Up	$-27	05-09 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	5	$26	36	36	+0	Up	+$20	05-10 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	4	$24	20	20	+0	Down	$-5	05-10 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$21	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 10:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$20	25	0	+25	Up	+$5	05-09 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$20	44	0	+44	Down	+$24	05-09 09:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$20	69	0	+69	Up	+$49	05-09 14:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$18	11	11	+0	Up	+$4	05-09 22:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 17:45:50	btc updown 5m 1781891100	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x66a396…
06-19 17:45:49	btc updown 5m 1781891100	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd9ee83…
06-19 17:40:28	btc updown 5m 1781890800	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xdeeca3…
06-19 17:40:25	btc updown 5m 1781890800	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe8ae25…
06-19 17:40:23	btc updown 5m 1781890800	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3e555f…
06-19 17:38:31	btc updown 5m 1781890500	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2c5b02…
06-19 17:37:25	btc updown 5m 1781890500	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xfa5dc9…
06-19 17:31:37	btc updown 5m 1781890200	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6d4d4b…
06-19 17:31:11	btc updown 5m 1781890200	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x162a71…
06-19 17:30:40	btc updown 5m 1781890200	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2bc999…
06-19 17:30:35	btc updown 5m 1781890200	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xee1584…
06-19 17:17:29	btc updown 5m 1781889300	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x058814…
06-19 17:06:17	btc updown 5m 1781888700	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd22e61…
06-19 17:04:22	btc updown 5m 1781888400	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x400b80…
06-19 17:03:02	btc updown 5m 1781888400	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x367a5a…
06-19 17:02:29	btc updown 5m 1781888400	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb00056…
06-19 16:52:02	btc updown 5m 1781887800	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa035ba…
06-19 16:46:17	btc updown 5m 1781887500	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x724f9d…
06-19 16:40:28	btc updown 5m 1781887200	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x815fe4…
06-19 16:35:38	btc updown 5m 1781886900	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x62b1b9…
06-19 16:32:58	btc updown 5m 1781886600	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7cf88f…
06-19 16:31:56	btc updown 5m 1781886600	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x54e400…
06-06 05:57:45	btc updown 5m 1780725300	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xaa6f28…
06-06 05:57:03	btc updown 5m 1780725300	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x08d521…
06-06 05:53:13	btc updown 5m 1780725000	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd99500…
06-06 05:44:49	btc updown 5m 1780724400	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x166776…
06-06 05:44:37	btc updown 5m 1780724400	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x811aef…
06-06 05:18:54	btc updown 5m 1780722900	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x62af87…
06-06 05:18:48	btc updown 5m 1780722900	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa04763…
06-06 05:15:01	btc updown 5m 1780722600	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc43c81…
06-06 02:56:24	btc updown 5m 1780714500	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x9f992a…
06-05 23:50:22	btc updown 5m 1780703400	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xb251a5…
06-05 23:45:21	btc updown 5m 1780703100	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xd668a3…
06-05 23:41:55	btc updown 5m 1780702800	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xe4bcc8…
06-05 23:41:30	btc updown 5m 1780702800	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd68cb7…
06-05 23:35:10	btc updown 5m 1780702500	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xb17f30…
06-05 23:28:49	btc updown 5m 1780701900	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x184ed7…
06-05 23:25:55	btc updown 5m 1780701900	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x4014d2…
06-05 23:23:55	btc updown 5m 1780701600	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x4a2695…
06-05 23:23:33	btc updown 5m 1780701600	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x64979d…
06-05 23:15:57	btc updown 5m 1780701300	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xce65c8…
06-05 23:12:57	btc updown 5m 1780701000	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xfeaae3…
06-05 23:11:15	btc updown 5m 1780701000	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x52d96a…
06-05 23:02:12	btc updown 5m 1780700400	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe94222…
06-05 22:57:48	btc updown 5m 1780700100	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb2184a…
05-10 09:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x0a436b…
05-10 09:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x232dfe…
05-10 09:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x4a54d6…
05-10 09:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xa54e56…
05-10 08:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x7711c9…
05-10 08:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x8fa17a…
05-10 08:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6a5acd…
05-10 08:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x594387…
05-10 08:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x304b66…
05-10 08:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9bfcc9…
05-10 08:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xd97a40…
05-10 08:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xdfd5ef…
05-10 08:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x67052c…
05-10 08:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x80592b…
05-10 08:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x34d9de…
05-10 08:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x9183e6…
05-10 08:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x20315d…
05-10 08:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2113b9…
05-10 08:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x7139e8…
05-10 08:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x66634d…
05-10 08:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3d8325…
05-10 08:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0x368d14…
05-10 08:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x303556…
05-10 08:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xc3725d…
05-10 08:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8cdb98…
05-10 08:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x2237a8…
05-10 08:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x5dffa2…
05-10 08:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x0f2729…
05-10 07:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x11dd05…
05-10 07:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xfc08ca…
05-10 07:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	42	1¢	$0	0xbd47af…
05-10 07:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xdcde03…
05-10 07:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xbede6d…
05-10 07:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	12	56¢	$6	0xd948d6…
05-10 07:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x22a8e1…
05-10 07:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xafa863…
05-10 07:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x5ea75b…
05-10 07:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8f68e9…
05-10 07:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0x9419f7…
05-10 07:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x416fae…
05-10 07:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xa2315a…
05-10 07:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x88e268…
05-10 07:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xbf132e…
05-10 07:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x022b24…
05-10 07:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x446cfe…
05-10 02:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x4724f0…
05-10 02:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xee8075…
05-10 02:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd5be59…
05-10 02:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x0f5075…
05-10 02:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x98cf84…
05-10 02:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	29	2¢	$0	0x64a311…
05-10 02:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x2a42ec…
05-10 02:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	68	1¢	$1	0xd0b34e…
05-10 02:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x285452…
05-10 02:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xce49f2…